碳交易市场的利益博弈问题研究 ——基于层次分析法和夏普利值法视角

Through establishing Carbon Trading Platform (Carbon Trading Alliance) in the Carbon Trading Market, each participant can benefit more from the cooperation. But, the distributing mechanism of earnings of the market nowadays has a great influence on the development of Carbon Trading Platform. Based on that, the paper firstly utilize the traditional shapley value method to distribute the cooperative earnings of the Carbon Trading Market. Then, the risking factors taken by alliance members were brought in, and the weights of risks obtained trough the method of AHP, and risking coefficient was received. At last the existing results were corrected and the final distribution results were obtained. Finally, an example is used to verify the theory above. The research results show that the allocation system, taking risking factors into account, can improve the members'' enthusiasm to participate in the Carbon Trading Platform and promote the development and improvement of the Carbon Trading Platform and the market. Therefore, the results of this paper can provide a reference for policymakers of Carbon Trading Market.     

基于矩阵分解的降水时空插值方法

为了提高基于雨量站网观测值估算降水空间分布的精度,同时考虑降水的时序发展趋势和站点空间分布,将传统的插值方法(反距离权重法、普通克里金法)和Funk矩阵分解(Funk-SVD)模型结合,提出了一种基于矩阵分解的插值方法,并采用黄河流域小浪底到花园口区间2009-2012年多场降水的日观测数据进行了精度检验.结果表明,通...     

主动健康管理模式的构建策略

 为积极应对中国人口老龄化的重要任务，提出了主动健康管理（PHM）服务模式的理念。PHM是以人为本的模式，强调个人是健康的“第一责任人”，旨在实现“人人参与、人人尽力、人人享有”的健康管理模式。剖析了中国健康管理学科的发展历程，提出开创“主动健康模式”新时代所需要的5个发展维度，即通过提高主动健康管理素养水平，精准预测健康风险，智能预警预测健康事件，有效干预健康结局，从而促进全民健康。基于这5个发展维度，探讨了主动健康管理新模式所需的支撑条件和技术体系，包括理念变革及政策支持、信息技术与物联网技术、健康监测技术、健康行为干预技术以及推进社区示范与评价研究，总结了主动健康管理模式在健康管理学、数据生态领域、人工智能、社区实践、循证医疗发展中存在的问题和未来攻关方向。