应用神经网络技术模拟扩展可靠性数据的研究

为使可靠性评估结果有较高的准确性和可信性,要求样本量足够大,而在实际上获得这些数据是很困难的,因此能否通过模拟仿真的方式在原有数据的基础上进一步产生与原样本具有同样统计规律的数据以扩大样本量值得尝试探索,基于这样的考虑,运用人工神经网络方法对可靠性数据进行了模拟仿真分析并结合不同样本数据与传统方法进行了对比,得出了有益结论。     

HLA体系中盟员与RTI的通信实现

HLA提供了一个应用于建模与仿真的通用技术框架的描述,是目前大规模分布交互仿真的趋势。本文从介绍HLA体系的组成部分入手,分析了HLA/RTI具体实现的一些手段,给出了实现HLA体系的逻辑和实现结构,着重分析了盟员和RTI的通信机制,最后还给出了完整的联盟执行中盟员和RTI交互的流程     

用组合赋值权法评价战术防空C~3I系统的综合效能

战术防空C3 I系统综合效能评价是一个多目标评价过程。多目标评价中的一个重要因素是考虑目标权系数的选取。运用多目标权系数的组合赋值方法 ,对战术防空C3 I系统效能进行了综合评价 ,确定了一套评价指标 ,给出了系统效能的评价算法。效能评价实例说明了这种评价方法的科学性。     

Method for Risky Multiobjective Group Decision-Making and Its Application

The multiobjective group decision-making problem under risk is common in reality. This paper focuses on the study about risky multiobjective group decision-making problem where the index value is not certain. We give indexes classifying method and index normalizing formula of this type problem. By building objective function that minimizes general weighted distance from every alternative to the relatively best and worst alternative, the optimal membership degree of every decision-maker to every alternative can be obtained, and by building another objective function that minimizes general weighted distance from the optimal membership degree of every decision-maker to every alternative to the group optimal alternative and the group inferior alternative, the optimal membership degree of every decision-maker to every alternative can be obtained, which are both based on probability theory and fuzzy theory. Aftermost a model is established which collects group preferences. This method provides a new idea and     

Dynamic Characteristics of Inter-Satellite Links in LEO Networks

To establish an efficient inter-satellite link (ISL) in an LEO network, the effect of geometric characteristics of ISL on the ISLs and the devices on the LEO satellite should be examined. Because of the continuous movement of the LEO satellite, the time-varying behaviours of the ISL's geometric charactersistics continuously change with the changes of the satellite's position on the orbit. These dynamic geometric characteristics of the ISLs are important for ISL's performance analyzing and the design of the devices on the LEO satellite. This paper describes dynamic geometric characteristics of ISL, analyzes the impact of these regulations on the tracking system of the satellite's antenna and the power adjusting system of the satellite's transmitter, with the Iridium system as an example.     

STABILITY CRITERIA FOR A CLASS OF UNCERTAINSYSTEMS WITH TIME—DELAY

Some stability criteria are obtained for a class of uncertain systems with time-delay usingLyapunov functional and analytic techniques. It is easy to check the criteria by making use of theboundedness of the uncertainties.     

中国社会稳定与安全预警系统的理论设计

简要概述了中国社会稳定与安全预警系统的功能与作用 ;重点介绍了该预警系统设计的理论依据 ,即在预警系统设计过程中 ,综合、集成、借鉴了不同学科的理论与方法 ,其中 ,创造性地应用了社会物理学的思想、理论与方法 ,以此作为研制预警系统的总体理论框架 ;依据研究组独创的社会稳定与安全五大支持系统理论 ,设计出了“四级叠加 ,逐层收敛 ,系统耦合 ,规范权重 ,识别阈值 ,统一排序”的预警指标体系 ;最后 ,就预警系统内部模块的结构、功能与系统运行流程作了一定程度的说明。     

The effect of corporate governance on debt financing cost of listed companies

In recent years,bank credit business is booming with the increasing borrowing intention of China’s listed companies,and debt financing has become the major approach among listed companies’financing strategies.As a series of institutional arrangements about rights,responsibilities and benefits between different shareholders,corporate governance mechanism has a significant influence on the cost of debt financing.This paper employs variable coefficient panel data model to investigate the relationship of the listed company’s debt financing costs and corporate governance mechanism in terms of structural characteristics and time series characteristics.The results show that optimizing the structure of both Board of Directors and Board of Supervisors,establishing a reasonable management incentive system and reducing the concentration of ownership properly can directly contribute to a lower company’s debt financing costs.Meanwhile,property rights have an interactive influence on corporate governance from four aspects,which indirectly effect in company’s debt financing costs.     

Unbiased condition of the dispersion effects estimator in unreplicated two-level factorial experiments

This article presents a general form of the estimator for identifying dispersion effects from unreplicated two-level factorial experiments, and shows that the widely used estimators such as the BH, MH, and AMH estimators are all special cases of the proposed one, designated as the G estimator. The unbiased condition of the G estimator is proved, and a lower bound of variance of the G estimator is provided. A simulation based on a realistic design illustrates the variation of the variance and MSE (mean square error) of the G estimator on different coefficients. This estimator may be more flexible and has better performance than other methods such as the BH and MH estimators by appropriately selecting the coefficients.     

Vector space structure of finite evolutionary games and its application to strategy profile convergence

A vector space structure is proposed for the set of finite games with fixed numbers of players and strategies for each players.Two statical equivalences are used to reduce the dimension of finite games.Under the vector space structure the subspaces of exact and weighted potential games are investigated.Formulas are provided to calculate them.Then the finite evolutionary games(EGs)are considered.Strategy profile dynamics is obtained using different strategy updating rules(SURs).Certain SURs,which assure the convergence of trajectories to pure Nash equilibriums,are investigated.Using the vector space structure,the projection of finite games to the subspace of exact(or weighted)potential games is considered,and a simple formula is given to calculate the projection.The convergence of near potential games to anε-equilibrium is studied.Further more,the Lyapunov function of EGs is defined and its application to the convergence of EGs is presented.Finally,the near potential function for an EG is defined,and it is proved that if the near potential function of an EG is a Lyapunov function,the EG will converge to a pure Nash equilibrium.Some examples are presented to illustrate the results.