Backward linear-quadratic stochastic optimal control and nonzero-sum differential game problem with random jumps

This paper studies the existence and uniqueness of solutions of fully coupled forward-backward stochastic differential equations with Brownian motion and random jumps. The result is applied to solve a linear-quadratic optimal control and a nonzero-sum differential game of backward stochastic differential equations. The optimal control and Nash equilibrium point are explicitly derived. Also the solvability of a kind Riccati equations is discussed. All these results develop those of Lim, Zhou (2001) and Yu, Ji (2008).     

Maximum principle for forward-backward stochastic control system with random jumps and applications to finance

<正> Both necessary and sufficient maximum principles for optimal control of stochastic systemwith random jumps consisting of forward and backward state variables are proved.The control variableis allowed to enter both diffusion and jump coefficients.The result is applied to a mean-varianceportfolio selection mixed with a recursive utility functional optimization problem.Explicit expressionof the optimal portfolio selection strategy is obtained in the state feedback form.     

基于代数的模糊Petri网逆向推理算法

分析了多种模糊Petri网的推理算法优缺点。在此基础上,给出了一个基于代数的模糊Petri网逆向推理算法。此算法充分利用了Petri网的数学理论基础和描述并发系统的能力,其数据结构简单,便于计算机编程处理。此外,其逆向推理思想可以将系统转化为一个只与问题有关的简单的系统,减小空间复杂度。最后举例说明了它的应用。     

H∞ control for stochastic systems with time-delay

The H∞-control problem of stochastic systems with time-delay is considered. The sufficient conditions are obtained, under which there are always state-feedback control and dynamic output-feedback control so that the resulting closed-loop system is internaly stable and L2 input-output stable in the sense of expectation. Furthermore, the explicit formulas of both kinds of controls are derived. An example is included to illustrate the correctness of theoretic results.     

Exponential estimates for stochastic delay equations with norm-bounded uncertainties

This paper presents the sufficient conditions for the exponential stability of linear or semilinear stochastic delay equations with time-varying norm bounded parameter uncertainties. Exponential estimates for the solutions are also obtained by using a modified Lyapunov-Krasovski functional. These conditions can be tested numerically using interior point algorithms. This work is Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos. 10801056 and 10826095.     

Pricing for corporate property rights transfer with stochastic markets

This paper employs the real option theory to develop a pricing model for the transfer of property rights.We list the conditions for the good,intermediate and bad firms respectively,and work out the closed-form solution to the equilibrium transfer price,the optimal transfer timing.Using the comparative static analysis,we find that for good firms the transfer price of the target is increasing in its capital.The higher the capital of the target owns,the faster it will be transferred.For intermediate and bad firms,similar conclusions can be derived.The larger gap between the acquirer’s size and market power and those of the target,the lower the transfer triggered price.The transfer price goes up as the capital ratio of the acquirer over the target diminishes,while it is decreasing in the amount of the capital the target owns.     

New criteria on delayed state feedback stabilization for stochastic systems with time-varying delay

The problems of robust exponential stability in mean square and delayed state feedback stabilization for uncertain stochastic systems with time-varying delay are studied.By using Jensen’s integral inequality and combining with the free weighting matrix approach,new delay-dependent stability conditions and delayed state feedback stabilization criteria are obtained in terms of linear matrix inequalities.Meanwhile,the proposed delayed state feedback stabilization criteria are more convenient in application than the existing ones since fewer tuning parameters are involved.Numerical examples are given to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed methods.     

需求稀少情况下随机动态装卸混合问题研究

针对随机动态装卸混合问题中存在的排队现象,运用排队论推导出需求稀少情况下随机动态装卸混合问题期望系统时间的下界;提出了一种实时优化策略——多车场随机队列中位策略;推导出需求稀少情况下,多车场随机队列中位策略和实际应用中广泛采用的随机队列中位策略的期望系统时间,并分析了期望系统时间的渐近性.模拟计算结果表明,需求稀少情况下,多车场随机队列中位策略明显优于随机队列中位策略;当服务强度趋于零时,多车场随机队列中位策略近似为最优策略.     

Adaptive NN stabilization for stochastic systems with discrete and distributed time-varying delays

A new adaptive neural network(NN) output-feedback stabilization controller is investigated for a class of uncertain stochastic nonlinear strict-feedback systems with discrete and distributed time-varying delays and unknown nonlinear functions in both drift and diffusion terms.First,an extensional stability notion and the related criterion are introduced.Then,a nonlinear observer to estimate the unmeasurable states is designed,and a systematic backstepping procedure to design an adaptive NN output-feedback controller is proposed such that the closed-loop system is stable in probability.The effectiveness of the proposed control scheme is demonstrated via a numerical example.     

随机利率权益连结保险合同的局部风险最小化

权益连结人寿保险合同是保险利益依赖于某特定股票价格的保险合同，考虑一个同时描述含具有随机利率的金融市场和被保险人寿命不确定性的模型，由于不完全性，不能利用可交易的股票和债券完全对冲掉保险合同的风险，提出利用不完全市场的局部风险最小对冲方法对冲保险者的风险，在利率是随机的情况下，通过概率测度变换来确定权益连结保险合同的局部风险最小对冲交易策略，给出了相应的内在风险过程，最后，给出了一个关于局部风险最小对冲误差与均值一方差对冲误差的比较结果。     

经典更新风险模型中带有随机利率的破产概率

研究了保险公司的有限时间破产概率.在利率为不确定的情形下,利率用随机过程描述,对保险公司的盈余用经典更新风险模型建模.假设索赔额具有正则变化尾的分布,不同于传统的方法,利用随机权和的结果得到了有限时间破产概率的尾等价式.为精确估计破产概率提供了有效的途径,推广了经典的结果.     

随机需求下双渠道供应链协调的收益共享契约

针对双渠道供应链中同一产品在不同渠道间的替代性,运用报童问题的分析框架,在制造商为主方的Stackelberg对策博弈下,研究了传统渠道和电子渠道间的库存协调问题.建立了能够协调双渠道供应链的两方收益共享契约模型,给出了实现双渠道供应链协调时,契约参数之间满足的关系表达式.最后通过算例验证了所设计的两方收益共享契约对双渠道供应链协调的有效性.     

参数未知随机系统的最小方差对偶自适应控制

针对参数未知随机系统的自适应控制问题,研究了最小方差对偶自适应控制。分析了由于未知参数的不确定性,使得运用动态规划原理求解最优控制律时存在着困难,转而寻求次优控制律;给出了差分方程转换成状态空间模型的方法,将未知参数在一个确定的模型集中取值,运用动态规划原理得到各模型的控制律,通过各模型后验概率加权获得次优对偶控制律。给出了算例,以验证此算法的有效性,表明所得到的控制律既有调节作用,又有学习作用。     

跳变时滞随机系统的鲁棒保性能控制

研究了马尔可夫跳变参数时滞随机系统的鲁棒保性能控制问题。通过构造一个Lyapunov函数,并应用Ito微分公式沿系统对其求微分,再利用线性矩阵不等式(LMI)的性质和广义Ito公式,给出了此类系统保性能控制律存在的充分条件,估计了其保性能值,同时,控制器的设计归结为一族LMI的求解问题。最后,数值算例说明了方法的有效性。     

Bayesian estimation for nonlinear stochastic hybrid systems with state dependent transitions

The Bayesian approach is considered as the most general formulation of the state estimation for dynamic systems.However,most of the existing Bayesian estimators of stochastic hybrid systems only focus on the Markov jump system,few literature is related to the estimation problem of nonlinear stochastic hybrid systems with state dependent transitions.According to this problem,a new methodology which relaxes quite a restrictive assumption that the mode transition process must satisfy Markov properties is proposed.In this method,a general approach is presented to model the state dependent transitions,the state and output spaces are discreted into cell space which handles the nonlinearities and computationally intensive problem offline.Then maximum a posterior estimation is obtained by using the Bayesian theory.The efficacy of the estimator is illustrated by a simulated example.     

Coordinating production and recycling decisions with stochastic demand and return

In this paper, the joint production and recycling problem is investigated for a hybrid manufacturing and remanufacturing system where brand-new products are produced in the manufacturing plant and recycled products are remanufactured into as-new products in the remanufacturing facility. Both the brand-new products and remanufactured products are used to satisfy customer demands. Returns of used products that are recycled from customers are assumed to be stochastic and nonlinearly price-dependent. A mathematical model is proposed to maximize the overall profit of the system through simultaneously optimizing the production and recycling decisions, subject to two capacity constraints — the manufacturing capacity and the remanufacturing capacity. Based on Lagrangian relaxation method, subgradient algorithm and heuristic algorithm, a solution approach is developed to solve the problem. A representative example is presented to illustrate the system, and managerial analysis indicates that the uncertainties in demand and return have much influence on the production and recycling policy. In addition, twenty randomly produced examples are solved, and computational results show that the solution approach can obtain very good solutions for all examples in reasonable time.     

Robust H∞ control for uncertain stochastic saturating systems with time delays

The robust H∞ control problem for uncertain stochastic time-delay systems containing nonlinear actuators is considered. The uncertainties in the systems are assumed to satisfy specific match condition. The time delays exitst in state as well as control input. The new stochastic robust stabilization criterion and a sufficient condition for the existence of stochastic robust stabilizing control law are derived. The delay-independent memoryless robust H∞ controllers are constructed to stabilize the given systems in terms of a group of linear matrix inequalities. A numerical simulation example is presented to show that the proposed approach is valid.     

一种时间序列表示算法及其在聚类中的应用

时间序列数据量远远大于普通数据库的特点,导致一些通用的数据挖掘工具直接应用于时间序列效果很不理想。为此提出了一种时间序列分段线性化表示算法,这种表示方法将大大提高相似性测量的计算速度。在分段线性化表示的基础上提出了一种相似性计算方法,该方法对于时间序列的多种变形都不敏感。将k-平均(k-mean)聚类算法应用于分段线性化表示的时间序列,聚类结果表明算法非常有效。     

Analyses of location-price game on networks with stochastic customer behavior and its heuristic algorithm

<正> In this paper,a two-stage model is developed to investigate the location strategy andthe commodity pricing strategy for a retail firm that wants to enter a spatial market with multiplecompetitive facilities,where a competitor firm is already operating as a monopoly with several outlets.Expected market shares are calculated based on the stochastic customer behavior on networks.Theauthors provide a sufficient condition for the existence of equilibrium prices in the price game for thefirst time.The existence and uniqueness of the pure strategy Nash equilibrium price with a specifiedutility function are proved in the subgame.A metaheuristic based on tabu search is proposed tosearch the optimal location-price solution of the model.In addition,the authors provide two numericalexamples to illustrate how to obtain the optimal solution and conduct sensitivity analysis.The analysisshows that the best location decision is robust for the follower firm,price game is more intense whenincomes of consumers are lower or there are more substitution products,and neither chain retail gainsfrom the price competition.     

Registration algorithm for sensor alignment based on stochastic fuzzy neural network

1.INTRODUCTION 1.1　SensorSurveillanceSystem Surveillancesystemisusedinmanycivilianandmili taryapplicationssystems.Sub surveillancesystem contains:air trafficcontrolsystem,airdefencesys temandnavigationdecisionandcontrolsystem,etc. Inordertoperfectlydescribe“themovementofthe target”,thesystemneedtoobtainthetrackofthe target.Thedatafusionofthetargetandtheprocess buildingtheirtracksarecalledasmultipletargettrac ing.Themainfunctionofthetargetandtheprocess buildingtheirtracksarecalledas…