改善20CrMnTiH淬透性的研究

莱钢特钢厂20CrMnTiH钢材成分波动较大,淬透性带HRC8～10,范围较大,制约了齿轮钢质量的进一步提高.通过研究,发现铸坯中心偏析尤其是碳偏析为主要问题.通过工艺优化采取各项措施,尤其增加电磁搅拌后,中心碳偏析得到明显改善;C控制在0.19%～0.20%的炉次达到了95.6%;淬透性带控制在HRC6内的达到了92.1%;在HRC4内的达到了86.2%;提高了产品质量,满足了用户需求.     

共轭斜量法在某些特征向量上收敛速度的估计

设 Ａ是对称正定矩阵，λ_1是 Ａ 的最大或最小特征值，χ_1是对应的特征向量．｛zk｝是用共轭斜量法求解方程组 Αχ＝ｂ时的近似解序列，ｅi＝Ａ～(_1)b-zi,本文给出了|x_1～Tei|较合理的上界估计式。从而为分析预处理共轭斜量法提供了进一步的理论基础。     

CGPSS-F仿真系统数据的采集与分析

本文详细地叙述了“医院门诊部为门诊病人服务的CGPSS-F仿真系统”数据采集与分析的方法.利用CGPSS-F仿真系统的驻留在队列中的实体数和资源处于繁忙状态的单元数,合理调整实体在系统的时间.根据资源容量的利用,实体排队的长度和实体在系统的时间,确定实用的系统参数.     

Overcompensation and population cycles in an ungulate.

Although theoretical studies show that overcompensatory density-dependent mechanisms can potentially generate regular or chaotic fluctuations in animal numbers, the majority of realistic single-species models of invertebrate populations are not overcompensatory enough to cause sustained population cycles. The possibility that overcompensation may generate cycles or chaos in vertebrate populations has seldom been considered. Here we show that highly overcompensatng density-dependent mortality can generate recurrent population crashes consistent with those observed in a naturally limited population of Soay sheep. The observed interval of three or more years between crashes points to sharp 'focusing' of mortality over a narrow range of population density.     

On the limitations of comparing mean square forecast errors

Linear models are invariant under non-singular, scale-preserving linear transformations, whereas mean square forecast errors (MSFEs) are not. Different rankings may result across models or methods from choosing alternative yet isomorphic representations of a process. One approach can dominate others for comparisons in levels, yet lose to another for differences, to a second for cointegrating vectors and to a third for combinations of variables. The potential for switches in ranking is related to criticisms of the inadequacy of MSFE against encompassing criteria, which are invariant under linear transforms and entail MSFE dominance. An invariant evaluation criterion which avoids misleading outcomes is examined in a Monte Carlo study of forecasting methods.