A Mean-Field Linear-Quadratic Stochastic Stackelberg Differential Game with one Leader and Two Followers

This paper is concerned with a linear-quadratic(LQ) stochastic Stackelberg differential game with one leader and two followers, where the game system is governed by a mean-field stochastic differential equation(MF-SDE). By maximum principle and verification theorem, the open-loop Stackelberg solution is expressed as a feedback form of the state and its mean with the help of three systems of Riccati equations.     

Backward linear-quadratic stochastic optimal control and nonzero-sum differential game problem with random jumps

This paper studies the existence and uniqueness of solutions of fully coupled forward-backward stochastic differential equations with Brownian motion and random jumps. The result is applied to solve a linear-quadratic optimal control and a nonzero-sum differential game of backward stochastic differential equations. The optimal control and Nash equilibrium point are explicitly derived. Also the solvability of a kind Riccati equations is discussed. All these results develop those of Lim, Zhou (2001) and Yu, Ji (2008).     

Maximum Principle for Non-Zero Sum Stochastic Differential Game with Discrete and Distributed Delays

This technical note is concerned with the maximum principle for a non-zero sum stochastic differential game with discrete and distributed delays. Not only the state variable, but also control variables of players involve discrete and distributed delays. By virtue of the duality method and the generalized anticipated backward stochastic differential equations, the author establishes a necessary maximum principle and a sufficient verification theorem. To explain theoretical results, the author applies them to a dynamic advertising game problem.     

A Mean-Field Optimal Control for Fully Coupled Forward-Backward Stochastic Control Systems with Lévy Processes

This paper is concerned with a class of mean-field type stochastic optimal control systems, which are governed by fully coupled mean-field forward-backward stochastic differential equations with Teugels martingales associated to Lévy processes. In these systems, the coefficients contain not only the state processes but also their marginal distribution, and the cost function is of mean-field type as well. The necessary and sufficient conditions for such optimal problems are obtained. Furthermore, the applications to the linear quadratic stochastic optimization control problem are investigated.

     

Controlled mean-field backward stochastic differential equations with jumps involving the value function

This paper discusses mean-field backward stochastic differential equations (mean-field BSDEs) with jumps and a new type of controlled mean-field BSDEs with jumps, namely mean-field BSDEs with jumps strongly coupled with the value function of the associated control problem. The authors first prove the existence and the uniqueness as well as a comparison theorem for the above two types of BSDEs. For this the authors use an approximation method. Then, with the help of the notion of stochastic backward semigroups introduced by Peng in 1997, the authors get the dynamic programming principle (DPP) for the value functions. Furthermore, the authors prove that the value function is a viscosity solution of the associated nonlocal Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) integro-partial differential equation, which is unique in an adequate space of continuous functions introduced by Barles, et al. in 1997.     

导弹追逃博弈微分对策建模与求解

针对导弹攻防对抗过程中拦截器追击具备较强机动能力弹头的追逃问题,建立了双方追逃微分对策模型并给出求解方法.一是给出导弹追逃质点动力学模型;二是基于微分对策理论,建立了导弹攻防对抗微分对策模型,模型以推力角为控制变量,高度,速度和经度角为状态变量,并考虑了地球重力和自转的影响;三是针对模型获得解析解的困难,给出高精度四阶Gauss-Lobatto多项式配点法来逼近非线性方程,通过离散化节点和配点上的状态量和控制量将微分方程组转换为代数约束;四是为采用配点法求解模型,给出了将双边最优对策问题转化为单边最优对策问题的具体方法.最后实例分析对本文研究进行了仿真验证.     

不确定性矩阵对策解的确定

本文研究了五个问题：１．具有精确策略和模糊值对策矩阵的对策解的确定；２．具有模糊策略和经典对策矩阵的对策解的确定；３．具有模糊策略和函数值对策矩阵对策解的确定；４．具有模糊随机策略和经典对策矩阵对策解的确定；５．具有模糊随机策略和函数值对策矩阵对策解的确定。     

证券投资决策的微分对策方法研究

在证券价格存在有界不确定性的假设下,研究了基于最差情况的最优证券投资决策问题。首先建立了证券投资决策的微分对策模型,然后,证明了该微分对策模型存在唯一的值函数,最后,根据微分对策理论得出了值函数所满足的偏微分方程。     

Optimal Reinsurance and Investment Strategies Under Mean-Variance Criteria: Partial and Full Information

This paper is concerned with an optimal reinsurance and investment problem for an insurance firm under the criterion of mean-variance. The driving Brownian motion and the rate in return of the risky asset price dynamic equation cannot be directly observed. And the short-selling of stocks is prohibited. The problem is formulated as a stochastic linear-quadratic control problem where the control variables are constrained. Based on the separation principle and stochastic filtering theory, the partial information problem is solved. Efficient strategies and efficient frontier are presented in closed forms via solutions to two extended stochastic Riccati equations. As a comparison, the efficient strategies and efficient frontier are given by the viscosity solution to the HJB equation in the full information case. Some numerical illustrations are also provided.

     

不确定需求下的电力竞价贝叶斯博弈模型

电力竞价是一个不完全信息的博弈过程.假定竞争对手的报价服从已知区间上的某种分布,分别构建了确定需求与不确定需求条件下的二发电商电力竞价博弈模型,并给出这2个模型的贝叶斯纳什均衡解,即发电商在不同条件下的均衡报价.最后假定竞争对手的报价服从均匀分布,对构建的模型进行了分析,分析结论表明:在确定电力需求情况下,发电商的均衡报价一般在报价上,下限附近波动;而在不确定电力需求下,发电商的报价在报价下限与报价区间中点之间波动:当竞争对手的最大可供电量很少时,选择报价区间中点,而当发电成本很少时,很可能选择报价下限.     

Robust reliable guaranteed cost control for nonlinear singular stochastic systems with time delay

To study the design problem of robust reliable guaranteed cost controller for nonlinear singular stochastic systems, the Takagi-Sugeno （T-S） fuzzy model is used to represent a nonlinear singular stochastic system with norm-bounded parameter uncertainties and time delay. Based on the linear matrix inequality （LMI） techniques and stability theory of stochastic differential equations, a stochastic Lyapunov function method is adopted to design a state feedback fuzzy controller. The resulting closed-loop fuzzy system is robustly reliable stochastically stable, and the corresponding quadratic cost function is guaranteed to be no more than a certain upper bound for all admissible uncertainties, as well as different actuator fault cases. A sufficient condition of existence and design method of robust reliable guaranteed cost controller is presented. Finally, a numerical simulation is given to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.     

Robust reliable guaranteed cost control for nonlinear singular stochastic systems with time delay

To study the design problem of robust reliable guaranteed cost controller for nonlinear singular stochastic systems,the Takagi-Sugeno(T-S)fuzzy model is used to represent a nonlinear singular stochastic system with norm-bounded parameter uncertainties and time delay.Based on the linear matrix inequality(LMI)techniques and stability theory of stochastic differential equations,a stochastic Lyapunov function method is adopted to design a state feedback fuzzy controller.The resulting closed-loop fuzzy system is robustly reliable stochastically stable,and the corresponding quadratic cost function is guarauteed to be no more than a certain upper bound for all admissible uncertainties,as well as different actuator fault cases.A sufficient condition of existence and design method of robust reliable guaranteed cost controller is presented.Finally,a numerical simulation is given to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.     

导弹攻防对抗中追逃对策模型与配点求解法

未来的来袭导弹可能具备较强的机动性,其弹道不可预测,针对拦截弹追击此类目标的追逃问题,基于微分对策(differential-game, DG)理论建立追逃博弈模型并给出求解方法。模型在分析两者相对运动的基础上,考虑地球重力和自转的影响,以推力角为控制变量,离地高度、速度和经度角为状态变量,建立微分方程组。然后将追逃DG模型转化为单边最优对策问题;并给出改进的高精度五阶Gauss-Lobatto多项式配点法来近似状态变量对时间的导数,将微分方程组转换为代数约束,降低非线性规划问题复杂程度。最后给出了本文研究的仿真实例。     

具有随机扰动的食饵-捕食系统的稳定性

种群生态系统经常会遇到环境白噪声的干扰。基于此,提出一类具有随机扰动的食饵-捕食系统,该系统含有改进的时滞Leslie-Gower和Holling Ⅱ型功能性反应函数。利用随机微分方程比较原理和伊藤公式,分别得到该系统正解的存在唯一性和该解的p阶矩上界,最终通过构造Lyapunov泛函,证明了该解依期望全局渐近稳定。最后,以状态图和相图两种仿真图形,对理论结果进行了验证说明。     

Approximate Controllability of Second-Order Neutral Stochastic Differential Equations with Infinite Delay and Poisson Jumps

The modelling of risky asset by stochastic processes with continuous paths, based on Brownian motions, suffers from several defects. First, the path continuity assumption does not seem reasonable in view of the possibility of sudden price variations(jumps) resulting of market crashes. A solution is to use stochastic processes with jumps, that will account for sudden variations of the asset prices. On the other hand, such jump models are generally based on the Poisson random measure. Many popular economic and financial models described by stochastic differential equations with Poisson jumps. This paper deals with the approximate controllability of a class of second-order neutral stochastic differential equations with infinite delay and Poisson jumps. By using the cosine family of operators, stochastic analysis techniques, a new set of sufficient conditions are derived for the approximate controllability of the above control system. An example is provided to illustrate the obtained theory.     

Vulnerable European Call Option Pricing Based on Uncertain Fractional Differential Equation

This paper presents two new versions of uncertain market models for valuing vulnerable European call option. The dynamics of underlying asset, counterparty asset, and corporate liability are formulated on the basis of uncertain differential equations and uncertain fractional differential equations of Caputo type, respectively, and the solution to an uncertain fractional differential equation of Caputo type is presented by employing the Mittag-Leffler function and α-path. Then, the pricing formul...     

基于次序统计量的发电公司竞价策略研究

假定竞争对手的报价策略变量服从某种经验分布,基于贝叶斯博弈原理,运用次序统计量方法,分别对电力需求确定与不确定情况下的发电公司竞价构造了博弈模型,并通过模型的求解与分析,给出了发电公司的均衡报价策略;最后对由5个发电商组成的电力竞价市场进行了算例分析,结果表明:发电商的均衡报价要么接近报价上限,要么在较低价格水平上随成本呈正向变动.     

岛屿争端中国家间博弈模型与策略仿真分析

岛屿争端通常涉及国家的核心利益及国际形象,根据岛屿争端问题的特点和相关国家可能采取的行为,研究了针对岛屿争端问题的国家间博弈模型,并对相关国家的策略进行了仿真分析。首先,将主动型国家和被动型国家的行为交互描述为一个随机博弈,并建立相应的博弈模型;然后,应用该模型分析主动型国家的期望行为和被动型国家的防守行为;最后,用计算机仿真分析相关国家的行为能力变化时对其策略选择和最终收益的影响。研究成果将为有岛屿争端问题的相关国家制定策略时提供有益的参考。     

Fully Coupled Forward-Backward Stochastic Functional Differential Equations and Applications to Quadratic Optimal Control

Journal of Systems Science and Complexity - This paper considers the fully coupled forward-backward stochastic functional differential equations (FBSFDEs) with stochastic functional differential...     

Backward stochastic viability and related properties on Z for BSDEs with applications

This paper investigates some important properties of Z,the martingale integrant of the backward stochastic differential equations,which is the second process of the solution.These include the backward stochastic viability property,bounded property and the comparison theorem.To explain the theoretical results,the authors apply them to study a financial contingent claim pricing problem. The replication portfolio process can be characterized clearly.