共查询到20条相似文献,搜索用时 859 毫秒
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Zhou XianminShanghai Research & Development Centre Guil in Road Shanghai P.R.China 《系统工程与电子技术(英文版)》1993,(4)
Computer simulation models may by used to gain further information about missile performance variability. Model validation is an important aspect of the test program for a missile system. Validation provides a basis for confidence in the model's results and is a necessary step if the model is to be used to draw inference about the behavior of the real missile. This paper is a review of methods useful for validation of computer simulation models of missile systems and provides a new method with high degree of confidence for validation of computer simulation models of missile systems. Some examples of the use of the new method in validating computer simulation models are given. 相似文献
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Integrating complex system dynamics of pandemic influenza with a multi-criteria decision making model for evaluating public health strategies 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
Ozgur M ARAZ 《系统科学与系统工程学报(英文版)》2013,22(3):319-339
Recent developments in computational sciences and computer modeling have allowed emergency preparedness exercises to include simulation models as supporting tools.These simulation models are generally built for predicting temporal and geographic patterns of disease spread.However sole use of simulation models in exercise design falls short in terms of incorporating policy decision makers’ preferences into decision-making processes.In this paper,a general framework for exercising public health preparedness plans with a decision support system is presented to integrate estimation of key epidemiological parameters with a system dynamics model of an outbreak.A multi-criteria decision making framework,an Analytical Hierarchy Process model,is then developed and integrated with the simulation model to help public health policy makers prioritize their response goals and evaluate mitigation strategies in a table-top exercise environment. 相似文献
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QIUShiming GUPeiliang 《系统科学与复杂性》2004,17(2):281-288
Complex adaptive system (CAS) is a kind of complex system in natural and artificial systems. In this paper, the theory of complex adaptive system is introduced at first. Considering the characteristic of energy system, it can be regarded as a complex adaptive system. After the evolutionary law is analysed, the energy complex system model is established based on CAS and application tool SWARM, which is a simulation software platform. The model differs from the models as well as methods developed before. As an application, China's energy system is simulated with the model established above. China's future total energy demand in the future, energy structure and related in fluence on environment are presented. 相似文献
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ZHOU Xuejun ZHONG Ziran CHEN Bingyan ZHOU Qiumo GUI Jingshe ZHU Guangshu ZHANG Xinqiang CHEN Shaohui Institute of Planning Design for Chemical Mines Ministry of Chemical Industry 《系统科学与系统工程学报(英文版)》1992,(1)
This paper, based on the study results of a subproject under the Seventh Fiveyear-plan National Major Scientific and Technological Research Project, will concentrate on the application of the mixed integer goal programming in the studies on the optimization and comprehensive evaluation of investment decision and production planning in Yichang phosphate rock district in Hubei Province and in Dianchi district in Yunnan Province. The optimization models for mineral district development planning system are formulated through system analysis. A microcomputer software based on the combination of mixed integer programming and goal programming is developed to continuously implement the calculation for the mathematical model with arbitrary objective priority levels and for a group of such models. And a system economic evaluation model is developed to measure the profitability of optimal planning system scenarios. Finally, a large amount of output information are provided for the reference of decision makers. 相似文献
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舰载相控阵雷达仿真系统研究与实现 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
对于舰载相控阵雷达这类复杂系统的仿真,软件系统的设计起着至关重要的作用。为了更有效的进行舰载相控阵雷达的仿真研究,在模块化的基础上,引入了分层设计的思想,建立了分层模块化、易于扩展的仿真软件体系结构,给出了总仿真流程,并着重分析研究了其核心模块的功能、原理和实现流程,构建了仿真软件系统。仿真结果充分验证了模型和方法的可行性和有效性。Abstract: The design of software system is very important to the simulation of complex system such as shipborne phased array radar. To make the research of shipborne phased array radar simulation more efficiency, the idea of layered design was imported based on modularization, a hierarchy modularized and easy expansible simulation software architecture was established, and the whole simulation flow was suggested, the function and the theory and the realization flow of the core model was mainly researched, and the simulation software system was developed. The result of the simulation has validated the model and the method. 相似文献
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The performance of the model algorithm control method is partially based on the accuracy of the system’s model. It is difficult to obtain a good model of a nonlinear system, especially when the nonlinearity is high. Neural networks have the ability to "learn"the characteristics of a system through nonlinear mapping to represent nonlinear functions as well as their inverse functions. This paper presents a model algorithm control method using neural networks for nonlinear time delay systems. Two neural networks are used in the control scheme. One neural network is trained as the model of the nonlinear time delay system, and the other one produces the control inputs. The neural networks are combined with the model algorithm control method to control the nonlinear time delay systems. Three examples are used to illustrate the proposed control method. The simulation results show that the proposed control method has a good control performance for nonlinear time delay systems. 相似文献
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ShanlinYang YongwuZhou 《系统科学与信息学报》2004,2(3):395-408
This paper, through the discounted cash flow (DCF) approach, considers inventory replenishment problems for deteriorating items with general time-varying demand over a finite planning horizon under inflation. The optimal replenishment policies for the total profit of system to be maximum are presented with partial backlogging. Moreover, the fraction of demand backlogged is assumed to be a non-increasing function of waiting time. Firstly, the models with a fixed fraction backorder and complete backorder are provided. Then the model is presented with assuming that the fraction of demand backlogged is an exponentially decreasing function of waiting time. The solution procedures of models are proposed. The effect of inflation on the optimal policies is shown. The models are illustrated through numerical examples and sensitivity analysis of parameters is given. 相似文献
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High volume conveyor systems in distribution centers have very large footprint and can handlelarge volumes and hold thousands of items.Traditional discrete-event cell-based approach to simulatesuch networks becomes computationally challenging.An alternative approach,in which the traffic isrepresented by segments of fluid flow of different density instead of individual packages,is presentedin this paper to address this challenge.The proposed fluid-based simulation approach is developedusing a Hybrid Petri Nets framework.The underlying model is a combination of an extension of aBatches Petri Nets(BPN)and a Stochastic Petri Nets(SPN).The extensions are in the inclusion ofrandom elements and relaxation of certain structural constraints.Some adaptations are also made to fitthe target system modeling.The approach is presented with an example. 相似文献
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On the basis of capacity flow model, a new model is developed for a load-sharing k-out-of-n: G system consisting of different components, to describe the increase of the same component's failure rates under different loads. All components have exponential life distributions and are nonrepairable in the system. Reliability of load- sharing 2-out- of-3: G system is calculated and some special cases for the system are discussed. The calculation and discussions show that the model is right and practical. 相似文献
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电子对抗效能评估仿真系统的实现 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
介绍了一个基于攻防对抗环境的电子对抗效能评估计算机仿真系统。文中分析了国内外在电子战效能评估仿真领域内的研究现状,论述了该仿真系统的技术实现思路,重点介绍了其场景想定模块、态势显示模块和效能评估模块。还介绍了该仿真系统模型实现中的几个关键问题,包括辐射源威胁等级的确定算法,以及神经网络应用于干扰资源分配的组合优化方法。该仿真系统的实现可以辅助部队改进电子战训练手段,提高训练水平。 相似文献
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基于简化活性污泥数学模型的污水处理仿真研究 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1
现有的活性污泥数学模型结构复杂、参数众多,直接用于污水处理的系统仿真有一定的困难。针对这一问题,对活性污泥1号模型ASMI面向应用进行合理的简化,得到适合描述活性污泥推流式工艺碳去除过程的模型ASP-CR.该模型的组分、反应过程和参数的数量都大大减少,并对溶解氧组分进行了特殊处理一用现场的测量值代替预测值。基于试模型建立了污水处理仿真系统,解决了数据转换和参数校正的问题.通过对海城污水处理厂处理过程的实时模拟,验证了系统的正确性和实用性。 相似文献
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船舶蒸汽系统管道仿真方法研究 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
根据船舶饱和蒸汽系统管道的工作特点和结构特点,将复杂的蒸汽管网分为大直径蒸汽管道和小直径蒸汽管网两类仿真对象,根据质量守恒、能量守恒定律针对这两类仿真对象分别建立了两相箱体模型和流体网络模型。考虑了流体网络中网络节点与外界环境的散热,提出了流体网络节点压力、温度、焓的修正方法。在某核动力装置模拟器上进行的仿真实验表明,该模型能够较好地反映船舶饱和蒸汽系统管道运行的动态特性。 相似文献
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从分析拥挤状况的交通行为特性出发,建立了相应的仿真模型。该模型在跟车子模型加入了随机扰动项,换道子模型的可行性检测中加入了前后间距不足时司机的减速行为。与传统模型相比该模型能更好地反映拥挤流下的交通行为,更适合于拥挤状况的交通微观仿真。 相似文献