乙烷—丙烷混合裂解模型及产率预计

本文研究了乙烷和丙烷的混合裂解,并与乙烷、丙烷单独裂解进行了比较。解决了微分方程组的刚性问题,提出了混合裂解反应动力学模型。明确了三种选择性的概念,即;真实选择性、迭加选择性和总选择性,从而澄清了国际上对于选择性有正偏差和负偏差的不同观点。为乙烯生产提供了有效利用乙烷和丙烷的分析评价方法。     

半导体激光器行波速率方程的研究

考虑了ＩｎＧａＡｓＰ半导体激光器的俄歇效应后，对描述稳态运行的半导体激光器的行波速率方程组进行了修正，求得了隐函形式的解析解，并以此对激光器的一些重要持性进行了讨论。     

Technical Notes ：STUDIES ON THE VALUE OF SECONDARY MARKET TO THE SUPPLY CHAIN

This paper investigates the impact of a secondary market, where retailers can buy and sell excessinventories, on the supply chain. We develop a two-period model with a single manufacturer and tworetailers. At the beginning of the first period the retailers order and receive products from themanufacturer, but at the beginning of the second period, they can trade surplus products betweenthemselves in the secondary market. We investigate the impact of the correlated dependence ofretailers' demand on both the quantity effect and the allocation effect under the secondary market.Lastly,we study potential strategies for the manufacturer to increase sales with the existence of thesecondary market.     

管道纺包芯纱的研究

本文研究了在管道纺纱机上不添加构件而进行包芯纱的纺制。分析了其包芯纱的成纱机理。观察了实际成纱的横截面,证实了棉纤维能够均匀地、完全地包覆在芯丝的周围。也对不同性质的芯丝所纺包芯纱的结构作了观察,并对不同成纱的性质随速度增加而变化的规律作了研究。     

Non-Minimum Phase Nonlinear System Predictive Control Based on Local Recurrent Neural Networks

Abstract: After a recursive multi-step-ahead predictor for nonlinear systems based on local recurrent neural networks isintroduced, an intelligent PID controller is adopted to correct the errors including identified model errors and accumulatederrors produced in the recursive process. Characterized by predictive control, this method can achieve a good controlaccuracy and has good robustness. A simulation study shows that this control algorithm is very effective.     

对先进生产力与先进文化之间关系的结构性解读

为了实现“中华民族的伟大复兴” ,需要理论指导 ,对“什么是先进生产力和什么是先进文化”二者之间的关系及结构进行的解读 ,其目的在于指出要达到的二者动态平衡将是一个艰巨、长期和复杂的过程。     

工业企业经营销售管理信息系统及预测模型

本文以工业企业经营销售系统为问题研究的着眼点，对建立企业的经营销售管理信息系统作了理论和实践上的探讨。本文运用信息论、系统论和控制论的观点及原理，研究了经营销售管理系统的组成结构，并以上海轴承公司为实例背景，设计建立了经营销售应量分析的预测数学模型．     

一种评定实验教学质量与学习效果的方法研究

本文分析了实验教学评价的特殊性、复杂性与重要性。介绍了运用权重法评定实验教学效果的基本步骤方法。设计了用权重法评定实验教学质量与学习效果的两例评估计算方法。提出了还可以根据实验教学的实践性特点,用权重法设定专项评价和制作自动评价系统课件的设想。     

Subset threshold autoregression

We develop in this paper an efficient way to select the best subset threshold autoregressive model. The proposed method uses a stochastic search idea. Differing from most conventional approaches, our method does not require us to fix the delay or the threshold parameters in advance. By adopting the Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques, we can identify the best subset model from a very large of number of possible models, and at the same time estimate the unknown parameters. A simulation experiment shows that the method is very effective. In its application to the US unemployment rate, the stochastic search method successfully selects lag one as the time delay and five best models from more than 4000 choices. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.