基于ISSA-SVM的钻井卡钻事故预测

为预防钻井过程中卡钻事故的发生,通过提出了一种改进麻雀搜索算法(improved sparrow search algorithm, ISSA)优化支持向量机(support vector machines, SVM)的预测模型方法(ISSA-SVM),在发现者位置更新公式中引入一种改进的自适应非线性惯性递减权重;在警戒者位置更新公式中引入莱维飞行策略。利用主成分分析法(principal component analysis, PCA)对外国某大型油田的实测钻井数据进行降维处理,并利用惩罚参数和核参数进行卡钻事故的预测。实验结果表明：ISSA-SVM的预测准确率高达85.185 2%,且收敛速度更快,可见ISSA-SVM可有效预测钻井卡钻事故。     

WSN中传感器节点的弹性神经网络任务分配方法

为解决WSN多目标跟踪节点任务分配的竞争冲突问题,提出一种融合了模糊聚类的多弹性子模自组织神经网络节点任务分配方法.通过模糊聚类估计目标数量,建立节点任务分配跟踪精度和能量消耗的综合性能指标,采用非全连接的环形弹性结构自组织神经网络优化监测联盟,用最近邻法对神经元弹性子模进行初始化,根据胜者为王原则动态调整子模的感受域,以快速锁定最优监测联盟,实现多目标的精确跟踪.实验结果表明:文中方法能有效解决多目标跟踪节点任务分配的竞争冲突问题,以及竞争冲突时的系统能耗增加与实时性问题;在随机均匀部署节点拓扑和目标直线运动模式下,文中方法的能耗较最近邻法降低了48.2%~55.9%,较未改进弹性神经网络法降低了37.4%~42.5%,且运算速度提高了19.0%~27.4%.     

Rough function model and rough membership function

Two pairs of approximation operators, which are the scale lower and upper approximations as well as the real line lower and upper approximations, are defined. Their properties and antithesis characteristics are analyzed. The rough function model is generalized based on rough set theory, and the scheme of rough function theory is made more distinct and complete. Therefore, the transformation of the real function analysis from real line to scale is achieved. A series of basic concepts in rough function model including rough numbers, rough intervals, and rough membership functions are defined in the new scheme of the rough function model. Operating properties of rough intervals similar to rough sets are obtained. The relationship of rough inclusion and rough equality of rough intervals is defined by two kinds of tools, known as the lower （upper） approximation operator in real numbers domain and rough membership functions. Their relative properties are analyzed and proved strictly, which provides necessary theoretical foundation and technical support for the further discussion of properties and practical application of the rough function model.     

复杂性研究的计算方法

计算、算法与复杂性研究有着密切的关系,计算方法已经上升为一种复杂性研究的科学方法。计算复杂性使用的研究方法基本上是计算方法,算法复杂性研究的算法描述也是一种计算方法。计算方法还在复杂适应系统理论、人工生命等复杂性分支学科中扮演了重要的角色。计算方法不但在复杂性研究中有重要的作用,而且在一般方法论意义上也已经变得不可或缺,甚至走向了计算主义。     

蒸发波导环境中基于ZMNL的海杂波仿真

针对海上蒸发波导环境中雷达目标的识别,提出了蒸发波导中基于零记忆非线性变换(ZMNL)的海杂波实现方法。该方法确定了海杂波K分布参数与蒸发波导高度间的关系,可得到不同蒸发波导高度、不同探测距离处的相关K分布杂波序列。给出了应用该方法产生杂波的具体步骤,仿真实验证明了该方法用于蒸发波导中海杂波建模的有效性。     

Robust output regulation problem for discrete-time linear systems with both input and communication delays

Recently, the robust output regulation problem for continuous-time linear systems with both input and communication time-delays was studied. This paper will further present the results on the robust output regulation problem for discrete-time linear systems with input and communication delays. The motivation of this paper comes from two aspects. First, it is known that the solvability of the output regulation problem for linear systems is dictated by two matrix equations. While, for delay-free systems, these two matrix equations are same for both continuous-time systems and discrete-time systems, they are different for continuous-time time-delay systems and discrete-time time-delay systems. Second, the stabilization methods for continuous-time timedelay systems and discrete-time time-delay systems are also somehow different. Thus, an independent treatment of the robust output regulation problem for discrete-time time-delay systems will be useful and necessary.     

A differential game model for a developing and a developed country

A differential game (DG) model for a developing and a developed country is considered. Each player makes decisions about how much resource to be used to restrict the opponent's development so as to maximize his weighted sum of current consumption and final output. Current consumption is assumed to be preferred to final output for both players. The developing country is assumed to have a higher economic growth rate and a higher preference to final output, whereas the developed country is assumed to have a higher initial income and a higher efficiency in restricting his opponent. This problem is investigated under three kinds of information structures, i.e., a zerosum, a nonzero-sum, and a Stackelberg game. Open-loop equilibrium solutions are obtained for all the three cases. Economic implications of the result are provided. The research is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos. 70771118 and 70371030 and the Scientific Research Foundation for the Returned Overseas Chinese Scholars, State Education Ministry under Grant No. 2006.331.     

基于扩展量测的球坐标系中水下目标跟踪算法的研究

基于自适应高斯模型，提出了球坐标系中扩展量测的水下目标跟踪，导出了目标模型和目标运动状态的坐标转换公式，推导了基于扩展量测的球坐标系目标跟踪算法，给出了Monte carlo仿真结果。结果表明：本文提出的跟踪算法不但能够提高目标距离的稳态跟踪精度，而且能够提高目标方位角和俯仰角的稳态跟踪精度，改善系统的动态收敛特性。     

基于改进PID神经网络算法的AUV垂直面控制

针对一类小型低速自主水下航行器(AUV)的垂直面运动控制问题,设计了一种改进的PID神经网络控制器,实现对水下航行器在垂直面内深度和俯仰角的全局控制。利用REMUS水下航行器模型搭建了Simulink下AUV垂直面仿真控制系统,仿真结果表明,改进的控制方法克服了原方法中饱和区过大的问题,具有良好的动态性能同时能够适应不同的学习速率和网络初始权重,对水下航行器的工程实际应用具有一定参考价值。     

考虑避灾心理和灾害影响的疏散仿真方法

在在灾害发生时,安全高效的疏散人群是提高公共安全的重要保障。因此有效可行的疏散仿真方法具有深刻的理论和现实意义。当前主流方法较少考虑与疏散相关的灾害动态演化,为此提出了DERR(Dynamic Evacuation Route Replanning Based on Psychology)方法。DERR方法围绕人群的避灾心理参数进行相关研究,利用A*寻路算法,实时根据灾害区的变化对人群的疏散路径重新规划和优化,以达到更加安全疏散的目的。通过仿真实验展示了本方法在灾害演化下的疏散模拟过程,同时心理避灾参数的加入也使得仿真结果更加贴合现实。