On the limitations of comparing mean square forecast errors

Linear models are invariant under non-singular, scale-preserving linear transformations, whereas mean square forecast errors (MSFEs) are not. Different rankings may result across models or methods from choosing alternative yet isomorphic representations of a process. One approach can dominate others for comparisons in levels, yet lose to another for differences, to a second for cointegrating vectors and to a third for combinations of variables. The potential for switches in ranking is related to criticisms of the inadequacy of MSFE against encompassing criteria, which are invariant under linear transforms and entail MSFE dominance. An invariant evaluation criterion which avoids misleading outcomes is examined in a Monte Carlo study of forecasting methods.     

高新技术开发区网络管理系统的设计

根据高新技术产业开发区的特点，提出了一系列有针对性的软、硬件设计。     

一种基于MATLAB的钢材裂纹扩展速率试验数据处理方法

提出一种基于MATLAB软件设计的钢材裂纹扩展速率试验数据处理程序,并利用该程序对18MnMoNb钢和16MnR钢裂纹扩展速率试验数据进行处理.在分析程序运行结果的基础上,评价七点递增法、五点递增法、三点递增法针对不同试验数据处理精度的优劣性,并分析Paris公式中常数C、m的相关性,得出了C、m的相关性经验公式.     

Is chlamydial heat shock protein 60 a risk factor for oncogenesis?

Heat shock protein 60 (HSP60) plays an important role in the protein folding of prokaryotic and eukaryotic cells. Most of the papers published on chlamydial HSP60 concern its role in immune response during infection. In the last decade, exposure to Chlamydia trachomatis has been consistently associated with the development of cervical and ovarian cancer. Moreover, it has been suggested that chlamydial HSP60 may have an anti-apoptotic effect during persistent infection. We hypothesize that the accumulation of exogenous chlamydial HSP60 in the cytoplasm of actively replicating eukaryotic cells may interfere with the regulation of the apoptotic pathway. The concomitant expression of viral oncoproteins and/or the presence of mutations may lead to the ability to survive apoptotic stimuli, loss of replicative senescence, uncontrolled proliferation and, finally neoplastic transformation.Received 15 August 2004; received after revision 1 October 2004; accepted 7 October 2004     

信息扶贫中图书馆服务领域的拓展

根据对科技信息在农村市场的必要性和可行性所做的社会调查,本文提出了图书馆信息扶贫兴农的思路。     

2015-2018年张家口市大气污染特征研究

为更好了解张家口市环境空气质量污染变化特征,对2015年1月至2018年12月自动监测站在线观测的6项常规污染物数据进行分析.结果表明,PM10超过国家二级标准浓度限值,其他污染物均达标,整体空气质量较好.总体PM2.5和PM10浓度变化平缓,春、冬季PM2.5浓度相对较高,而春季PM10浓度远高于其他季节;NO2和S...     

一种改进的小波阈值去噪算法

在对软阈值和硬阈值去噪方法分析的基础上,提出一种改进的阈值函数,并且对阈值做了适当的调整,克服软阈值和硬阈值去噪方法的缺点.Matlab仿真结果表明,提出的改进算法在信噪比增益和最小均方差方面均优于软阈值和硬阈值去噪方法.该改进方案具有更大的有效性和优越性.