高师英语职业技能教育改革

高师院校肩负着培养基础教育师资的重任。衡量师资素质的重要标准之一，是教师职业素质与技能掌握、运用的程度。因而职业技能教育是高师教育中一个重要组成部分。本文通过对高师院校英语职业技能教育的反思，以及对基础教育发展需求分析，提出从可持续发展、教育的内在价值与创新教育的三个层面探讨高师英语职业技能教育改革。     

Forecast accuracy after pretesting with an application to the stock market

In econometrics, as a rule, the same data set is used to select the model and, conditional on the selected model, to forecast. However, one typically reports the properties of the (conditional) forecast, ignoring the fact that its properties are affected by the model selection (pretesting). This is wrong, and in this paper we show that the error can be substantial. We obtain explicit expressions for this error. To illustrate the theory we consider a regression approach to stock market forecasting, and show that the standard predictions ignoring pretesting are much less robust than naive econometrics might suggest. We also propose a forecast procedure based on the ‘neutral Laplace estimator’, which leads to an improvement over standard model selection procedures. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

DETERMINATION OF KRAFT LIGNIN CONCENTRATIONS BY FTIR

A fast and accurate method based on FTIR is developed for determining the lignin content and its characteristic bands in alkali solutions. The work consisted of two main parts: 1) establishing a predictive model and 2) determination of the accuracy of the model. The model was derived by applying the partial least squares algorithm for multivariate analyses to a set of spectrum data obtained from selected IR absorption regions in the range of 1600 - 900 cm-1. The model was tested with spent liquors obtained from commercial pulp mills.The accuracy of the predictive model is extremely high suitable for commercial applications,particularly for monitoring the dynamic response of modern kraft pulping processes.     

关于W变换性质的进一步讨论

根据W变换和Delta函数的定义，讨论了函数f(x)的线性函数af(x) b的W变换和函数Ⅱi-1^n，(x)的W变换问题，并推广了W变换的线性性质，得到了几个进一步的结果．     

“情报门”还是“情报丑闻”?

近日报刊、电视等媒体上常出现"情报门"、"凯利门"等词.前者指伊拉克武器情报事件,后者指武器专家凯利自杀事件.     

Which survey indicators are useful for monitoring consumption? Evidence from European countries

This paper assesses the information content of two survey indicators for consumption developments in the near future for eight European countries in the period 1985–1998. Empirical work on this topic typically focuses on consumer confidence, the perceptions of buyers of consumption goods. This paper examines whether perceptions of sellers of consumption goods, measured by retail trade surveys, may also improve short‐term monitoring of consumption. We find that both consumer confidence and retailer confidence embody valuable information, when analysed in isolation. For France, Italy and Spain we conclude that adding retail confidence does not improve the indicator model once consumer confidence has been included. For the UK the reverse case is obtained. For the remaining four countries we show that combining consumer sentiment and retail trade confidence into a composite indicator leads to optimal results. Our results suggest that incorporating information from retail trade surveys may offer significant benefits for the analysis of short‐term prospects of consumption. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

一种适于强横向变速的高阶差分正演模拟方法

波动方程正演模拟法相对于射线法具有精度高、效率低的特点。为了提高其效率 ,提出了一种高阶差分正演模拟方法。该方法考虑了速度场局部的强横向变化 ,适于复杂介质的正演模拟 ;在相同精度下 ,高阶差分的空间横向间隔可取为低阶差分的 2～ 4倍 ,有较高的计算效率 ;高阶差分加上合适的边界条件能较好地解决网格频散和边界效应问题。通过对Marmousi模型的试算 ,验证了该方法对复杂速度模型的适应性、有效性和实用性。     

氢键分子系统的二分量孤子偶模型中的非谐特性

以氢键分子系统中二分量孤子模型为基础，采用直接微扰方法，研究了氢键系统中非谐相互作用下扭结孤子偶的运动特性，获得了3次方到4闪方非谐项古孤子偶的非对称解，计算了源于非谐项下孤子偶的能量，与实验观察相一致。     

基于神经网络的企业信用等级评估

企业信用等级评估是金融领域重要的问题，论文采用人工神经网络模型研究企业信用等级的评估问题，按照企业样本在信用等级的分布状况来抽样，然后，根据企业样本性质的不同，将其分为制造业和非制造业两大类，利用偏相关分析方法建立了企业信用评级的指标体系，此外，还介绍了几种企业信用评级常用的评估模型，并将神经网络评估模型的性能和其他的信用评估模型作了比较，实验结果表明神经网络模型具有更好的预测准确性。