Which survey indicators are useful for monitoring consumption? Evidence from European countries

This paper assesses the information content of two survey indicators for consumption developments in the near future for eight European countries in the period 1985–1998. Empirical work on this topic typically focuses on consumer confidence, the perceptions of buyers of consumption goods. This paper examines whether perceptions of sellers of consumption goods, measured by retail trade surveys, may also improve short‐term monitoring of consumption. We find that both consumer confidence and retailer confidence embody valuable information, when analysed in isolation. For France, Italy and Spain we conclude that adding retail confidence does not improve the indicator model once consumer confidence has been included. For the UK the reverse case is obtained. For the remaining four countries we show that combining consumer sentiment and retail trade confidence into a composite indicator leads to optimal results. Our results suggest that incorporating information from retail trade surveys may offer significant benefits for the analysis of short‐term prospects of consumption. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

省级旅游市场供给环境及其评价方法研究--以山东省为例

旅游市场供给的内容十分丰富，其质量和效益的高低可通过对旅游市场的供给环境分析加以确定。本文在对旅游市场供给环境做简要分析的基础上，主要采用层次分析法对山东省旅游市场供给环境做出综合评价，为供给方充分利用和认识市场环境，发挥优势，寻找市场机会提供参考依据。     

构建层次化教学体系,培养学生创新能力--我院物理实验教学改革的实际与成效

结合我院近一两年物理实验教学改革的实际，阐述了在普通高校中如何根据自身的特点开展物理实验教学改革，以及我们在改革中所取得的初步成果。     

SO_4~(2)/ZrO_2-SiO_2超强酸催化剂研究(Ⅲ)——酸性及比表面积(英文)

系统地研究了SO2 - 4/ZrO2 _SiO2 催化剂的酸性和比表面积 ,采用吸附吡啶的红外光谱法、BET法以及指示剂法考察了催化剂的组成、温度以及其他处理条件对催化剂酸强度以及催化剂比表面积的影响 .实验结果表明 :在硅锆比小于 10时 ,SO2 - 4/ZrO2 _SiO2 催化剂的比表面积随催化剂中硅锆比的增高而增大 ;在硅锆比为 10左右时 ,比表面积可高达 4 40m2 / g ,数倍于SO2 - 4/ZrO2 催化剂的比表面积 .在相同处理条件下 ,SO2 - 4/ZrO2 _SiO2 催化剂的酸强度低于SO2 - 4/ZrO2 的酸强度 .吸附吡啶的红外光谱证明该催化剂的表面酸点多为Lewis酸点     

Timed bromocriptine administration reduces body fat stores in obese subjects and hyperglycemia in type II diabetics.

Obese postmenopausal female volunteers were given timed daily oral dosages of bromocriptine, and tested for reduction of body fat stores. This dopamine agonist has been shown to reset circadian rhythms that are altered in obese animals and to reduce body fat levels in several animal models. The participants were instructed not to alter their existing exercise and eating behavior during treatment. Skinfold measurements were taken on 33 subjects as indices of body fat. The measurements (e.g., suprailiac) were reduced after six weeks by about 25%, which represents a reduction of 11.7% of the total body fat. These dramatic decreases in body fat, which are equivalent to that produced by severe caloric restriction, were accompanied by more modest reductions of body weight (2.5%), indicating a possible conservation of protein that is usually lost as a consequence of such caloric restriction. The effects of bromocriptine treatment on body fat and hyperglycemia were also examined in non-insulin dependent diabetics being treated with oral hypoglycemics (7 subjects) or insulin (7 subjects). Total body fat was reduced by 10.7% and 5.1% in diabetics on oral hypoglycemics and insulin, respectively, without any significant reductions in body weight. Hyperglycemia was reduced in most of the 15 diabetic subjects treated leading to euglycemia and even cessation of hypoglycemic drugs in 3 of the 7 subjects during 4-8 weeks of bromocriptine treatment. These findings support the hypothesis that obesity and type II diabetes may be treated effectively with bromocriptine when administered at the proper times and dosages.     

谈DBASEⅢ数组变量的设计与应用

本文提出混合类型数组的概念,将DBASEⅢ管理系统数据库转换成二维数组变量,解决了在DBASEⅢ中没有数组变量的缺陷。为通用管理程序的设计、不同类型数据的处理以及提高运行速度等,都带来很多方便。     

试论"代表先进社会生产力发展要求"是对历史唯物主义的新发展

中国共产党始终代表中国先进生产力的发展要求的论断,是站在历史唯物主义的角度,揭示出我们党兴旺发达的根本动力.     

舟山朱家尖岛的海滨底栖无脊椎动物

根据1986～1987年逐月调查和1987年以来结合教学实习采集的朱家尖海滨底栖无脊椎动物资料,并参考前人对该岛的调查,叙述了朱家尖岛海滨底栖无脊椎动物10门257种,分析了生活潮区、栖息底质等,提出了该岛潮间带生物资源保护的建议。