市场机制和政府调控下的产学研合作创新网络演化博弈仿真——以新能源汽车产业为例

以新能源汽车产学研合作创新网络为实证分析对象,运用网络演化博弈理论和仿真分析方法,剖析在市场机制和政府调控下,产学研合作创新网络中创新主体合作行为与网络结构在互动过程下的演化规律。研究结果表明：市场机制和政府调控对于创新主体维护合作行为和网络集聚都具有促进作用;创新主体合作行为与网络结构之间具有协同互动关系,并且市场机制和政府调控的作用越大,两者间协同互动作用越明显。在市场机制下,市场机制作用的增强会降低网络演化的速度;只有当市场机制作用超过一定阈值时,维护合作行为才会在创新主体间涌现出来。在政府调控下,创新主体对于政府调控较为敏感;当政府调控力度处于阈值水平时,不利于创新主体间合作关系的维持。     

人脸表情识别综述

作为生物特征识别与情感计算领域的一个极富挑战性的交叉课题,人脸表情自动识别技术在各种应用的推动下发展很快,但鲁棒的自动人脸表情识别系统至今尚未建立.人脸表情识别的3个关键环节是人脸检测(定位)、脸部表情特征提取和人脸表情的情感分类.目前上述环节上均取得了重要进展.本文就这三方面分别进行了分类总结。     

A decision rule to minimize daily capital charges in forecasting value‐at‐risk

Under the Basel II Accord, banks and other authorized deposit‐taking institutions (ADIs) have to communicate their daily risk estimates to the monetary authorities at the beginning of the trading day, using a variety of value‐at‐risk (VaR) models to measure risk. Sometimes the risk estimates communicated using these models are too high, thereby leading to large capital requirements and high capital costs. At other times, the risk estimates are too low, leading to excessive violations, so that realized losses are above the estimated risk. In this paper we analyze the profit‐maximizing problem of an ADI subject to capital requirements under the Basel II Accord as ADIs have to choose an optimal VaR reporting strategy that minimizes daily capital charges. Accordingly, we suggest a dynamic communication and forecasting strategy that responds to violations in a discrete and instantaneous manner, while adapting more slowly in periods of no violations. We apply the proposed strategy to Standard & Poor's 500 Index and show there can be substantial savings in daily capital charges, while restricting the number of violations to within the Basel II penalty limits. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A genome-wide association study in Han Chinese identifies new susceptibility loci for ankylosing spondylitis

To identify susceptibility loci for ankylosing spondylitis, we performed a two-stage genome-wide association study in Han Chinese. In the discovery stage, we analyzed 1,356,350 autosomal SNPs in 1,837 individuals with ankylosing spondylitis and 4,231 controls; in the validation stage, we analyzed 30 suggestive SNPs in an additional 2,100 affected individuals and 3,496 controls. We identified two new susceptibility loci between EDIL3 and HAPLN1 at 5q14.3 (rs4552569; P = 8.77 × 10(-10)) and within ANO6 at 12q12 (rs17095830; P = 1.63 × 10(-8)). We also confirmed previously reported associations in Europeans within the major histocompatibility complex (MHC) region (top SNP, rs13202464; P < 5 × 10(-324)) and at 2p15 (rs10865331; P = 1.98 × 10(-8)). We show that rs13202464 within the MHC region mainly represents the risk effect of HLA-B*27 variants (including HLA-B*2704, HLA-B*2705 and HLA-B*2715) in Chinese. The two newly discovered loci implicate genes related to bone formation and cartilage development, suggesting their potential involvement in the etiology of ankylosing spondylitis.     

Transient receptor potential canonical channels in angiogenesis and axon guidance

Wiring of vascular and neural networks requires precise guidance of growing blood vessels and axons, respectively, to reach their targets during development. Both of the processes share common molecular signaling pathways. Transient receptor potential canonical (TRPC) channels are calcium-permeable cation channels and gated via receptor- or store-operated mechanisms. Recent studies have revealed the requirement of TRPC channels in mediating guidance cue-induced calcium influx and their essential roles in regulating axon navigation and angiogenesis. Dissecting TRPC functions in these physiological processes may provide therapeutic implications for suppressing pathological angiogenesis and improving nerve regeneration.     

Assembly and regulation of ASC specks

The inflammasome adapter ASC links activated inflammasome sensors to the effector molecule pro-caspase-1. Recruitment of pro-caspase-1 to ASC promotes the autocatalytic activation of caspase-1, which leads to the release of pro-inflammatory cytokines, such as IL-1β. Upon triggering of inflammasome sensors, ASC assembles into large helical fibrils that interact with each other serving as a supramolecular signaling platform termed the ASC speck. Alternative splicing, post-translational modifications of ASC, as well as interaction with other proteins can perturb ASC function. In several inflammatory diseases, ASC specks can be found in the extracellular space and its presence correlates with poor prognosis. Here, we review the role of ASC in inflammation, and focus on the structural mechanisms that lead to ASC speck formation, the regulation of ASC function during inflammasome assembly, and the importance of ASC specks in disease.     

基于Kriging模型与重要性抽样的可靠性灵敏度分析

针对因无法获得功能函数的梯度信息而不能使用解析方法的情形,提出了进行可靠性灵敏度分析的高效的仿真方法,首先基于Kriging模型和重要性抽样去计算失效概率,然后通过记分函数(score function)方法求出失效概率对各个参数的偏导数。在计算失效概率时采用反问题(inversion problems)中的不确定性逐步减少(stepwise uncertainty reduction)准则来更新功能函数的Kriging模型,继而在重要性抽样的框架下将失效概率表示成一个"增大"的失效概率与修正项的乘积;而记分函数方法只是对前面抽样方法的一个简单后处理,不需要计算额外的功能函数值.对所提方法使用算例验证表明:当功能函数为昂贵的计算模型或对系统(非单个构件)进行灵敏度分析时,该方法具有较高的计算效率和精度。     

Bell state preparation based on switching between quantum system models

For the preparation of any target Bell state under continuous quantum measurement, this paper proposes a method which achieves the control objective by switching between two different models or by switching between two control channels under one model. Proper control Hamiltonians are selected for the two system models, a switching strategy between the two models is designed, and the stability of the whole switching system is proved in theory. For a given target Bell state, the effectiveness of the proposed switching control strategy between different models is illustrated through simulation experiments.     

Hybrid Forecasting with Estimated Temporally Aggregated Linear Processes

We introduce a new strategy for the prediction of linear temporal aggregates; we call it ‘hybrid’ and study its performance using asymptotic theory. This scheme consists of carrying out model parameter estimation with data sampled at the highest available frequency and the subsequent prediction with data and models aggregated according to the forecasting horizon of interest. We develop explicit expressions that approximately quantify the mean square forecasting errors associated with the different prediction schemes and that take into account the estimation error component. These approximate estimates indicate that the hybrid forecasting scheme tends to outperform the so‐called ‘all‐aggregated’ approach and, in some instances, the ‘all‐disaggregated’ strategy that is known to be optimal when model selection and estimation errors are neglected. Unlike other related approximate formulas existing in the literature, those proposed in this paper are totally explicit and require neither assumptions on the second‐order stationarity of the sample nor Monte Carlo simulations for their evaluation. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.