基于树轮宽度重建漠河近百年1月份降水量

通过对大兴安岭地区漠河县樟子松(Pinus sylvestris var. Mongolica)树轮宽度分析,建立了漠河樟子松树轮宽度标准化年表与差值年表,通过分析标准化年表与该地区气温、降水、帕尔默干旱系数PDSI等气候因子之间的关系,发现树轮径向生长主要受降水控制,其中与1月份降水量相关性较好(r=0. 636,P 0. 000,n=57)。利用线性回归方程重建了1920—2016年1月份降水量,重建序列方差解释量达39. 6%(R_(adj)~2=38. 5%)。经"逐一剔除法"检验重建方程稳定可靠,重建方程为P_1=11. 733·STDt-6. 089。分析重建序列发现近97年1月份存在2个较湿阶段与4个较干阶段,20世纪后30年增加趋势显著。周期性分析表明近97年1月份降水量存在48a,16a,9. 7a,5~7a,2. 2~2. 5a等准周期,或与PDO等大尺度气候波动关系密切。     

利用树轮宽度重建西藏中部地区植被指数变化

利用西藏中部大果圆柏的树轮宽度资料,建立了宽度年表.分析了树轮宽度指数、归一化植被指数和当雄月气象要素三者间的关系.结果表明树木的径向生长和区域归一化植被指数对气候要素的响应关系一致,与上年7-8月和当年5-6月的降水量显著正相关,与当年5-6月的温度显著负相关.由于共同受气候因素的制约,树轮差值年表与西藏中部地区7-8月平均归一化植被指数的相关系数达到0.714,二者之间的线性转换方程的方差解释量达到了51.5%,逐一剔除检验证明了方程稳定可信.1565-2006年的归一化植被指数重建序列的分析表明,近20a来的归一化植被指数是整个序列最高的时段,与西藏拉萨、林芝等地的植被指数上升的趋势一致.西藏器测降水量资料和基于树轮重建的西藏中南部降水量序列均反映了近20a来降水量增加的事实.在近20a归一化植被指数升高、植被状况好转的同时,其变异系数随之增加.极端事件出现的频率增加,导致该区域畜牧业发展的风险增大.     

黄泛区黄连木径向生长对气候要素的响应

利用黄泛区沙丘上散生的黄连木树轮宽度进行生态学研究,以便揭示研究区黄连木的径向生长与气候因子之间的关系.建立的树轮差值年表中有较高的平均敏感度、信噪比和样本总体解释量,表明年表中含有较多的高频气候变化信息.年表序列与气候因子(月平均气温、月平均最高气温、月平均最低气温、月降水量和帕尔默干旱指数(PDSI))的相关结果表明:树轮宽度与前一年7月月平均气温和月平均最高气温以及当年6月月平均最高气温都呈显著负相关,而与前一年9月月平均最低气温和前一年12月、当年2月及6月降水量呈显著正相关,尤其与前一年7月月平均最高气温和当年2月降水量的相关性最高;与前一年11月至当年9月PDSI指数值都呈显著正相关,尤其6月和1-6月时段最突出.在此基础上,又对树轮序列中最窄和最宽年份进行了月均最高气温和月降水响应的实证分析,树轮宽窄变化与相关值最高的7月月平均最高气温和2月降水量及1-6月PDSI指数值的对照分析,并建立了树轮指数与1-6月PDSI指数的模拟方程.最后,利用树木出现的时间推断沙丘的形成应该与1938年花园口决堤有关.     

大兴安岭北部阿里河樟子松年轮气候响应及冬季降水重建

对大兴安岭阿里河地区樟子松(Pinus sylvestris var.mongolica)树轮年表与气候要素的响应关系进行了分析研究.结果表明:年轮指数与该地区前一年12月至当年1月平均降水存在显著的正相关关系.基于树轮宽度重建了阿里河1809年以来前一年12月至当年1月平均降水量回归方程,该方程解释了47%的冬季降水变化,且该序列与黑龙江省干湿变化存在较好的一致性.对重建序列的分析表明,该地区冬季降水变化存在4个偏干阶段和4个偏湿阶段.阿里河地区过去200a冬季降水存在干湿交替时期,即19世纪初期较干旱,中期较湿润,后期至20世纪初期较干旱,而20世纪中期较湿润,后期则相对偏干.同时,阿里河地区冬季降水存在85~38,5.0~4.5和2.2a显著的变化周期.     

山东塔山黑松树轮稳定碳同位素与气候要素的响应

在山东塔山东坡采集黑松(Pinus thunbergii Parl)树芯样本,建立树轮稳定碳同位素年表,发现在数十年尺度上与工业革命以来大气稳定碳同位素比率降低的事实相吻合,但1976年之后树轮稳定碳同位素比率(δ13C)有逐渐上升的趋势,其原因可能是大气中CO2的积累效应导致了大气与海洋之间CO2交换的不稳定性.通过对样本δ13C序列校正提取高频序列后与气象站气象资料进行相关分析,发现树轮δ13C序列与温度呈正相关,与降水量和日照时数呈负相关,温度和降水以及日照时数对树轮δ13C的影响均存在一定的滞后效应,该地区树木生长的限制性气候因子比较复杂,可能受到多种气候因子的共同影响,在气候重建研究中应当慎重选择.     

祁连山东部地区高分辨率气候记录研究

利用采自祁连山东部的祁连圆柏树芯样本 ,建立标准化年表 ,并将标准年表的树轮指数与采样点附近的天祝乌鞘岭气象站的温度和降水进行响应函数和相关函数分析 .结果表明 ,树轮标准年表序列与当地 3～ 4月份降水成显著正相关 ,相关系数达 0 .5 2 5 ,不同检验分析方法均说明 ,祁连圆柏树轮宽度年表可以用来重建这一地区近 2 80年来的春季降水变化 .重建的近 2 80年来研究区少雨春季与毗邻的河西走廊干旱区旱灾的历史记录相吻合 ;研究还发现 ,祁连山东部地区春季降水对近 10 0年来全球变暖出现明显的相反响应 ,春季降水有明显的减少趋势 .奇异谱和功率谱分析表明 ,近 30 0年来研究区春季降水主要有准 19a和 15 a两个显著周期     

树轮—气候响应研究中气象数据选择探究———以贺兰山油松为例

利用贺兰山同时存在高山气象站和山下气象站的条件,在高山气象站旁采集油松树轮样本,建立3种树轮年表,并选用标准年表分别与高山气象站和山下的阿左旗气象站的月降水量和月均温进行相关分析,探究利用山下气象站数据代替山上气候是否可行.结果表明,在贺兰山地区,用山下气象站数据代替高山气候,能较准确地反映树轮与月均温的响应显著的月份;而在反映树轮与月降水的响应关系时,则与真实情况有所差异.因此在树轮—气候的研究中,可以用山下气象站的数据代替山上的月均温,而不能代替月降水来进行相关分析.     

使用 MiVnt图像分析系统进行树木 年轮细胞特征研究的尝试

以芦芽山白杄(Picea meyeri)的树轮样本作为对象,尝试使用MiVnt图像分析系统观测树轮细胞特征.建立了包含树轮宽度、细胞数目、细胞大小、最大细胞大小、最小细胞大小、早材细胞数目、晚材细胞数目在内的7个树轮年表.结果表明,树轮宽度、细胞数目和早材细胞数目年表具有较高的气候信息质量.晚材细胞数目年表与其余年表之间具有负相关关系,表明细胞特征可以体现与树轮宽度不同的气候信息.除晚材细胞数目年表外,其余年表均与生长季气温呈负相关,与降水呈正相关,体现了土壤干旱对树木生长的限制.晚材细胞数目年表与生长季末期的降水显著负相关,体现了生长季末期气候条件对形成层细胞的影响.本文是研究树木生长与气候因子关系的有益补充.     

1470年以来广东地区降水量的定量重建及其探讨

根据近500年旱涝等级资料结合实测降水资料,通过相关函数分析和聚类分析等方法重建了1470年以来广东地区的降水量序列.文中介绍了定量重建历史时期降水量序列的方法及其可行性、可靠性,并对重建序列进行了初步的分析.研究表明,针对历史时期降水量重建而提出的相关-聚类-赋值法能够较有效地对历史时期的降水量进行定量重建.1470年以来广东地区主要经历了13次降水量转变时期,1860年以来降水量虽然一直在起伏中波动,但总的来说以负距平为主.周期分析揭示了广东地区的降水量变化具有5~7年、11年、19~22年以及53年左右的变化周期,其中某些周期可能与太阳活动以及海-气相互作用有关.     

利用树木年轮重建小五台山地区1895年以来2-5月份的降水量

利用树轮宽度指数作为代用资料,分析了小五台山地区树木径向生长与气候要素变化的响应关系,发现小五台山地区树木径向生长受晚冬及春季降水影响显著,呈显著的正相关关系,树木生长对降水量的响应明显超过对温度的响应.在响应分析的基础上,重建了小五台山地区1895年以来2-5月份的降水量,重建方程的稳定性较好,可解释重建变量方差的48.02%.重建结果表明,小五台山地区过去100多年中经历了4个主要的偏干期:1903-1911,1927-1932,1940-1943和1992-1996年;4个主要的偏湿期:1895-1898,1912-1920,1933-1936和1948-1950年;自20世纪80年代以来,小五台山地区干旱年发生比例明显增加,由之前的13.95%增加到24.00%,而湿润年的比例则由13.95%降到12.00%;重建的降水序列存在显著的方差突变.     

A 457-year reconstruction of precipitation in the southeastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, China using tree-ring records

This paper presents a 457-year reconstruction of precipitation in the southeastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau using tree-ring records.Tree-ring samples were collected from the Hengduan Mountains in the southeastern part of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau,China.A nearly 500-year chronology was developed using tree-ring width records.Correlation analysis shows moisture is the main factor limiting tree growth in this region.Ring-widths were significantly positively correlated with the Palmer Drought Severity Index(PDSI) and precipitation in many months.The highest correlation coefficient was found between the annual growth of trees and precipitation from the previous September to the current June(0.738).Based on this relationship,we reconstructed the precipitation history from 1509 to 2006.The reconstruction explains 54.4%(Radj2=53.5%,N=49,F=56.12) of the actual precipitation variation during the calibration period(1958-2006).During the reliable period of the reconstruction(1549-2006),some low-frequency climate signals are included,indicating this region has been getting wetter in the last 20 years.The reconstruction documents six apparently dry and five pluvial periods and the 17th century dry period lasted longer than any other.When compared with other recent studies,this study and these earlier reconstructions show a similar trend in the variation of drought and pluvial.Further spatial correlation analysis confirms that the reconstructed precipitation adequately represents the rainfall history of the entire Hengduan Mountain area.The Multi-taper method,a type of spectral analysis,reveals that precipitation in this area had significant(P<0.01) spectral peaks at 3-5 a,60 a and 79-85 a.     

Temperature variability since A.D. 1837 inferred from tree-ring maximum density of <Emphasis Type="Italic">Abies fabri</Emphasis> on Gongga Mountain,China

Two tree-ring MXD (maximum latewood density) chronologies of Abies fabri were developed from the eastern slopes of Gongga Mountain, and a regional chronology (RC) was established based on the two MXD chronologies. There were significant positive correlations between the three MXD chronologies and August–September temperature, and the RC had the highest correlation (r=0.733, n=48, P<0.001) with mean August–September temperature. Based on growth-climate analyses, we reconstructed mean August–September temperature during the past 171 years for the study area. The reconstruction explained 53.5% of the instrumental temperature variance during the period 1960–2007 (F=52.8, R²_adj =52.4%). In the past 171 years, there were 22 very warm years and 23 very cold years, four cold periods (1837–1842, 1884–1891, 1899–1905 and 1984–1989) and three warm periods (1966–1973, 1916–1924 and 1876–1881). Our reconstruction was validated by other tree ring-based temperature reconstructions from the surrounding area and documented climate disaster events.     

秦岭鳌山太白红杉径向生长对气候因子的响应

【目的】秦岭是以太白红杉(Larix chinensis)为代表的典型温带针叶林分布区,也是受全球气候变化影响最为显著和敏感的地区之一,为了解该区树木生长对气候变化的敏感性,分析了秦岭鳌山太白红杉径向生长对气候因子的响应。【方法】基于树木年代学方法,利用鳌山高山林线太白红杉树木年轮宽度资料,建立树轮宽度年表,明确影响太白红杉径向生长的关键气候因子。【结果】太白红杉对气候变化反应较为敏感,年表包含较多的气候信息,适用于树轮气候学研究。相关分析表明,太白红杉径向生长与上年6月以及当年2月和6—7月气温呈显著正相关,与上年5月和当年1、6月降水量呈显著负相关。空间分析发现太白红杉树轮宽度年表对于评估采样点周边较大范围地区6月气温变化特征具有很好的空间代表性。【结论】一些大尺度的大气-海洋变化的耦合作用可能对秦岭地区太白红杉的径向生长产生影响。     

Millennial temperature reconstruction based on tree-ring widths of Qilian juniper from Wulan, Qinghai Province, China

The climate of the past 1000 years is an important context for evaluating the recent climate warming. However, there are few 1000-year-long climate reconstructions with annual resolution in the Qinghal-Tibet Plateau. In this paper, a dendroclimatic analysis was conducted for the radial growth of Qilian juniper from the upper forest limit in Wulan, Qinghai Province. The results of correlation analysis between the tree-ring widths and the climate variables indicate that the growth of junipers at the upper forest limit is mainly limited by low temperatures of September, November and February of the pregrowth season, and July of the current growth season. There is no significant correlation between the tree-ring widths and precipitation. A mean temperature from the previous year＇s September to the current year＇s April was reconstructed for the Wulan area since A.D. 1000. The reconstruction can explain 40.8% of the instrumental variance in the calibration period （1856-2002）. The reconstruction shows that the 20th century is the warmest 100 years, and the 1990s is the warmest decade during the past 1000 years, while the coldest 100 years and decade occur at 1600-1699 and 1642-1651, respectively. The variations are verified well by the temperature reconstruction of the middle Qilian Mountain （QL） and the total organic carbon （TOC） in the Qinghai Lake sediments. The comparison of our reconstruction with the annual temperature reconstruction of extra-tropical Northern Hemisphere suggests that the climate of Wulan during the Medieval Warm Period is of obvious regional specialty, but there was a good response to the climate of hemispheric scales during the recent 400 years.     

Reconstruction of May—July precipitation in the north Helan Mountain, Inner Mongolia since A.D. 1726 from tree-ring late-wood widths

Inrecentyears,greatprogressofdendroclimatologystudyhasbeenmadeinChina,andlotsofvaluabledatahavebeenobtained.Theclimaticfactors,suchastem-perature,precipitation,etc.,havebeenreconstructedonthebasisoftree-ringdataforthepastseveralcenturies[1—5].Thesedatahaveplayed(orwillplay)animportantroleinbothregionalandglobalchangeresearches[6].Sofar,however,tree-ringdatafromtheboundaryofthedeserttoloessareainnorthwestChinaaresparse[7].Thisstudywillusethetree-ringdataintermsofthestatisticalmethodtoreconstr…     

伏牛山华山松径向生长对气候变化的响应

利用伏牛山的华山松树芯样本,建立了树轮宽度指数年表.运用响应函数方法,研究了华山松径向生长与气候变化的关系.结果表明,华山松的生长对环境变化相当敏感,当年3月份的温度和5、6月份的降水都与华山松的生长显著正相关.这说明在伏牛山地区,生长季降水是影响华山松生长的主要因子.     

Tree-ring-based annual precipitation reconstruction in Kalaqin, Inner Mongolia for the last 238 years

A tree-ring-width chronology of Pinus tabulaeformis from Kalaqin, Inner Mongolia was developed using modern dendrochronological techniques. Based on the results of correlation function analysis, the total precipitation from the previous August to current July was reconstructed for 1771?C2008 AD with an explained variance of 49.3%. The reconstruction correlated well with the dryness/wetness series derived from historical documents, as well as the precipitation reconstruction of the Chifeng-Weichang region. There were eight intervals with greater precipitation than the average (associated with the strong East Asian summer monsoon) and seven intervals lower than the average (weak monsoon). A power spectrum analysis showed that there were 120 a, 80 a, 8 a and 2 a periodicities.     

Relationships between tree-ring width index and NDVI of grassland in Delingha

The responses of terrestrial ecosystem to and their impacts on global climate change are key issues in global change research. More studies on vegetationmonitoring and land cover change have been performed by using remote sensing data recently, which bene…     

Tree-ring based PDSI reconstruction since AD 1842 in the Ortindag Sand Land, east Inner Mongolia

epartment of Wood Science, University of Hamburg, Hamburg D-21031, GermanyBased on three Chinese pine (Pinus tabulaeformis Carr.) and one Meyer spruce (Picea meyeri Rehd. et Wils.) ring-width chronologies, a 163-year drought history was reconstructed in the eastern Ortindag Sand Land. All tree-ring chronologies show large inter-annual variations and strong common signals and fairly consistent variation between different chronologies, indicating that they are excellent proxy of regional climate. A regional chronology (RC) was established by averaging the four standard chronologies and further employed for the analysis and climatic reconstruction. The analysis revealed that tree growth is primarily limited by low precipitation in February-March and June-July and high temperature in May-July. In addition, RC has high correlations with the monthly Palmer drought severity index (PDSI) prior to and during the growing season because the PDSI considers the accumulation of the droughts. Response function analysis revealed that RC only exhibits significant correlations with the PDSI in June and July (close to the 95% significance level in May). Because May―July is a critical period for tree growth, the average May-July PDSI (PDSI5-7) was reconstructed back to 1842 using RC in the Ortindag Sand Land. The reconstruction can explain 52% of the PDSI variance and the equation was rather stable over time. It agrees well with the variation of the average dryness/wetness indices in North China,and captures the decline process of the East Asian summer monsoon since the mid-1960s. It is worth noting that the Ortindag Sand Land has experienced the most severe drought in the recent 40 years based on the 163-year drought reconstruction. Like summer precipitation in North China the reconstructed PDSI5-7 also displays a 20-year oscillation.