A bayesian forecasting model for sequential bidding

In this paper we consider the problem facing a company in selecting the values of bids to submit on a sequence of contracts put out to tender. A simple-to-implement Bayesian forecasting model is presented, based on a steady Dirichlet process whose states are indexed by the possible bid decisions open to the company. The model gives an explicit algorithm for calculating the state probabilities, needing only data on the lowest bid made by the company's competitors. The flexibility of the basic model makes it a potentially powerful forecasting system for use by companies bidding for contracts.     

超铹元素及未来元素周期表

本文根据元素周期律,在原子结构理论的基础上,讨论铹以后元素的结构规律,并预测第一、第二、第三稳定岛附近存在元素的可能性,绘制出新的元素周期表。     

Synthesis and Characterization of Cross-linked Poly (β-Cyclodextin) Graft Poly(lactic acid) through Direct Polycondensation

1 Results Polylactide or polylactic acid (PLA) and poly(lactic-co-glycolic acid) (PLGA) have been utilized as bioabsorbable materials in the medical and pharmaceutical fields due to their biodegradable and biocompatible properties[1].However,due to its hydrophobicity and free carboxylic group,PLA or PLGA was not suitable for use to encapsulate the protein.Recently,poly (ε-caprolactone) and poly (D,L-lactide) were respectively grafted onto hydrophilic dextrin and gelatin to obtain the amphiphilic biodeg...     

Emodin inhibits tumor cell migration through suppression of the phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase-Cdc42/Rac1 pathway

Enhanced cell migration is one of the underlying mechanisms in cancer invasion and metastasis. Therefore, inhibition of cell migration is considered to be an effective strategy for prevention of cancer metastasis. We found that emodin (3-methyl-1,6,8-trihydroxyanthraquinone), an active component from the rhizome of Rheum palmatum, significantly inhibited epidermal growth factor (EGF)- induced migration in various human cancer cell lines. In the search for the underlying molecular mechanisms, we demonstrated that phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase (PI3K) serves as the molecular target for emodin. In addition, emodin markedly suppressed EGF-induced activation of Cdc42 and Rac1 and the corresponding cytoskeleton changes. Moreover, emodin, but not LY294002, was able to block cell migration in cells transfected with constitutively active (CA)-Cdc42 and CA-Rac1 by interference with the formation of Cdc42/Rac1 and the p21-activated kinase complex. Taken together, data from this study suggest that emodin inhibits human cancer cell migration by suppressing the PI3K-Cdc42/Rac1 signaling pathway.Received 7 February 2005; received after revision 11 March 2005; accepted 18 March 2005     

Neuroanatomy of sea spiders implies an appendicular origin of the protocerebral segment

Independent specialization of arthropod body segments has led to more than a century of debate on the homology of morphologically diverse segments, each defined by a lateral appendage and a ganglion of the central nervous system. The plesiomorphic composition of the arthropod head remains enigmatic because variation in segments and corresponding appendages is extreme. Within extant arthropod classes (Chelicerata, Myriapoda, Crustacea and Hexapoda--including the insects), correspondences between the appendage-bearing second (deutocerebral) and third (tritocerebral) cephalic neuromeres have been recently resolved on the basis of immunohistochemistry and Hox gene expression patterns. However, no appendage targets the first ganglion, the protocerebrum, and the corresponding segmental identity of this anterior region remains unclear. Reconstructions of stem-group arthropods indicate that the anteriormost region originally might have borne an ocular apparatus and a frontal appendage innervated by the protocerebrum. However, no study of the central nervous system in extant arthropods has been able to corroborate this idea directly, although recent analyses of cephalic gene expression patterns in insects suggest a segmental status for the protocerebral region. Here we investigate the developmental neuroanatomy of a putative basal arthropod, the pycnogonid sea spider, with immunohistochemical techniques. We show that the first pair of appendages, the chelifores, are innervated at an anterior position on the protocerebrum. This is the first true appendage shown to be innervated by the protocerebrum, and thus pycnogonid chelifores are not positionally homologous to appendages of extant arthropods but might, in fact, be homologous to the 'great appendages' of certain Cambrian stem-group arthropods.     

Recursive syntactic pattern learning by songbirds

Humans regularly produce new utterances that are understood by other members of the same language community. Linguistic theories account for this ability through the use of syntactic rules (or generative grammars) that describe the acceptable structure of utterances. The recursive, hierarchical embedding of language units (for example, words or phrases within shorter sentences) that is part of the ability to construct new utterances minimally requires a 'context-free' grammar that is more complex than the 'finite-state' grammars thought sufficient to specify the structure of all non-human communication signals. Recent hypotheses make the central claim that the capacity for syntactic recursion forms the computational core of a uniquely human language faculty. Here we show that European starlings (Sturnus vulgaris) accurately recognize acoustic patterns defined by a recursive, self-embedding, context-free grammar. They are also able to classify new patterns defined by the grammar and reliably exclude agrammatical patterns. Thus, the capacity to classify sequences from recursive, centre-embedded grammars is not uniquely human. This finding opens a new range of complex syntactic processing mechanisms to physiological investigation.