Decision trees for forecasting

Recent years have seen an increasing cross-fertilization between the fields of decision analysis and forecasting. Decision-analytic models often require forecasts as inputs, and aspects of the Bayesian decision-theoretic framework underlying decision analysis have proved useful to forecasting, particularly in contexts where subjective judgemental inputs are required. This paper describes the use of decision tree analysis for forecasting and illustrates its use for corporate divisional forecasting and planning. A specialized decision-analytic technique, acts as events, is also described and illustrated to forecast a new product's earnings. Conclusions are drawn about the applicability of decision analysis for forecasting.     

Indoxyl derivatives of drug metabolites

Summary Indoxyl derivatives were detected as minor products among the urinary metabolites of two trial drugs, a benzodiazepine (GP 55 129) and a benzophenone (CGP 11 952). Their structures were elucidated by NMR and mass spectroscopy. Presumably, metabolites containing potential aldehyde functions react spontaneously with endogenous indoxyl. Such derivatives have not hitherto been encountered in drug metabolism.     

分块三级及矢量量化图像编码

本文提出了一种新的称为分块三级及矢量量化图像压缩编码方法。该方法是以分块截断编码技术和矢量量化技术为基础的编码方法。对两幅512×512×8静态测试图像进行的计算机模拟实验表明:平均编码率低于0.91比特/像素,即图像数据压缩比大于8.8倍,而信噪比不低于37dB,复原图像的主观质量较好。     

利福平菌丝体厌氧生化处理的研究

制药厂生产利福平过程中产生大量的利福平菌丝体,可严重污染环境。用厌氧消化法处理利福平菌丝体,消化温度40℃,反应器容积负荷2KgCOD/m~3·d,液料滞留期(SRT)14～20天,取得了良好的处理效果。COD去除率稳定在90％左右,BOD_5去除率达到95％以上,产气率达到0.49m~3/去除KgCOD。     

精测安培表内阻的新方法——电桥伏安法

本文提出了精测安培表内阻的新方法,并将其与其它测量方法进行了比较。     

水电工程规划设计方案的自动生成及评价

本文介绍了在水电工程规划设计时，如何利用三次自然样条插值函数在有限个方案的基础上自动生成无限多个方案，然后采用多目标综合决策模型在其中选择最优方案的一种方法．文中还给出了程序流程，并以某水电站正常蓄水位选择作为实例，对方法进行了验证，结果与专家决策完全吻合．     

粉粒状物料透气性系数的测定

对经过分级的六种均齐粉粒状物料进行透气性系数测定。结果表明:球形小米颗粒((?)_p=1.70mm),透气性系数K=1.191×10~(-9)m~2,在整个固定床范围内都符合达西定律;石灰石粉((?)_P=0.900mm),K=5.831×10~(-10)m~2。文中还讨论了达西定律的适用依据和透气性系数的影响因素。     

Intramammary expression and therapeutic effect of a human lysozyme-expressing vector for treating bovine mastitis

To develop a gene therapy strategy for treating bovine mastitis, a new mammary-specific vector containing human lysozyme (hLYZ) cDNA and kanamycin resistance gene was constructed for intramammary expression and clinical studies. After one time acupuncture or intracisternal infusion of healthy cows with 400 μg of the p215C3LYZ vector, over 2.0 μg/ml of rhLYZ could be detected by enzymatic assay for about 3 weeks in the milk samples. Western blotting showed that rhLYZ secreted into milk samples from the vector-injected cows had molecular weight similar to that of the natural hLYZ in human colostrums. Twenty days after the primary injection, the quarters were re-injected with the same vector by quarter acupuncture and even higher concentrations of rhLYZ could be detected. Indirect competitive ELISA of milk samples showed that the vector injection did not induce detectable humoral immune response against hLYZ. Clinical studies showed that twice acupuncture of quarters with the p215C3LYZ vector had overt therapeutic effect on clinical and subclinical mastitis previously treated with antibiotics, including disappearance of clinical symptoms and relatively high microbiological cure rates. These data provide a solid rationale for using the vector to develop gene therapy for treating bovine mastitis.