The Swedish final repository and the possible risk of interactions by microbial activities

Summary The final Swedish repository for low- and intermediate-level nuclear waste is described, and some of the possible problems caused by microbial activity during storage are discussed. Microbial degradation of bitumen constitutes one of the greatest risks in the silo part of a repository. The production of carbon dioxide due to both aerobic and anaerobic processes might lead to a decrease in the pH of the water, inducing corrosion of the metal construction and storage containers, with large amounts of hydrogen gas being produced. A risk assessment for the repository must thus take into account the various activities of microbes.     

The importance of microbiology in waste management

Until a hundred years ago, the waste products from human activities were returned into the environment and underwent the biosphere's natural elimination processes without there being any long-term charge on the environment. During the last century, the increase in the amount of refuse has been accompanied by a decrease in its quality, mainly due to the production and dispersal of heavy metals and xenobiotic compounds. Both useful and noxious microbial processes have been underestimated in applied research in the field of waste management which, until now, has dealt mainly with artificial technologies. This paper presents some examples of microbiological processes occurring in waste treatment, particularly dumping, waste incineration, composting and biomethanization.     

Microbial dissolution and stabilization of toxic metals and radionuclides in mixed wastes

Summary Microbial activity in mixed wastes can have an appreciable effect on the dissolution or precipitation of toxic metals and radionuclides. Fundamental information on microbial dissolution and stabilization (immobilization) of toxic metals and radionuclides, in particular actinides and fission products, in nuclear wastes under various microbial process conditions, e.g., aerobic, denitrifying, iron-reducing, fermentative, sulfate-reducing, and methanogenic conditions is very limited. Microbial transformations of typical waste components such as metal oxides, metal coprecipitates, naturally occurring minerals, and metal organic complexes are reviewed. Such information can be useful in the development of 1) predictive models on the fate and long-term transport of toxic metals and radionuclides from waste disposal sites, and 2) biotechnological applications of waste treatment leading to volume reduction and stabilization as wall as recovery and recycling of radionuclides and toxic metals.     

Modelling of microbial degradation processes: The behaviour ofmicroorganisms in a waste repository

Summary In a repository for radioactive disposal the waste material is kept in place by several shells and boundaries to prevent a long term recycling of the material into the environment. Present investigations on various chemical and biological processes can be extrapolated into future centuries only with great uncertainty. Models may therefore be a good tool to forecast processes which may occur within the repository and to estimate whether the barriers present will prevent the leaching of waste material within a given time span. A mathematical model is described based on an experimental laboratory setup, a microcosm described by West et al.^19–22 simulating in a laboratory system repository conditions for a Swiss L/ILW repository. It includes microbial as well as physico-chemical processes. These simulations indicate that biological processes such as gas formation or proton release should also be included into the safety assessment of the repositories.     

循环农业模式下的农业废弃物资源化利用

循环农业是以生态学、生态经济学与生态工程学原理及基本规律作为指导的农业经济形态,物质循环再生和资源减量是其重要特征之一。遵从循环农业中的生物多样性、生物与环境相互作用趋同趋异进化、食物链加、减环和种间竞争等生态学原理,是改善农村生态环境,提高农民生存质量,减少资源浪费,实现农业废物资源化利用和农业可持续发展的有效途径。     

The importance of time‐varying volatility and country interactions in forecasting economic activity

This paper examines the relative importance of allowing for time‐varying volatility and country interactions in a forecast model of economic activity. Allowing for these issues is done by augmenting autoregressive models of growth with cross‐country weighted averages of growth and the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity framework. The forecasts are evaluated using statistical criteria through point and density forecasts, and an economic criterion based on forecasting recessions. The results show that, compared to an autoregressive model, both components improve forecast ability in terms of point and density forecasts, especially one‐period‐ahead forecasts, but that the forecast ability is not stable over time. The random walk model, however, still dominates in terms of forecasting recessions.     

Stress and putative endogenous ligands for benzodiazepine receptors: The importance of characteristics of the aversive situation and of differential emotionality in experimental animals

The relationships between anxiety/stress, possible endogenous ligands for benzodiazepine receptors and the behavioral modification by drugs are discussed in this short review, including the specific characteristics of elements involved in those interactions, e.g. ones concerning the aversiveness of the stressful situation and the nature of the organism under investigation. These are important factors when considering aversive tasks, insofar as they may involve stressful conditions which differ in intensity and in the degree of control afforded the subject. These characteristics may well lead to differing functional effects on GABA-gated chloride channels or, in other words, to an incongruous balance between endogenous benzodiazepine receptor agonist and inverse agonist activity. This is not surprising, as it is well known that different forms of stressors often actually produce divergent behavioral, physiological and biochemical effects. This review also illustrates the necessity of taking into account the variable effects of stressors and/or drugs on animals differing in reactivity or emotionality, even in the case of non-selected stocks. The implication is made that, by genetic and/or environmental manipulation of the emotional state of the animals used, it will be possible to obtain more clearly definable results in neuropharmacological and psychopharmacological studies.     

The impact of W. K. Röntgen's discovery on the use of internalizable sources of ionizing energy in diagnostic and therapeutic nuclear medicine

The early history of cathode rays, X-rays and a third kind of natural radiation from several minerals and atomic fission is described. In this way the fundamental concept of radioactivity, laws of decay and atomic models were developed. With artificial radioactive isotopes, new tailored radiopharmaceuticals could be introduced into metabolic research, medical diagnostics and therapy. Von Hevesy's concept of the dynamic state of body constituents led to examination of the locations and movements of labelled atoms and molecules as a function of time. That was the birth of nucler medicine. The principles and value at the molecular level of several specific tracer studies in research and diagnostic or therapeutic use are explained. Typically, diagnostic tests with tracer agents are non-invasive and have low radiation exposure. Competing with other diagnostic and therapeutic modalities, nuclear medicine is a speciality in its own right. But there are moves to classify it as a subspecialization of other organ-oriented clinical disciplines. That is a misunderstanding of the radiologist's role and does not answer the question: What is the best way of woking for the patient? New horizons in diagnostic modalities, biochemistry, immunology, imaging and the use of immunogenic therapeutic agents demand a continuous cooperation within interdisciplinary teams. That is as necessary with radiologic departments, participating in changed organizational structures, as with other clinical departments.     

The many faces of unification and pluralism in economics: The case of Paul Samuelson's Foundations of Economic Analysis

The history of modern economics abounds with pleas for more pluralism as well as pleas for more unification. These seem to be contradictory goals, suggesting that pluralism and unification are mutually exclusive, or at least that they involve trade-offs with more of one necessarily being traded off against less of the other. This paper will use the example of Paul Samuelson's Foundations of Economic Analysis (1947) to argue that the relationship between pluralism and unification is often more complex than this simple dichotomy suggests. In particular, Samuelson's Foundations is invariably presented as a key text in the unification of modern economics during the middle of the twentieth century; and in many ways that is entirely correct. But Samuelson's unification was not at the theoretical (causal and explanatory) level, but rather at the purely mathematical derivational level. Although this fact is recognized in the literature on Samuelson, what seems to be less recognized is that for Samuelson, much of the motivation for this unification was pluralist in spirit: not to narrow scientific economics into one single theory, but rather to allow for more than one theory to co-exist under a single unified derivational technique. This hidden pluralism will be discussed in detail. The paper concludes with a discussion of the implications for more recent developments in economics.     

The scientific dimensions of social knowledge and their distant echoes in 20th-century American philosophy of science

The widespread impression that recent philosophy of science has pioneered exploration of the “social dimensions of scientific knowledge” is shown to be in error, partly due to a lack of appreciation of historical precedent, and partly due to a misunderstanding of how the social sciences and philosophy have been intertwined over the last century. This paper argues that the referents of “democracy” are an important key in the American context, and that orthodoxies in the philosophy of science tend to be molded by the actual regimes of science organization within which they are embedded. These theses are illustrated by consideration of three representative philosophers of science: John Dewey, Hans Reichenbach, and Philip Kitcher.     

The geometry of knowledge: Lewis, Becker, Carnap and the formalization of philosophy in the 1920s

On an ordinary view of the relation of philosophy of science to science, science serves only as a topic for philosophical reflection, reflection that proceeds by its own methods and according to its own standards. This ordinary view suggests a way of writing a global history of philosophy of science that finds substantially the same philosophical projects being pursued across widely divergent scientific eras. While not denying that this view is of some use regarding certain themes of and particular time periods, this essay argues that much of the epistemology and philosophy of science in the early twentieth century in a variety of projects (neo-Kantianism, logical empiricism, pragmatism, phenomenology) looked to the then current context of the exact sciences, especially geometry and physics, not merely for its topics but also for its conceptual resources and technical tools. This suggests a more variable project of philosophy of science, a deeper connection between early twentieth-century philosophy of science and its contemporary science, and a more interesting and richer history of philosophy of science than is ordinarily offered.     

21世纪冶金和材料制备学的发展及对策

21世纪中冶金学及材料制备学的发展在于两个方向。其一是信息论冶金学和材料制备学;其二是在若干外加物理场综合作用下的7台金和材料制备过程。前者意在创建冶金学及材料制备学的一个新的高度。所以,由基础研究到过程控制有5个平台包含在此概念之中。关于第二个方向,本文讨论了超强磁场、脉冲电磁场、脉冲电流、超声波、等离子体以及离子选择性高效透过膜的应用可能性。对企业的发展提出了一个建议：应懂得技术储备的重要。     

生物能量在生命体中传递的新理论及实验证实

我们从蛋白质的分子结构和ATP水解所放出能量的特征出发,提出了一个新的生物能量传递理论。并用新的哈密顿函数和波函数代替了原来旧的函数,用解析的方法求出了传递生物能量的孤子在其生理温度和它的寿命时间内能够传递过上千个氨基酸分子,于是它可能是传递生物能量的真正载流子。用解析和数值模拟的方法研究了这种传递生物能量孤子的特性和在生理温度300K时的热力学稳定性,证明了这种孤子在生理温度时是十分稳定的,它的寿命能达到300ps,可能是生物能量的传递者。再通过实验测定了在胶原蛋白和牛血清蛋白等(-螺旋蛋白的光谱特性及其在27-95℃范围内其谱线分布和谱线强度随温度的变化,把所检测的三个结果与能量传递的理论预示的结果相比较,发现它们完全一致,从而从实验上证明了在蛋白质分子中建立的生物能量传递理论是正确的。而理论预示的孤子是蛋白质当中生物能量传递的真正载流子。     

遥感技术在全国第一次河流湖泊普查中的应用

河流湖泊是水体环境的主要形式,是生活用水、生产用水、生态用水的重要来源,对社会经济的发展起着至关重要的作用.遥感技术为全国第一次河湖普查提供了重要的技术支撑,本次河流湖泊普查涉及到的遥感影像数据为中巴地球资源卫星(CBERS)数据及2.5m高空间分辨率影像.为全面查清我国湖泊数量、分布等基本情况,本文对全国第一次河湖清查阶段中利用CBERS数据进行湖泊对象清查进行了介绍;并着重讨论了ENVI\IDL环境下CBERS数据批处理模式的建立及应用,为同类CBERS数据的大范围、大批量数据应用提供一定的参考和依据;同时,全国1:5万分幅2.5m高空间分辨率影像作为重要的河流水系现势性检查数据,本文对利用此数据进行1:5万DLG数字水系的合理性检查进行了探讨,并利用ENVI\IDL实现了全国水系的自动化检查;作为水系复核工作中的有效工具,增强了河流水系提取的现势性,提高了河流水系的精度,实现了水系提取数据精度源于并高于1:5万DLG数字水系的目的.     

The role of macroeconometric models in forecasting and policy analysis in the united states

This article stresses how little is known about the quality, particularly the relative quality, of macroeconometric models. Most economists make a strict distinction between the quality of a model per se and the accuracy of solutions based on that model. While this distinction is valid, it leaves unanswered how to compare the‘validity’of conditional models. The standard test, the accuracy of ex post simulations, is not definitive when models with differing degrees of exogeneity are compared. In addition, it is extremely difficult to estimate the relative quantitative importance of conceptual problems of models, such as parameter instability across‘policy regimes’ In light of the difficulty in comparisons of conditional macroeconometric models, many model-builders and users assume that the best models are those that have been used to make the most accurate forecasts are those made with the best models. Forecasting experience indicates that forecasters using macroeconometric models have produced more accurate macroeconomic forecasts than either naive or sophisticated unconditional statistical models. It also suggests that judgementally adjusted forecasts have been more accurate than model-based forecasts generated mechanically. The influence of econometrically-based forecasts is now so pervasive that it is difficult to find examples of‘purely judgemental’forecasts.     

The total cost of misclassification in credit scoring: A comparison of generalized linear models and generalized additive models

This study examines whether the evaluation of a bankruptcy prediction model should take into account the total cost of misclassification. For this purpose, we introduce and apply a validity measure in credit scoring that is based on the total cost of misclassification. Specifically, we use comprehensive data from the annual financial statements of a sample of German companies and analyze the total cost of misclassification by comparing a generalized linear model and a generalized additive model with regard to their ability to predict a company's probability of default. On the basis of these data, the validity measure we introduce shows that, compared to generalized linear models, generalized additive models can reduce substantially the extent of misclassification and the total cost that this entails. The validity measure we introduce is informative and justifies the argument that generalized additive models should be preferred, although such models are more complex than generalized linear models. We conclude that to balance a model's validity and complexity, it is necessary to take into account the total cost of misclassification.     

The tragedy of the canon; or,path dependence in the history and philosophy of science

We have previously argued that historical cases must be rendered canonical before they can plausibly serve as evidence for philosophical claims, where canonicity is established through a process of negotiation among historians and philosophers of science (Bolinska and Martin, 2020). Here, we extend this proposal by exploring how that negotiation might take place in practice. The working stock of historical examples that philosophers tend to employ has long been established informally, and, as a result, somewhat haphazardly. The composition of the historical canon of philosophy of science is therefore path dependent, and cases often become stock examples for reasons tangential to their appropriateness for the purposes at hand. We show how the lack of rigor around the canonization of case studies has muddied the waters in selected philosophical debates. This, in turn, lays the groundwork for proposing ways in which they can be improved.     

The “dynamics” of Leibnizian relationism: Reference frames and force in Leibniz's plenum

This paper explores various metaphysical aspects of Leibniz's concepts of space, motion, and matter, with the intention of demonstrating how the distinctive role of force in Leibnizian physics can be used to develop a theory of relational motion using privileged reference frames. Although numerous problems will remain for a consistent Leibnizian relationist account, the version developed within our investigation will advance the work of previous commentators by more accurately reflecting the specific details of Leibniz's own natural philosophy, especially his handling of the dynamical interactions of plenum bodies.