Decision trees for forecasting

Recent years have seen an increasing cross-fertilization between the fields of decision analysis and forecasting. Decision-analytic models often require forecasts as inputs, and aspects of the Bayesian decision-theoretic framework underlying decision analysis have proved useful to forecasting, particularly in contexts where subjective judgemental inputs are required. This paper describes the use of decision tree analysis for forecasting and illustrates its use for corporate divisional forecasting and planning. A specialized decision-analytic technique, acts as events, is also described and illustrated to forecast a new product's earnings. Conclusions are drawn about the applicability of decision analysis for forecasting.     

Indoxyl derivatives of drug metabolites

Summary Indoxyl derivatives were detected as minor products among the urinary metabolites of two trial drugs, a benzodiazepine (GP 55 129) and a benzophenone (CGP 11 952). Their structures were elucidated by NMR and mass spectroscopy. Presumably, metabolites containing potential aldehyde functions react spontaneously with endogenous indoxyl. Such derivatives have not hitherto been encountered in drug metabolism.     

Increased assembly of cytoskeletal proteins associated with the transformation of human liver cells into fibroblast-like cells.

A topoisomerase II inhibitor, novobiocin, and a deacetylase inhibitor, butyrate, synergistically transformed human liver cells into fibroblast-like cells. This morphological change was associated with an increased production of procollagen type III peptide and a simultaneous assembly of actin, tubulin, vimentin and cytokeratin. Novobiocin and butyrate had no marked effect on the phosphorylation state of cytokeratin proteins, but synergistically enhanced [3H]acetate uptake. From these results, it can be speculated that protein acetylation plays an important role in inducing the assembly of cytoskeletal proteins and the morphological transformation of human liver cells.     

独立数≤5的3-边连通简单图的上可嵌入性

结合边连通度，本文探讨了3-边连通简单网的独立数与上可嵌人性的关系，我们得到了下列结果：设G是一个3-边连通简单图，α（G）是G的独立数，若α／（G）≤5，则G是上可嵌入的，同时我们又得到了两个在3-边连通意义下最小的非上可嵌入图例．     

Study on the Elasticity-Plasticity-Stickiness of the Railway Crushed Stone Ballast

This paper is mainly aimed at the mechanics characteristic elas of ticity-plasticitystickiness existed in the CWR (continuously welded rails) track plane of the railway crushed stone ballast. As an important mechanics parameter of the CWR track plane, the ballast resistance is mainly influenced by this mechanics characteristic. Through the systematic experimental research and the theoretical analysis, this mechanics characteristic of the ballast resistance is revealed and a reasonable theoretical model is built for it. This study set a sound foundation for further studying the CWR track deformation property. It will be beneficial to the development of high-speed railway in China.     

高温多雨地区高等级沥青路面材料的分析与应用措施

针对南方高温多雨地区的气候特点 ,为解决沥青混凝土路面修筑后的高温稳定性和水稳定性这两个突出的问题 ,依据本单位的一个工程实践 ,从集料、沥青、级配设计、施工工艺等方面进行了系统的分析与阐述。说明高温多雨地区高等级沥青路面只要材料科学选择、严格控制、应用措施得当 ,质量是能够达到规范要求的     

水－仲丁醇－碳4三元体系8MPa时的液液平衡

在国内首次建立的一套温度高达３５０℃，压力直至２０ＭＰａ的高压液液相平衡测定装置上，测定了水－仲丁醇－碳４三元体系在８ＭＰａ和４０３．１５，４２３．１５，４４３．１５Ｋ时液液相平衡数据。采用修改的Ｒ－Ｋ方程对此数据进行了理论关联。关联结果与实验数据一致。     

Coalignment of vimentin intermediate filaments with microtubules depends on kinesin.

Intermediate filaments in most types of cultured cells coalign with microtubules. Depolymerization of microtubules results in collapse of vimentin and desmin intermediate filaments to the nucleus where they form a perinuclear cap. Collapse can also be induced by microinjection of antibodies against intermediate filament or microtubule proteins. Thus, two filament systems interact with each other. But the molecules mediating this interaction are unknown. One of the candidates for this role is a microtubule motor kinesin. Recent data showed that kinesin is involved in the plus end-directed movement of the membranous organelles along microtubules such as radial extension of lysosomes in macrophages and centrifugal movement of pigment in melanophores. Here we report that injection of the anti-kinesin antibody into human fibroblasts results in the redistribution of intermediate filaments to a tight perinuclear aggregate but had no effect on the distribution of microtubules. Thus, kinesin is involved not only in organelle movement but also in interaction of the two major cytoskeletal systems, intermediate filaments and microtubules.