The Response of Debris-Flow Events to Solar Proton Flares （Ⅰ）

By analyzing the observation data from Dongchuan Debris Flow Observation and Research Station and historical data from year 1965 to 1990 gotten from National Astronomical Ob-servatories/Yunnan Observatory,the responding of debris flow in Jiangjia Ravine to Solar Proton Flare is studied. The following conclusion can be drawn. Solar Proton Flare,as one of most im-portant astronomical factors,affects the activity of debris flow in Yunnan. Generally,from 1965 to1990,the more active Solar Pro-ton Flare is,the greater the probability of high frequency and large runoff of debris flow is. On the contrary,the less active Solar Pro-ton Flare is,the greater the probability of low frequency,small runoff,and low sediment transport of debris flow is.     

延迟微分反馈法控制混沌

利用可测变量的微商进行反馈,提出了用延迟微分反馈控制(DDFC:DelayedDifferentialFeedbackControl)实现混沌控制的方法。理论证明了微分反馈控制和DDFC控制Lü系统3个平衡点的稳定可控性。在Matlab进行了数值仿真,结果表明,通过调节延迟时间τ和控制增益k,DDFC系统能自动寻找和稳定不同的不稳定周期轨道(UPO:UnstablePeriodicOrbit),实现混沌控制。     

面向对象的系统活动描述方法

通过实例介绍了系统活动作为一个对象／类的概念，给出了对系统活动进行分析和建模的一般步骤，提出了系统活动描述的形式化方法。     

基于GA和BP融合算法的装备费用估算方法

简要介绍了GA和BP算法以及装备费用估算分析的传统方法 ,分析了GA、BP算法以及费用估算三者间相互结合的必要性。把GA和BP算法相结合并应用到装备费用估算分析领域 ,建立了基于GA和BP融合算法的防空导弹研制费用评估模型 ,并对典型的防空导弹型号研制费用进行了估算。结果表明 ,该模型具有计算精度高、适用范围广、运算速度快的特点 ,为装备费用估算提供了有效依据     

Ruin Probability with Variable Premium Rate and Disturbed by Diffusion in a Markovian Environment

We consider a risk model with a premium rate which varies with the level of free reserves. In this model, the occurrence of claims is described by a Cox process with Markov intensity process, and the influence of stochastic factors is considered by adding a diffusion process. The integro-differential equation for the ruin probability is derived by a infinitesimal method.     

STABILITY CRITERIA FOR A CLASS OF UNCERTAINSYSTEMS WITH TIME—DELAY

Some stability criteria are obtained for a class of uncertain systems with time-delay usingLyapunov functional and analytic techniques. It is easy to check the criteria by making use of theboundedness of the uncertainties.     

Technical Notes ：STUDIES ON THE VALUE OF SECONDARY MARKET TO THE SUPPLY CHAIN

This paper investigates the impact of a secondary market, where retailers can buy and sell excessinventories, on the supply chain. We develop a two-period model with a single manufacturer and tworetailers. At the beginning of the first period the retailers order and receive products from themanufacturer, but at the beginning of the second period, they can trade surplus products betweenthemselves in the secondary market. We investigate the impact of the correlated dependence ofretailers' demand on both the quantity effect and the allocation effect under the secondary market.Lastly,we study potential strategies for the manufacturer to increase sales with the existence of thesecondary market.     

FROM MANUFACTURING SCHEDULING TO SUPPLY CHAIN COORDINATION：THE CONTROL OF COMPLEXITY AND UNCERTAINTY

With time-based competition and rapid technology advancements, effective manufacturingscheduling and supply chain coordination are critical to quickly respond to changing marketconditions. These problems, however, are difficult in view of inherent complexity and variousuncertainties involved. Based on a series of results by the authors, decomposition and coordination byusing Lagrangian relaxation is identified in this paper as an effective way to control complexity anduncertainty.A manufacturing scheduling problem is first formulated within the job shop context withuncertain order arrivals, processing times, due dates, and part priorities as a separable optimizationproblem. A solution methodology that combines Lagrangian relaxation, stochastic dynamicprogramming, and heuristics is developed. Method improvements to effectively solve large problemsare also highlighted. To extend manufacturing scheduling within a factory to coordinate autonomicmembers across chains of suppliers, a decentralized supply chai     

三维空间线性规划问题的图解法

本文着重论述怎样利用几何作图,并通过计算,求三维空间线性规划问题的最优解。