The Differentiated Effect of Administrative Policy in China's Housing Market——Based on the Heterogeneous Households Multi-Agent Model

Since 2010, Chinese government has introduced a series of administrative policies to limit speculation in the housing market to stabilize price fluctuations and keep the housing market in a healthy state of development. In order to investigate whether administrative policy can play its due role, this paper constructs a comprehensive bottom-up housing market heterogeneous households multiagent model(HHMAM) to undertake research on the differentiated effect of administrative policy in different cities. The empirical studies find that: 1) Administrative policy that increases interest rates will cause housing prices to continue to decline in the long term, but they will resume a rising trend after reaching the lowest point; 2) If the government cancels a property-purchasing limitation, housing prices will continue to rise; and 3) investors tend to invest in 1~(st)-tier cities due to the high demand and greater likelihood of appreciation in these cities.     

A genome-wide association study in Chinese men identifies three risk loci for non-obstructive azoospermia

Non-obstructive azoospermia (NOA) is one of the most severe forms of male infertility. Its pathophysiology is largely unknown, and few genetic influences have been defined. To identify common variants contributing to NOA in Han Chinese men, we performed a three-stage genome-wide association study of 2,927 individuals with NOA and 5,734 controls. The combined analyses identified significant (P < 5.0 × 10(-8)) associations between NOA risk and common variants near PRMT6 (rs12097821 at 1p13.3: odds ratio (OR) = 1.25, P = 5.7 × 10(-10)), PEX10 (rs2477686 at 1p36.32: OR = 1.39, P = 5.7 × 10(-12)) and SOX5 (rs10842262 at 12p12.1: OR = 1.23, P = 2.3 × 10(-9)). These findings implicate genetic variants at 1p13.3, 1p36.32 and 12p12.1 in the etiology of NOA in Han Chinese men.     

Supply chain performance for deteriorating items with cooperative advertising

To study the effect of cooperative advertising on the supply chain of deteriorating items, this paper establishes a Stackelberg game model for a two-echelon deteriorating items supply chain composed of one manufacturer and one retailer under a given support program with an exogenous participation rate. The manufacturer as the leader determines the wholesale price and production rate, and the retailer as the follower determines the retail price and advertising strategies. The strategies of the players under the decentralized scenario and the centralized scenario are respectively characterized. Numerical simulations and sensitivity analysis are conducted to gain some managerial insights. It is shown that the pricing, advertising and production strategies are negatively correlated to deteriorating coefficient, and both the profit and the channel efficiency decrease with deteriorating coefficient; The interaction between price, advertising investment and production rate results in a higher retail price of the centralized channel compared to that of the decentralized channel; Implementing the cooperative advertising program does improve the performance of the supply chain in some cases and the participation rate roughly at 0.5 is most preferable, but it is also possible to distort incentive and damage the channel performance when the participation rate reaches a relatively high level.     

建立支持宏观经济决策研讨厅的预测模型系统

为了提高对宏观经济问题的研讨效率,研讨厅应为参加研讨的专家提供进行宏观经济预测的各种预测模型。然而,传统模型库结构框架建立的预测模型系统,已不能很好地满足支持宏观经济决策研讨厅的要求,本文从分析研讨厅的具体需要出发,提出了利用Agent理论和技术设计和实现适合支持宏观经济决策研讨厅的Agent预测模型系统。     

基于分子动力学模拟的天然橡胶黏弹性材料力学行为

以天然橡胶为例,采用分子动力学模拟方法,研究了单轴拉伸条件下材料分子链聚合度参数p、环境温度T和加载率R对黏弹性材料力学性能的影响.结果 表明,材料应力随分子链聚合度和加载率的增加而增加,随温度的升高而降低,低温高频下材料呈现出塑性特点.在R=108 s-1,T=250 K的条件下,p=20,40时,材料应力峰值分别为...     

A note on the model reference adaptive control of linear parabolic systems with constant coefficients

The problem of constructing a model reference adaptive control law for an uncertain 1-dimensional parabolic system with one constant coefficient is considered in this paper. Adaptive control law are obtained by Lyapunov redesign method. The energy method for parabolic systems and the Agmon’s inequality are applied in the analysis, which leads to a stronger result than that of Hong and Bentsman (Automatica, 1994).     

Fairness of extra-gain guilty in performance of supply chain and contract design

Considering a one-supplier and two-retailer supply chain setting in which the supplier makes contacts with retailers in sequence based on FCFS(first–come–first-service) principle, the authors investigate the marginal effect of extra-gain guilty fairness concerns of supply chain members on the contract design, supply chain's profit and profit distribution. When the supplier considers distributional fairness of loss aversion and extra-gain guilty, extra-gain guilty concern reduces the optimal wholesale and retail price, and improves supply chain performance. When the first or the second retailer considers distributional fairness and peer-induced fairness, extra-gain guilty concerns decrease the optimal wholesale and retail price but increase the profit of all supply chain members only when the level of loss aversion is large enough and the level of extra-gain guilty is less than 1/2. However, when the level of loss aversion is small and the level of extra-gain guilty is less than 1/2, extra-gain guilty has no influence on supply chain performance. The analysis reveals that the supply chain performance can be further improved by considering fairness of extra-gain guilty.     

促进山西转型发展的研究

随着经济全球化进程的加快,中国经济发展的战略重点已开始由沿海地区向中部地区转移,给山西发展带来了大好机遇。文章从山西的优势、瓶颈问题及解决对策等方面进行了阐述,必将对山西转型发展起到一定的借鉴作用。     

Hydrothermal synthesis and photoluminescence behavior of CeO<Subscript>2</Subscript> nanowires with the aid of surfactant PVP

Well-crystalline CeO₂ nanowires were prepared via a surfactant-assisted hydrothermal process. Reaction temperature and reaction time were changed for the determination of optimal synthesis parameters. The as-obtained products were characterized by X-ray diffraction (XRD), high-resolution transmission electron microscopy (HRTEM), and field emission scanning electron microscopy (FESEM). The results show that single crystal CeO₂ nanowires with high yield and good uniformity can be obtained hydrothermally at 180°C for 12 h with the aid of 2.0 g surfactant (polyvinyl pyrrolidone, PVP). The role of PVP was then discussed and a possible growth mechanism was proposed. Moreover, room temperature photoluminescence (PL) spectra were obtained for these CeO₂ nanowires, which are believed to be related to the abundant defects in these nanostructures.