基于LWSVR的繁忙机场航班滑出时间预测

针对繁忙机场航班滑出时间预测准确率低的问题,结合局部回归和加权支持向量回归,提出基于局部加权支持向量回归的离港航班滑出时间预测模型。该模型采用K最近邻方法,减小训练样本集容量,并为每个预测样本构建一个预测模型。通过计算训练样本与预测样本间的马氏距离,来优化加权支持向量回归中高斯核加权函数的带宽参数,获得加权系数。结合某机场离港航班数据仿真分析,实验结果表明模型在误差允许范围内的预测准确率达到83.33%,模型更加稳定。     

基于判别矩阵的潜艇作战态势认知决策建模方法

潜艇作战具备复杂环境中的动态博弈对抗特点,作战人员的态势认知与决策行为对潜艇作战效能有着重要影响。针对潜艇交战级作战实验中的态势认知决策建模难题,在分析态势认知决策过程的基础上提炼表征变量集合,提出基于判别矩阵的潜艇作战态势认知决策建模方法,并以某型潜艇交战级对抗为例研究给定想定条件下的态势认知决策过程,验证了方法的可行性和有效性。建立的模型能够有效刻画作战人员认知决策过程,支持潜艇作战实验中的交战机理和制胜机理研究。     

群体演出活动服装虚拟仿真系统设计与实现

服装在群体演出活动中发挥重要作用,直接影响整体演出效果呈现。为实现群体演出活动服装的虚拟设计和虚拟演练目标,设计实现群体演出活动服装虚拟仿真系统。利用CLO3D建立人体模型,构建服装个体模型,将人体和服装模型导入Unity后,调整服装材质并且添加纹理图,在Unity中复制成群体,开发演出场景虚拟仿真的交互界面,实现群体演出服装整体效果的设计与可视化虚拟仿真。仿真结果表明,虚拟仿真技术能够模拟出群体演出活动的大体效果,节约排练成本,缩短排练的周期。     

基于资源约束的项目区域风险回应策略选择研究

根据项目区域风险的特点，从资源约束的角度建立项目区域风险回应策略选择模型，并利用动态规划设计出该模型的分步解法，较为全面科学地得出最优方案。最后，用一个算例说明方法的可行性和有效性。     

The Differentiated Effect of Administrative Policy in China's Housing Market——Based on the Heterogeneous Households Multi-Agent Model

Since 2010, Chinese government has introduced a series of administrative policies to limit speculation in the housing market to stabilize price fluctuations and keep the housing market in a healthy state of development. In order to investigate whether administrative policy can play its due role, this paper constructs a comprehensive bottom-up housing market heterogeneous households multiagent model(HHMAM) to undertake research on the differentiated effect of administrative policy in different cities. The empirical studies find that: 1) Administrative policy that increases interest rates will cause housing prices to continue to decline in the long term, but they will resume a rising trend after reaching the lowest point; 2) If the government cancels a property-purchasing limitation, housing prices will continue to rise; and 3) investors tend to invest in 1~(st)-tier cities due to the high demand and greater likelihood of appreciation in these cities.     

Learning-based force servoing control of a robot with vision in an unknown environment

A learning-based control approach is presented for force servoing of a robot with vision in an unknown environment. Firstly, mapping relationships between image features of the servoing object and the joint angles of the robot are derived and learned by a neural network. Secondly, a learning controller based on the neural network is designed for the robot to trace the object. Thirdly, a discrete time impedance control law is obtained for the force servoing of the robot, the on-line learning algorithms for three neural networks are developed to adjust the impedance parameters of the robot in the unknown environment. Lastly, wiping experiments are carried out by using a 6 DOF industrial robot with a CCD camera and a force/torque sensor in its end effector, and the experimental results confirm the effecti veness of the approach.     

Robust stability test for 2-D continuous-discrete systems with interval parameters

It is revealed that the dynamic stability of 2-D recursive continuous-discrete systems with interval parameters involves the problem of robust Hurwitz-Schur stability of bivariate polynomials family. It is proved that the Hurwitz-Schur stability of the denominator polynomials of the systems is necessary and sufficient for the asymptotic stability of the 2-D hybrid systems. The 2-D hybrid transformation, i. e. 2-D Laplace-Z transformation, has been proposed to solve the stability analysis of the 2-D continuous-discrete systems, to get the 2-D hybrid transfer functions of the systems. The edge test for the Hurwitz-Schur stability of interval bivariate polynomials is introduced. The Hurwitz-Schur stability of the interval family of 2-D polynomials can be guaranteed by the stability of its finite edge polynomials of the family. An algorithm about the stability test of edge polynomials is given.     

超分辨率处理中振铃现象的分析与抑制

为了抑制在实施FFT插值法重构的超分辨率图像中可能出现的振铃现象 ,深入分析了出现振铃现象的原因及产生条件 ,在此基础上设计了抑制振铃的频域补偿滤波器及其自适应算法。大量实验和比较结果表明 ,处理后的图像不但分辨率有所提高 ,而且未出现振铃现象 ,质量更好 ,从而证明了所设计的抑制振铃频域补偿滤波器及其自适应算法的有效性。     

匹配于进化种群的局部网络图度量

为了分析匹配于进化种群的贝叶斯网络结构 ,给出了用于刻画局部贝叶斯网络度量的有关表示。依据贝叶斯狄利克雷度量 ,对于贝叶斯网络图中的 3个顶点 (对应于染色体的某 3个基因位置 ) ,研究了 3个顶点无连接、其中只有两个顶点存在有向连接、及 3个顶点存在两条有向边时的度量值关系。揭示了局部贝叶斯网络结构的固有特性 ,为进一步研究进化算法的种群结构提供了一条可行的途径。     

具有随机偏差的最优多段卡尔曼估值器

提出了具有随机偏差的最优多段卡尔曼估值器。针对状态模型与观测模型同时具有偏差且偏差模型噪声与状态模型噪声相关的情况 ,给出了具有随机偏差的状态方程的增广状态 ,并通过U V变换对卡尔曼估值器的协方差矩阵解耦得到了最优多段卡尔曼估值器。结果表明 ,多段卡尔曼估值器不仅是最优的 ,而且降低了计算的复杂度