Mental processes and disorders: a neurobehavioral perspective in human biometeorology

Research concerning the complex relation between weather and psychological processes has emphasized three important issues: methodological problems, the determination of the major behavioral factors, and the isolation of neurobiological mechanisms. This paper reviews the current status of each issue. Weather changes are most frequently associated with behaviors that are the endpoints of inferred psychological processes that include mood, subclinical pain, anxiety, and the correlates of schedule shifts. Learning and conditioning appear to mediate a powerful influence over weather-related responses. This may explain the large individual variability in these behaviors. The most well-known group effects associated with weather changes involve psychiatric populations. Clinical subpopulations may respond in different ways to different aspects of the same weather system as well as to different types of air masses. Likely neurobiological mechanisms through which meteorogenic stimuli may mediate whole organismic effects include the locus coeruleal and limbic systems. Expected psychobiological consequences are examined in detail. The magnitude and temporal-spatial characteristics of weather effects indicate they are the subject matter of behavioral epidemiology.     

Geopsychology and geopsychopathology: Mental processes and disorders associated with geochemical and geophysical factors

Summary Temporal and regional variations in psychological processes have been associated with three geological factors. They are geochemical profiles, geomagnetic variations, and tectonic stresses. In the geochemical domain, copper, aluminum, zinc, and lithium may influence the incidence of thought disorders such as schizophrenia and senile dementia. These common elements are found in many soils and ground water. Geomagnetic variations have been correlated with enhanced anxiety, sleep disturbances, altered moods, and greater incidences of psychiatric admissions. The effects are usually brief but pervasive. Transient and very local epidemics of bizarre and unusual behaviors are sociological phenomena that sometimes precede increases in earthquake activity within a region; they have been hypothesized to be associated with tectonic strain. Many of the contemporary correlations between geological factors and human behavior are also apparent within historical data. The effects of geophysical and geochemical factors upon human behavior are not artifactual, but they are complex and often not detected by the limited scope of most studies.     

A remark on least-squares and naive extrapolations in non-linear AR (1) processes

The m-step least squares extrapolation is generally different from the m-step naive extrapolation in non-linear AR (1) models when m ≥ 2. We show that there exists a class of non-linear AR (1) models in which a difference between these two extrapolations is arbitrary large.     

Short term load forecasting in electric power systems: A comparison of ARMA models and extended wiener filtering

On-line prediction of electric load in the buses of the EHV grid of a power generation and transmission system is basic information required by on-line procedures for centralized advanced dispatching of power generation. This paper presents two alternative approaches to on-line short term forecasting of the residual component of the load obtained after the removal of the base load from a time series of total load. The first approach involves the use of stochastic ARMA models with time-varying coefficients. The second consists in the use of an extension of Wiener filtering due to Zadeh and Ragazzini. Real data representing a load process measured in an area of Northern Italy and simulated data reproducing a non-stationary process with known characteristics constitute the basis of a numerical comparison allowing one to determine under which conditions each method is more appropriate.     

A novel interplay between membrane and nuclear melatonin receptors in human lymphocytes: significance in IL-2 production

Human lymphocyte melatonin, through membrane and nuclear receptors binding, acts as an activator in IL-2 production. Antagonism of membrane melatonin receptors using luzindole exacerbates the drop of the IL-2 production induced by PGE₂ in peripheral blood mononuclear and Jurkat cells. This paper studies the melatonin membrane and nuclear receptors interplay in PGE₂-diminished IL-2 production. The decrease in IL-2 production after PGE₂ and/or luzindole administration correlated with downregulation in the nuclear receptor RORα. We also highlighted a role of cAMP in the pathway, because forskolin mimicked the effects of luzindole and/or PGE₂ in the RORα expression. Finally, a significant RORα downregulation was observed in T cells permanently transfected with inducible MT₁ antisense. In conclusion, we show a novel connection between melatonin membrane receptor signalling and RORα expression, opening a new way to understand melatonin regulation in lymphocyte physiology. Received 23 September 2008; received after revision 19 November 2008; accepted 21 November 2008