行为概率的数学模型

为了研究人们在某种行为回报的普遍预期下选择该行为的概率,建立了行为概率的数学模型.该模型的输入是有关行为的期望回报,输出是相应行为的概率.在群体的情况下,行为概率可以看作是群体中相应行为者的比例.该模型用历史数据统计回归其参数,模型的结果能够反映人们在选择行为时的理性规则与认知偏差的相互影响,可为政策制定和制度设计时预测其效果提供参考.     

控制与诱导结合中带时窗限制的动态配流模型

交通控制与诱导的集成一体化代表了现代交通管理的发展方向,而动态交通分配及其相关问题的研究是控制与诱导集成的重要理论基础.在现有研究成果的基础上,综合考虑了道路最大通行能力对交通配流策略的影响,从用户到达的时间要求和控制约束两方面考察了交通流到达目的地的时间限制,以系统最优的思想,建立了一种控制诱导相结合的有到达时间限制的动态配流模型,并且利用遗传算法对离散化后的模型进行了求解.模型中的时窗限制是作为已知条件来考虑的,通过对交通流的控制和诱导从而使系统达到最优.最后给出了一个具体交通网络实例,从而验证所提出的模型及算法的有效性和可行性.     

单向单交叉并行链优先约束的可靠性系统测试优化

针对具有单向单交叉并行链优先约束的可靠性系统的最优测试序列问题,提出了一种最优测试原则,该测试原则的约束条件更接近复杂的实际情况。通过证明三个相关的定理,分别解决了单向单交叉并行链优先约束的问题转化形式,相交单元在最优测试序列中测试的先后顺序,以及反“Y”形优先约束问题的最优测试序列。利用这一测试原则,可使此类系统获得总期望测试成本最小。通过一系列证明,给出了该原则的求证过程及具体步骤。     

离散时间不完全市场下基于计价单位投资组合法的期货定价模型

在具体的离散时间不完全市场模型中给出最优增长组合的刻画后，运用计价单位投资组合法推导出期货的无套利定价模型。随后对定价模型进行实证检验，结果表明，对于实证选取的股票期货样本，该定价模型给出的预测价格能够较好地拟合样本的实际价格，且其精度较持有成本理论单因素模型的略有提高。     

横坐标系捷联惯导系统极区导航及阻尼设计

针对水下潜器在极区工作时,其常用惯性导航系统机械编排存在精度下降、无北向基准等问题,设计了适用于水下潜器极区工作的横坐标系捷联惯性导航系统机械编排方案。在构建了横坐标系参考框架的基础上,推导出各导航参数在横坐标系统和常规坐标系统之间的转换关系,建立了横坐标系捷联惯导系统的机械编排,并在此基础上分析其误差传播特性。通过误差分析,确定了横坐标系捷联惯导系统中存在的周期性振荡,并提出了适用于横坐标系捷联惯导系统的阻尼技术,有效抑制了周期性振荡。最后,通过仿真试验验证了该系统在极区工作的可行性和阻尼技术有效性。     

Conceptual design and RCS performance research of shipborne early warning aircraft

In order to improve the survivability of the aircraft,conceptual design and radar cross section（RCS） performance research are done. The CATIA software is used to design the 3D digital model of the shipborne early warning aircraft, and some measures are taken to reduce the RCS characteristics of the early warning aircraft at the same time. Based on the physical optics method and the equivalent electromagnetic flow method,the aircraft＇s RCS characteristics and strength distribution characteristics are simulated numerically, and compared with the foreign advanced shipborne early warning aircraft. The simulation results show that under the X radar band, when the incident wave pitching angle is 0？, compared with the foreign advanced shipborne early warning aircraft, the forward RCS average value of the conceptual shipborne early warning aircraft is reduced to 24.49%, the lateral RCS average value is reduced to 5.04%, and the backward RCS average value is reduced to 39.26%. The research results of this paper are expected to provide theoretical basis and technical support for the conceptual design and the stealth design of the shipborne early warning aircraft.     

2-度量空间上具有隐式收缩条件的映射族的重合点和公共不动点

引进满足特定性质的二元、四元和六元函数类,建立2-度量空间上的四个映射的隐式收缩条件,讨论并证明四个映射的唯一重合的点和唯一公共不动点的存在定理;给出关于两个和三个映射的相应的结果和Banach不动点定理在2-度量空间上的表现形式,推广并改进了现有的一些结果。     

12CaO·7Al2O3型精炼合成渣物性与脱硫试验

对近两年从国外发展起来的新型精炼合成渣 12 Ca O· 7Al2 O3的烧成工艺、物性和脱硫能力进行了试验研究。结果表明 ,该渣系原料来源广泛 ,成本较低 ;以 12 Ca O· 7Al2 O3为低熔点相 ,具有较低的熔化温度 ,在精炼温度下具有较好的流动性 ;由于具有很高的碱度和 Al2 O3含量 ,因而具有较强的脱硫能力和吸附铝脱氧产物的能力 ,并且在精炼过程中还可配加大量石灰 ,进一步提高其脱硫能力 ,尤其适用于铝脱氧钢     

2010年河北省SCI论文的文献计量分析

本文以SCI网络版（SCIE）为数据源,运用文献计量学的方法,以河北和2010年为关键词,对2010年河北省作者发表的论文被SCI收录的情况进行了统计,并按文献类型、学科分布、论文作者、机构和被引用情况做了较为详细的分析研究。     

The Dynamics of Two-State Public Opinion Propagation On Signed Networks

The formation of public opinion on the network is a hot issue in the field of complex network research, and some classical dynamic models are used to solve this problem. The signed network is a particular form of the complex network, which can adequately describe the amicable and hostile relationships in complex real-world systems. However, the methods for studying the dynamic process of public opinion propagation on signed networks still require to be further discussed. In this paper, the authors pay attention to the influence of negative edges in order to design a two-state public opinion propagation mechanism suitable for signed networks. The authors first set the interaction rules between nodes and the transition rules of node states and then apply the model to synthetic and real-world signed networks. The simulation results show that there is a critical value of the negative edge ratio.When the negative edge ratio exceeds this critical value, the evolutionary result of public opinion will change from a consistent state to a split state. This conclusion is also consistent with the distribution result of opinions within communities in the signed network. Besides, the research on the network structural balance shows that the model makes the network evolve in a more balanced direction.