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Projected increase in continental runoff due to plant responses to increasing carbon dioxide 总被引:13,自引:0,他引:13
Betts RA Boucher O Collins M Cox PM Falloon PD Gedney N Hemming DL Huntingford C Jones CD Sexton DM Webb MJ 《Nature》2007,448(7157):1037-1041
In addition to influencing climatic conditions directly through radiative forcing, increasing carbon dioxide concentration influences the climate system through its effects on plant physiology. Plant stomata generally open less widely under increased carbon dioxide concentration, which reduces transpiration and thus leaves more water at the land surface. This driver of change in the climate system, which we term 'physiological forcing', has been detected in observational records of increasing average continental runoff over the twentieth century. Here we use an ensemble of experiments with a global climate model that includes a vegetation component to assess the contribution of physiological forcing to future changes in continental runoff, in the context of uncertainties in future precipitation. We find that the physiological effect of doubled carbon dioxide concentrations on plant transpiration increases simulated global mean runoff by 6 per cent relative to pre-industrial levels; an increase that is comparable to that simulated in response to radiatively forced climate change (11 +/- 6 per cent). Assessments of the effect of increasing carbon dioxide concentrations on the hydrological cycle that only consider radiative forcing will therefore tend to underestimate future increases in runoff and overestimate decreases. This suggests that freshwater resources may be less limited than previously assumed under scenarios of future global warming, although there is still an increased risk of drought. Moreover, our results highlight that the practice of assessing the climate-forcing potential of all greenhouse gases in terms of their radiative forcing potential relative to carbon dioxide does not accurately reflect the relative effects of different greenhouse gases on freshwater resources. 相似文献
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There are three kinds of sources available to reconstruct the reflections that led Einstein to special relativity: a few contemporary letters and documents, his impersonal accounts of the genesis of this theory, and recollections of his own path. At first glance, contradictions within and between these sources hamper the reliability of Einstein’s accounts. Yet, a closer analysis reveals much more consistency than foreseen and helps eliminate the dubious, contradictory elements. It then becomes possible to combine the three kinds of sources to produce a minimally speculative and yet fairly coherent account of the genesis of special relativity. 相似文献
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G Olivier G Devigne 《Comptes rendus des séances de l'Académie des sciences. Série D, Sciences naturelles》1978,286(8):611-613
Mental abilities and inbreeding. The comparison between 1,302 adults born from consanguineous marriages underlines a heavy depression of mental abilities. The load of inbreeding equals the load of environment, both adding their influences, without interaction. Homozygosity acts probably more particularly on the brain. 相似文献
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Bi-allelic inactivation of TCF1 in hepatic adenomas 总被引:9,自引:0,他引:9
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