Signal Diffusion Mapping: Optimal Forecasting with Time‐Varying Lags

We introduce a new methodology for forecasting, which we call signal diffusion mapping. Our approach accommodates features of real‐world financial data which have been ignored historically in existing forecasting methodologies. Our method builds upon well‐established and accepted methods from other areas of statistical analysis. We develop and adapt those models for use in forecasting. We also present tests of our model on data in which we demonstrate the efficacy of our approach. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Mathematics, technics, and courtly life in Late Renaissance Urbino

The present article seeks to provide an overview of the general characteristics of the cultural and scientific climate in the Duchy of Urbino. Three of the Duchy’s milieus seem to have been particularly important for scholars who were engaged in the study of mathematics: the so-called “School of Urbino”, the environment of the court, and the world of the technicians and engineers. While the Urbino School has already been the object of previous studies, the other two milieus and their effect on the mathematicians’ work have been rather neglected and are, consequently, addressed here. The paper’s final section presents some documents that attest the importance of Renaissance scholars’ interaction with these environments to their actual scientific activity, taking the case of Guidobaldo dal Monte as an example.     

Infection of young Douglas-firs by dwarf mistletoe in the Southwest

Studies in several areas in Arizona and New Mexico show that dwarf mistletoe ( Arceuthobium douglasii ) is rare in young Douglas-firs growing under infected overstories. Less than 5% of the Douglas-firs under 26 years old and less than 6% of those under 1.4m tall were infected in 77 mistletoe-infested stands. Both percent infection and mean dwarf mistletoe rating of young Douglas-firs increased as tree age, height, and stand dwarf mistletoe ratings increased.     

Winter macroinvertebrate communities in two montane Wyoming streams

Macroinvertebrate communities were examined on 4 winter dates over a 4-yr period in 2 high-altitude Rocky Mountain streams to document overwintering assemblages potentially experiencing spring acid pulses. Taxa richness values were comparable to other published lists for alpine and montane stream systems despite the fact that most literature reflected summer collections. Mean benthic density ranged from 1406 to 19,734 organisms/m 2 , and drift rates ranged from 0 to 1740 organisms/100 m 3 . Benthic collections showed higher taxa richness than drift collections while the Ephemeroptera and Plecoptera occurred in greater proportions in drift than in benthos. The Nemouridae (Plecoptera), Ephemerellidae and Heptageniidae (Ephemeroptera), Chironomidae (Diptera), and Hydracarina were the numerically dominant taxa in benthic collections. Grazer/scrapers and shredder/detritivores were always the numerically dominant functional feeding groups at all sites, composing 60-90% of the benthos. Predators, constituting approximately 15% of the community, occurred in the same relative proportion at all sites on all dates. Winter macroinvertebrate communities in these low-order, montane streams exhibit high taxonomic richness and benthic densities as great as lower-elevation mountain streams in the West.     

Feinstruktur von Pilzzellen. II. Endogene Konidienbildung beiPenicillium cyclopium

Summary On investigation by electron microscope of the phialides of a strain ofPenicillium cyclopium endogenous layed proconidia could often be observed.     

Towards a Contingency Resource-Based View of IT Business Value

Empirical research on the business value of IT has often been underpinned by the indispensable tenet of resource complementarity in the resource-based view (RBV) and the crucial concept of fit rooted in contingency theory. Increasingly, it has been recognised that IT needs to be integrated with other organisational factors to create business value. However, empirical studies differ in varying degrees from what organisational factors to be examined and their research findings, but also have been largely biased towards examining pairwise relationships between IT and organisational factors. This paper argues that IT is an integral part of a system of interrelated organisational factors and that a holistic approach is required to further understand when, how and why IT creates business value. After summarising what has been learnt from empirical studies of IT business value, this paper discusses the key conceptual issues of internal fit and resource complementarity as currently conceptualised and employed in the research domain. In order to continue advancing knowledge, this paper argues for and presents a contingency RBV to provide an alternative conceptualisation of IT business value. Essentially, the contingency RBV conjectures that the level of IT business value depends on the interaction of a whole system subject simultaneously to multiple moderators and mediators. Finally, this paper concludes with a discussion of the value of the contingency RBV and its implications for future research.     

Detecting excitation and magnetization of individual dopants in a semiconductor

An individual magnetic atom doped into a semiconductor is a promising building block for bottom-up spintronic devices and quantum logic gates. Moreover, it provides a perfect model system for the atomic-scale investigation of fundamental effects such as magnetism in dilute magnetic semiconductors. However, dopants in semiconductors so far have not been studied by magnetically sensitive techniques with atomic resolution that correlate the atomic structure with the dopant's magnetism. Here we show electrical excitation and read-out of a spin associated with a single magnetic dopant in a semiconductor host. We use spin-resolved scanning tunnelling spectroscopy to measure the spin excitations and the magnetization curve of individual iron surface-dopants embedded within a two-dimensional electron gas confined to an indium antimonide (110) surface. The dopants act like isolated quantum spins the states of which are governed by a substantial magnetic anisotropy that forces the spin to lie in the surface plane. This result is corroborated by our first principles calculations. The demonstrated methodology opens new routes for the investigation of sample systems that are more widely studied in the field of spintronics-that is, Mn in GaAs (ref. 5), magnetic ions in semiconductor quantum dots, nitrogen-vacancy centres in diamond and phosphorus spins in silicon.