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There is a scientific debate on the relationship between ancient winter and summer monsoons in East Asia. Some scholars think that East Asian winter and summer monsoons are anti-correlated, and others think not. For this reason, this study is motivated to assess their linkage from the paleoclimate simulation perspective, through analyzing the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) and mid-Holocene (MH) climate simulated by CCSM3 model. Compared to the present climate, the Aleutian low is found to be deepened and the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) is stronger during the LGM winter. The Pacific high in summer is noticed to be weakened and the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) is weaker at the LGM. During the MH, the Aleutian low and the Asian high in winter are intensified, and the Asian low and the Pacific high in summer are enhanced, indicating that the EAWM and EASM are both stronger than today. Therefore, the EAWM is not always negatively correlated to the EASM. Their relationship may be different at different geological stages. It can be obtained at least from the numerical simulation results that the EAWM and the EASM is negatively correlated during the cooling period, while positively correlated during the warming period. 相似文献
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Interannual variation of North China rainfall in rainy season and SSTs in the equatorial eastern Pacific 总被引:4,自引:2,他引:4
LU Riyu 《科学通报(英文版)》2005,50(18):2069-2073
The rainfall in North China during rainy season (July and August (JA)) exhibits a strong interannual variability. In this study, the atmospheric circulation and SST anomalies associated with the interannual variation of JA North China rainfall are examined. It is found that on the interannual timescale, the JA North China rainfall is associated with significant SST anomalies in the equatorial eastern Pacific, and the North China rainfall and SST anomaly in the equatorial eastern Pacific correspond to the similar variation of the upper-level westerly jet stream over East Asia. A possible mechanism is proposed for the influence of the SST anomalies in the equatorial eastern Pacific on the North China rainfall. 相似文献
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局地径向环流诊断模式性能检验及对1994年5月1日世界时12时东亚季风区局地平均经向环流的模拟分析,分析所用的是经中科院大气物理研究所处理过的NCEP/NCAR再分析逐日资料,结果表明,在现行资料条件下模拟达到了预期的效果,证明该模式对局地经圆环流模拟性能良好,在此基础上,根据线性方程的叠加原理,进一步诊断分析方程中强迫项对向环流所起的作用。对1994年5月1日世界时12时东亚季风区局地平均径向环流而言,模拟出的各项的作用与对天气实况进行理论上的定性分析结果是相吻合的,在东亚季风区的经向环流形成过程,温度平流及绝热加热的作用相当显著,非绝热加热的作用在本文中没有作确切地比较,因其计算受到水汽资料精度和各层辐射资料缺乏的限制,另外,对流中的云物理过程也暂时未加以考虑。 相似文献
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Based on analysis of the climatic temperature latitudinal deviation on middle troposphere, its seasonal cycle suggests that due to the rapid warming from eastern China continent to the east of Tibetan Plateau and the heating of Tibetan Plateau in spring, seasonal transition of the thermal difference between East Asia continent and West Pacific first takes place in the subtropical region with greatest intensity. On the accompanying low troposphere, the prevailing wind turns from northerly in winter to southerly in summer with the convection precipitation occurring at the same time. This maybe indicates the onset of the East Asian subtropical summer monsoon. Consequently, we advice that the seasonal cycle formed by the zonal thermal contrast between Asian continent and West Pacific may be an independent driving force of East Asian subtropical monsoon. 相似文献
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The heating sources over the Tibetan Plateau (TP), the East Asian plain, and the western North Pacific (WNP) form a terraced thermal contrast in the west-east direction. Over East Asia and the WNP, this zonal thermal contrast contributes as high as 45 % to the seasonal variance based on the EOF analysis and exerts a significant impact on the seasonal transition of the East Asian climate through the enhancement of the year-round southerly to the southeast of the TP in late March and early April. This effect is investigated in this study using a high-resolution regional atmospheric model by doubling the surface sen- sible heat flux, respectively, over the TP, the East Asian plain, and the WNP in three sensitivity experiments. Comparisons among the experiments reveal that doubling the surface sensible heat flux over the WNP has little upstream response over East Asia. The increased zonal thermal contrast between the TP and the East Asian plain due to doubled heat flux over the TP would induce anomalous northerly over the region with year-round southerly to the southeast of the TP and weaken its seasonal enhancement. Doubling the surface sensible heat flux over the East Asian plain decreases the zonal thermal contrast and leads to southerly anomaly over the region with year-round southerly to the southeast of the TP and South China, which is favorable for the enhancement of the year-round southerly and its eastward extension. 相似文献
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ZHANG Yaocun GUO Lanli 《科学通报(英文版)》2005,50(14):1503-1508
Due to the particular geographical location and topog- raphical features, the East Asia exhibits prominent mon- soonal climate with significant seasonal variation and complex spatial distribution of climatic elements. There are many difficulties in simulating and forecasting the weather and climate over East Asia by using climate model system. Generally speaking, the capability and performance of the currently widely-used climate modelsin East Asia are not satisfied. It is of scientific sign… 相似文献
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亚洲季风区平均雨季起始期的时空分布特征 总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6
利用1961~1990年平均的降水资料,计算了亚洲季风区内91个测站的相对降水指数.在定义相对降水指数大于147作为雨季开始的标志后发现,亚洲季风区中最早进入雨季的地区位于青藏高原东南侧的纵向岭谷北部地区.该地区在3月份进入雨季,即纵向岭谷北部地区著名的“桃花汛”.在此基础上初步讨论了“桃花汛”形成的原因是由于青藏高原大地形作用下,暖湿西南气流沿纵向岭谷向着低纬高原的爬坡抬升作用,结合来自青藏高原的偏北气流带下的冷平流沿纵向河谷的下楔作用最终导致了该地区雨季的开始. 相似文献
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中国西部绿化对东亚季风气候影响的数值模拟 总被引:3,自引:1,他引:3
中国西部大开发战略中的生态环境建设将在西部地区引起显著的地表覆盖变化。根据最新的全球地表特征数据库资料和21世纪初中国西部生态环境三大重点建设工程的具体规划,得出两种植被,即现实植被和虚拟植被。并利用RIEMS—TEA模式,通过一次敏感性试验,发现西部地区绿化明显影响东亚的季风系统和中国东部季风区气候。模拟试验显示,中国西部绿化会明显增强东亚夏季风,这将会加强中国东部由南向北的水汽输送,并有利于输送邻近海洋的水汽到大陆,使得中国大陆东部季风区整体出现降温、增湿和降水增加。而且,温度、湿度、气压和风速受影响的程度在垂直方向上都已超出了边界层之外。 相似文献
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ZHAO Ping SUN Jian & ZHOU Xiuji Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences Beijing China Correspondence should be addressed to Zhao Ping 《科学通报(英文版)》2003,48(12):1265-1270
LLJs are much important to transport the vapor, heat and moment in a rainstorm event. Statistical analyses showed that 80% rainstorms have close relationships with LLJ in China[1]. Many studies have been undertaken on the formation of the LLJ and its effects on rainstorms. Uccelini and Johnson[2] documented that the coupling process between the LLJ and upper-troposphere jet is a main reason for the development of the convective weather in North America. Limaitre[3] examined the exci-tati… 相似文献
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全新世东亚季风变化的百年尺度周期 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
对位于东海内陆架闽浙沿岸泥质沉积区中部的PC-6孔进行了AMS14C年龄测试和粒度分析,综合该孔的岩性、颜色、沉积构造以及沉积物垂向上的叠加方式等特征,将该孔以450cm和540cm为界分为3段,其中上段(450cm以上)以灰褐色、灰色粘土质粉砂为主,岩性较均一,测年表明其形成于近7.64ka以来,此期间海平面变化只有约3 ̄4m,对应的沉积动力条件与沉积环境应该与现今基本一致,为海侵结束后高海平面以来主要受沿岸流控制的浅海沉积。通过计算PC-6孔450cm以上225个样品陆源碎屑组分中每个粒级组分标准偏差随粒级组分的变化,分离出对沉积环境敏感的粒级约为6μm和56μm,2个粒度组分的分界线约在28μm。细粒组分(<28μm)为东海冬季沿岸流携带悬浮体所沉积,而>28μm粗粒组分对应的沉积动力条件为波浪。本文采用28μm以下的细粒级组分的平均粒径作为替代指标,来揭示东亚冬季风的变化周期。使用功率谱分析软件REDFIT35对<28μm组分的平均粒径进行分析,PC-6孔揭示出70 ̄72、78、89、102、112、123、154a等百年尺度的强周期信号。与世界其它地区进行综合对比分析表明,全新世东亚季风的变化在百年尺度以Gleissberg周期和约70a的周期为主,且它们都是太阳辐射变化的结果。 相似文献
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ENSO对东亚夏季风和我国夏季降水的影响研究进展 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
回顾了最近几年我国学者在ENSO对东亚夏季风和我国夏季降水影响方面的研究成果,通过夏季风时降水的影响分析ENSO对夏季降水的作用,结合1997-1998年的ENSO现象,对前人的理论和统计结果进行了讨论,指出除了ENSO发生的时间、区域、强度外,其增长和衰减率在这一问题的研究中也值得关注。 相似文献
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东海黄海渤海8个主要分潮的数值模拟 总被引:12,自引:3,他引:9
应用球面坐标系下ECOM数值模式,数值模拟了东海黄海渤海的8个主要分潮M2、S2、N2、K2、K1、O1、P1和Q1.采用高分辨率网格,计算区域包括东海黄海渤海、东海陆架坡和琉球以东西北太平洋,考虑实际水深和岸线.开边界条件由全球大洋潮汐模式计算的调和常数给出.较成功地模拟出了8个分潮的传播特征,再现了计算区域内半日分潮的5个无潮点和2个蜕化的半个无潮点、全日分潮的3个无潮点.与65个潮位站的观测资料比较,模式计算的M2、S2、K1和O1分潮振幅和位相的均方差分别为7.85 cm和6.81°,5.04cm和8.14°,3.82cm和13.04°,4.34cm和9.33°.与17个潮位站的观测资料比较,N2、K2、P1和Q1分潮振幅和位相的均方差分别为3.64cm和7.89°,8.47cm和10.51°,1.76cm和7.56°,1.50cm和26.34°.模式模拟的结果可为河口海岸小区域模式提供较为可靠的外海开边界潮汐调和常数资料. 相似文献
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应用垂向混合坐标系海洋模式(HYCOM),对赤道以及北太平洋进行了气候态模拟和1990-1999年的模拟.给出了黑潮对我国近海热量和盐量输运的定量结果,并对其季节和年际变化特征进行了分析.气候态模拟的结果表明,黑潮对东海的热量输运与该区域的海表面热通量同量级,且呈反向变化,热量输运冬季最大,夏季最小,7月为-9×1013W,2月为2.5×1014W,春、秋为过渡季节.黑潮向南海输运的热量除夏季为负值外,其它季节均为正值.黑潮年均向东海输运热量1.67×1014 W,向南海输运热量1.5×1014W.盐量输运的变化趋势与热量一致.对1990-1999年的模拟结果进行小波分析表明,黑潮对东海热量和盐量输运具有4~7年的显著周期,且与厄尔尼诺现象密切相关.厄尔尼诺年,黑潮向东海输运的热量和盐量均有明显减小.黑潮对南海热量和盐量输运的周期约为3~4年.黑潮对南海的热量输运也与厄尔尼诺现象存在负相关关系. 相似文献
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闽浙沿岸上升流及其季节变化的数值研究 总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5
采用三维斜压非线性数值模式ECOMSED,同时考虑地形、边界流(台湾暖流、黑潮和长江冲淡水)、热通量及QuikSCAT风场等动力因子,对闽浙沿岸上升流及其季节变化进行了数值研究.结果表明,闽浙沿岸一年四季均有上升流存在,且上升流中心及上升流强度有明显的季节变化特征.其中,浙江沿岸舟山群岛和渔山列岛附近、福建沿岸海坛岛和马祖列岛附近四季均存在较强的上升流中心,上升流强度季节变化特征是\"冬弱夏强\".冬季上升流强度为10-3cm/s量级,沿岸平均上升流速约为0.3×10-3cm/s;夏季最大上升流速可达0.8×10-2cm/s,沿岸平均上升流速约为0.4×10-2cm/s. 相似文献
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目的在于尝试从东海内陆架上建立全新世高分辨率的东亚冬季风替代性序列.通过对位于东海内陆架闽浙沿岸泥质中部的PC-6孔(740 cm)进行AMS14C年龄测试和粒度分析,综合沉积构造、沉积层序与海平面变化讨论该孔的沉积环境,其上(0~450 cm)、中(450~540 cm)、下(540~740 cm)段分别对应于前滨、近滨和与现今环境基本一致的浅海沉积环境,其中上段的沉积作用主要受控于东海冬季沿岸流.通过计算该孔的粒级-标准偏差,提取了环境敏感粒度组分,该孔沉积物粒度由以28μm为界的2个粒度子体构成,它们的峰值即约5~6μm与102~125μm分别为对应于冬季沿岸流和波浪的敏感粒级;细粒组分(<28μm)对应于沿岸流,为沿岸流所携带,表现为平行于海岸的横向迁移,粗粒组分对应于波浪,沉积物以垂直于海岸的纵向迁移为主.PC-6孔上段细粒组分的含量一般在85%以上,利用其平均粒径序列建立了研究东亚冬季风演化的替代性序列. 相似文献
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根据雨季降水过程中的不确定性和非精确性特点,用有序聚类法(即最优分割法)建立华北地区雨季强度指数的状态分类标准,并以1951~1994年华北地区雨季强度指数所处的状态为依据,用叠加马尔可夫链预测方法来预测1995年和1996年华北地区雨季强度指数所处的状态.结果表明,叠加马尔可夫链预测方法计算方便,结果准确,可为雨季强度指数状态预测分析提供一种新的途径. 相似文献
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Responses of South and East Asian summer monsoons to different land-sea temperature increases under a warming scenario 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
We used outputs from climate models that participated in the fourth assessment (AR4) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to evaluate the responses of the South Asian summer monsoon (SASM) and the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) circulations to different warming over land and ocean under a medium warming scenario, SRES A1B. Our results suggest that, even though near-surface warming over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) is greater than that over the tropical Indian Ocean (TIO) and the northwestern Pacific (NWP), the upper-tropospheric land-sea thermal contrasts between the TP and the TIO (TP-TIO) and between the TP and the NWP (TP-NWP) will decrease. At interdecadal and longer time scales, the change in the SASM circulation is consistent with the TP-TIO upper-troposphere thermal contrast. Conversely, the change in the EASM circulation is consistent with the TP-NWP lower-troposphere thermal contrast. However, at the interannual time scale, both changes in the EASM and SASM are significantly correlated with the upper-troposphere thermal contrast. Further analyses suggest that increases in moisture and changes in cloud cover induced by global warming may cause amplified upper-tropospheric warming over the TP and the oceans resulting in inconsistent changes in the vertical temperature distribution over these regions. Because the warming over the TIO and NWP is greater than that over the TP, the TP-TIO meridional and TP-NWP zonal thermal contrasts will both decrease. However, at the lower layer, the difference in thermal capacity between land and sea result in a larger thermal effect in the near-surface region of the TP than those over the surrounding oceans. We showed that a range of factors that affect thermal conditions will likely cause changes in the Asian monsoon across a range of time scales under a warming scenario. These changes reflect differences in the influence of the greenhouse effect and natural variability. 相似文献
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《科学通报(英文版)》1999,44(Z1):189-189
preliminary studies on two kinds of aeolian dust accumulation in South China show that there are abrupt changes of magnetic susceptibility between the upper and lower parts of the typical profiles. This stratigraphic boundary may indict change in East Asian monsoon circulation pattern, which is induced by the significant uplift of the Tibetan Plateau in 0.15 myr or so. 相似文献
20.
《信阳师范学院学报(自然科学版)》2017,(3):407-411
利用1970-2013年NCEP-NCAR再分析资料以及中国基本基准825站地面气温均一化数据集,采用改进后的三维风速轨迹倒推方法,追踪了冬半年(10月至次年4月)入侵中国东北的强冷空气路径.结果表明:有西北路径230次,偏西路径75次,偏北路径101次.临近爆发前的环流演变导致三类冷气团大幅增温,削弱了不同源地的位温差异.偏西路径年频次减少幅度为0.26次/10a,而其他两类年频次没有明显变化趋势.相比之下,偏西路径强冷空气主要影响中国东北地区;西北路径强冷空气在东北地区能持续2.4d以上,并且对中国中东部以及南方地区的影响强于偏西路径;偏北路径强冷空气更易于在东北地区以及中国中东部地区造成异常低温事件,在南方地区可以形成持续2.8d以上的冷害. 相似文献