Two independent alleles at 6q23 associated with risk of rheumatoid arthritis

To identify susceptibility alleles associated with rheumatoid arthritis, we genotyped 397 individuals with rheumatoid arthritis for 116,204 SNPs and carried out an association analysis in comparison to publicly available genotype data for 1,211 related individuals from the Framingham Heart Study. After evaluating and adjusting for technical and population biases, we identified a SNP at 6q23 (rs10499194, approximately 150 kb from TNFAIP3 and OLIG3) that was reproducibly associated with rheumatoid arthritis both in the genome-wide association (GWA) scan and in 5,541 additional case-control samples (P = 10(-3), GWA scan; P < 10(-6), replication; P = 10(-9), combined). In a concurrent study, the Wellcome Trust Case Control Consortium (WTCCC) has reported strong association of rheumatoid arthritis susceptibility to a different SNP located 3.8 kb from rs10499194 (rs6920220; P = 5 x 10(-6) in WTCCC). We show that these two SNP associations are statistically independent, are each reproducible in the comparison of our data and WTCCC data, and define risk and protective haplotypes for rheumatoid arthritis at 6q23.     

Wavelet-based Fuzzy Clustering of Time Series

Traditional procedures for clustering time series are based mostly on crisp hierarchical or partitioning methods. Given that the dynamics of a time series may change over time, a time series might display patterns that may enable it to belong to one cluster over one period while over another period, its pattern may be more consistent with those in another cluster. The traditional clustering procedures are unable to identify the changing patterns over time. However, clustering based on fuzzy logic will be able to detect the switching patterns from one time period to another thus enabling some time series to simultaneously belong to more than one cluster. In particular, this paper proposes a fuzzy approach to the clustering of time series based on their variances through wavelet decomposition. We will show that this approach will distinguish between time series with different patterns in variability as well identifying time series with switching patterns in variability.     

Approaching a state shift in Earth's biosphere

Localized ecological systems are known to shift abruptly and irreversibly from one state to another when they are forced across critical thresholds. Here we review evidence that the global ecosystem as a whole can react in the same way and is approaching a planetary-scale critical transition as a result of human influence. The plausibility of a planetary-scale 'tipping point' highlights the need to improve biological forecasting by detecting early warning signs of critical transitions on global as well as local scales, and by detecting feedbacks that promote such transitions. It is also necessary to address root causes of how humans are forcing biological changes.