Decision trees for forecasting

Recent years have seen an increasing cross-fertilization between the fields of decision analysis and forecasting. Decision-analytic models often require forecasts as inputs, and aspects of the Bayesian decision-theoretic framework underlying decision analysis have proved useful to forecasting, particularly in contexts where subjective judgemental inputs are required. This paper describes the use of decision tree analysis for forecasting and illustrates its use for corporate divisional forecasting and planning. A specialized decision-analytic technique, acts as events, is also described and illustrated to forecast a new product's earnings. Conclusions are drawn about the applicability of decision analysis for forecasting.     

Indoxyl derivatives of drug metabolites

Summary Indoxyl derivatives were detected as minor products among the urinary metabolites of two trial drugs, a benzodiazepine (GP 55 129) and a benzophenone (CGP 11 952). Their structures were elucidated by NMR and mass spectroscopy. Presumably, metabolites containing potential aldehyde functions react spontaneously with endogenous indoxyl. Such derivatives have not hitherto been encountered in drug metabolism.     

阶段原型法及其支持环境

本文介绍了阶段原型法(SPA)及其支持环境(PEMIS)的总体结构和主要功能,探讨了知识库和推理机制在循环控制中的作用,以及软件重用技术、图形接口技术和应用生成技术等实现技术。     

分块三级及矢量量化图像编码

本文提出了一种新的称为分块三级及矢量量化图像压缩编码方法。该方法是以分块截断编码技术和矢量量化技术为基础的编码方法。对两幅512×512×8静态测试图像进行的计算机模拟实验表明:平均编码率低于0.91比特/像素,即图像数据压缩比大于8.8倍,而信噪比不低于37dB,复原图像的主观质量较好。     

粉粒状物料透气性系数的测定

对经过分级的六种均齐粉粒状物料进行透气性系数测定。结果表明:球形小米颗粒((?)_p=1.70mm),透气性系数K=1.191×10~(-9)m~2,在整个固定床范围内都符合达西定律;石灰石粉((?)_P=0.900mm),K=5.831×10~(-10)m~2。文中还讨论了达西定律的适用依据和透气性系数的影响因素。     

Intramammary expression and therapeutic effect of a human lysozyme-expressing vector for treating bovine mastitis

To develop a gene therapy strategy for treating bovine mastitis, a new mammary-specific vector containing human lysozyme (hLYZ) cDNA and kanamycin resistance gene was constructed for intramammary expression and clinical studies. After one time acupuncture or intracisternal infusion of healthy cows with 400 μg of the p215C3LYZ vector, over 2.0 μg/ml of rhLYZ could be detected by enzymatic assay for about 3 weeks in the milk samples. Western blotting showed that rhLYZ secreted into milk samples from the vector-injected cows had molecular weight similar to that of the natural hLYZ in human colostrums. Twenty days after the primary injection, the quarters were re-injected with the same vector by quarter acupuncture and even higher concentrations of rhLYZ could be detected. Indirect competitive ELISA of milk samples showed that the vector injection did not induce detectable humoral immune response against hLYZ. Clinical studies showed that twice acupuncture of quarters with the p215C3LYZ vector had overt therapeutic effect on clinical and subclinical mastitis previously treated with antibiotics, including disappearance of clinical symptoms and relatively high microbiological cure rates. These data provide a solid rationale for using the vector to develop gene therapy for treating bovine mastitis.     

新世纪图书馆员社会角色转换研究综述

就近几年图书馆界关于新世纪馆员意识转换及社会角色转换等方面的研究进行了综述，指出新时期的馆员要实现自我社会角色的转换，首先是要明确转换的必要性，然后采取有效的策略逐步地、系统地推进转换，才能取得较好的效果。     

岩爆的力学模型及物理数值模拟述评

结合现有的岩爆研究情况，对岩爆发生机制的力学模型以及在室内实验和数值模拟方面所做的工作进行总结，介绍可资岩爆借鉴的研究领域，提出岩爆的研究方向。     

加入WTO后的中国农业

加入WTO对中国农业的发展将带来深远的影响。准确把握中国农业在加入世界贸易组织以后所面临的新机遇、新挑战，采取积极有效的应对策略和措施，经过一个较短时期的适应、磨合，中国农业将充分发挥比较优势和后发优势，更加有力地推动整个国民经济的持续稳定发展。     

常温条件下颗粒污泥处理含铅废水

对未经驯化的颗粒污泥处理含铅废水进行了初步实验研究.结果表明,颗粒污泥对含铅废水具有较高的去除能力,铅去除率在95%以上.颗粒污泥的加入量、废水酸度、沉降时间是影响处理效果的主要因素.通过对20mg/L的含铅试水进行处理,铅达到了排放标准.