论武器系统作战效能的评定

研制任何新的武器系统,都需要通过系统分析造出最优方案。而如何评定武器系统的作战效能则是十分关键的一环。本文讨论了武器系统作战效能的理论,论述了武器系统作战效能评定的基本方法与过程,着重论述了如何运用武器系统的效能模型求解系统效能值。此文不同于一般的论述,含有较多的个人见解,特别具有参考价值的是:针对当前武器系统众多分析人员求解系统效能值时所感觉的难点,作者经过分析,推出了求系统效能值的关键是在于能力向量的求解,并且提出了求解系统能力向量的具体方法和系统状态的简化,从而为系统的效能评定和效能-费用分析的实际应用创造了新的较好的条件。文中的研究以导弹武器系统为例,最后还有实例。     

精选－优化辅助变量法对于闭环参数估计的收敛性

本文用连带微分方程（ＯＤＥ）方法分析了精选－优化辅助变量法对于闭环系统的参数估计的收敛特性，给出了收敛性的条件。这样就为用该辨识算法实现有效自适应控制系统设计提供了理论依据。     

IDENTIFICATION OF TIME-VARIANT CONTINUOUS SYSTEM BY A QUASI-NEWTON METHOD

1 IntroductionThis paper presents a quasi-Newton method in infinite-dimensional spaces for identifyingparameters involved in a time-variant continuous, nonlinear system of differential equations.It is well known that quasi-Newton methods are considered to be those of the most success-ful algorithms used for numerically solving optimization problems in finite-dimensional spaces.But, few papers discuss these methods in system identification research. Because many iden-tification problems can be…     

基于最小二乘算子的混合计算智能辨识算法

基于非线性最小二乘（ＮＬＬＳ）法和遗传算法（ＧＡ）思想，通过定义ＮＬＬＳ算子、适应度以及混合数据结构，得到非线性回归模型非线性参数的混合计算智能辨识算法，该算法结合ＧＡ和ＮＬＬＳ法两者长处，即有较快收敛性，又能以较大概率求得全局（一致收敛）估计。计算结果表明该方法显著优于ＧＡ和ＮＬＬＳ法。     

IDENTIFICATION OF BOTH CLOSED—AND OPEN—LOOP STOCHASTIC SYSTEM WHILE STABILIZING IT

1 IntroductionIn system ideatification it is of great imp()rtance to estimate unknown coefficients in theARMAX type stoChastic control system[152]whereThe parameter to be estimated is denoted by0T = [--a1,--a25'' ?--ap) b1, b2,'' 5 b,, c1) c2t'' ) c.].…     

SOLUTION OF A CLASS OF INVESTMENT DEVELOPMENTAL EQUATIONS

1. PerfaceIn paper [l], we have established the partial differential equation based on assets develop-mental process. In this paper we will consider the kind of distributed parameter system. Hence,we study the solution of the following problem (K):where a represents the age of productive assets, t represellts time, K(a, t) is the age--distributiondensity function of the productive assets at time t. p(a) is relative depreciation rate of assets. ris the accumulation rate of assets, A(t) means t…     

ASYMPTOTIC STABILITY OF VISCOUS SHOCK PROFILE FOR NON-CONVEX SYSTEM OF ONE-DIMENSIONAL VISCOELASTIC MATERIALS WITH BOUNDARY EFFECT

1 IntroductionWe consider the system of one-dimensiona1 viscoelastic materials with non--convekity of thefOrm.with the illitial-boundary conditionshere v is the strain, u is the ve1ocity p > 0 is the viscous constallt, v and u are givenconstants, a is the pressure to be a known smooth fUnction of v satisfying the fOllOwing signconditions:a'(v) > 0 fOr all v u-nder consideration, (1.4)a"(v) 2 0 fOr v 2 0 under consideration, (l.5)so that rr(v) has a point of inflection at v = 0. We see that…     

A KIND OF STRUCTURE MODELS FOR DOUBLEPOROSITY MEDIUM SYSTEMS AND ITS IDENTIFICATION PROBLEMS

*ThisresearchissupportedbytheNationalNaturalScienceFoundationofChina,No.69474002.1.SomePermeableModelswithaDoublePorousMediumItiswellknownfromcoreanalysisanddynamictestthatagas(oranoil)reservoirwithheterogeneollscarbonatematricesisdescribedasaclassicaldoubleporositymediumsysteminwhichdistriblltionandconnectivityofhollows,aswellastheintricateinterfacebetweenporesandfi'acturesvarieswithspaceposition.Thegeometryofformationisvariousinkind.Thedynamicresponseoffluidisverycomplex.Furthermore,the…     

一类串联加工网络的关键路径与扰动分析新算法

考虑一类有阻塞的串朕加工网络，首先引入了关键路径，并分析了其性质，在此基础上，研究了扰动分析法，得到了一种估计梯度的改进算法，该算法计算量少、精度高。     

系统结构模型分部的底层要素法

本文从系统的底层要素出发，提出并证明了底层要素存在性、底层要素后果集并集的完全性以及它们在同一部分的充分必要条件，由此导出了系统结构模型分部的算法，实际应用进一步说明了这一方法的有效性。     

LIMIT LAWS OF LIFETIME FOR A CONSECUTIVE K-WITHIN-M-OUT-OF-N SYSTEM

ＬＩＭＩＴＬＡＷＳＯＦＬＩＦＥＴＩＭＥＦＯＲＡＣＯＮＳＥＣＵＴＩＶＥＫ－ＷＩＴＨＩＮ－Ｍ－ＯＵＴ－ＯＦ－ＮＳＹＳＴＥＭ￥ＱＩＹｏｎｇｃｈｅｎｇ（ＤｅｐａｒｔｍｅｎｔｏｆＰｒｏｂｏｂｉｌｉｔｙａｎｄＳｔａｔｉｓｔｉｃｓ，ＰｅｋｉｎｇＵｎｉｖｅｒｓｉｔｙ...     

A UNIFIED APPROACH TO THE METHOD OF GRADIENT PROJECTION WITH ARBITRARY INITIAL POINT

In this paper,we present a family of gradient projection method with arbitrary initialpoint.The formula of search direction in the method is unitary.The convergent conditions ofthe method are given.When the initial point is feasible,the family of the method contains severalknown algorithms.When the initial point is infeasible,the method is exactly that given in[6].Finally,we give a new method which has global convergence property.     

多状态系统故障树的一种生成方法

介绍一种多状态系统故障树生成方法．首先对传统的可靠性框图方法加以改进,提出一种新的框图分析方法．然后在可靠性框图分析的基础上,依据判定表,自动生成故障树．本方法适合多状态系统可靠性分析     

STRONG LAWS OF LIFETIME FOR A CONSECUTIVE K-OUT-OF-N: F SYSTEM

ＳＴＲＯＮＧＬＡＷＳＯＦＬＩＦＥＴＩＭＥＦＯＲＡＣＯＮＳＥＣＵＴＩＶＥＫ－ＯＵＴ－ＯＦ－Ｎ：ＦＳＹＳＴＥＭ￥ＱＩＹｏｎｇｃｈｅｎｇ（ＤｅｐａｒｔｍｅｎｔｏｆＰｒｏｂａｂｉｌｉｔｙａｎｄＳｔａｔｉｓｔｉｃｓ，ＰｅｋｉｎｇＵｎｉｖｅｒｓｉｔｇ，Ｂｅｉｊｉ...     

一类动态消费系统建模复杂性的先验分析方法

本文基于线性系统的度量复杂性理论，通过描述消费过程的一个机理模型，研究了一类消费系统的建模复杂性问题．利用系统量度复杂性理论中的Ｋｏｌｍｏｇｏｒｏｖｎ－宽度和辨识ｎ－宽度等概念，给出一类经济计量模型的建模误差及辨识误差与观测信息多少之间的关系，并证明了此类经济计量模型关于模型阶数和观测信息多少具有一定的鲁棒性．     

大系统优化有效算法的研究

将极大熵方法和有限内存的ＢＦＧＳ方法结合起来可以大大提高算法的计算效率，节省计算机内存，为求解大型约束非线性规划提供了一种新途径．计算实例说明，该方法确是一种有效的大系统优化算法     

A NEW SUFFICIENT CONDITION FOR THE CONVERGENCE OF THE DFP ALGORITHM WITH WOLFE LINE SEARCH

ＡＮＥＷＳＵＦＦＩＣＩＥＮＴＣＯＮＤＩＴＩＯＮＦＯＲＴＨＥＣＯＮＶＥＲＧＥＮＣＥＯＦＴＨＥＤＦＰＡＬＧＯＲＩＴＨＭＷＩＴＨＷＯＬＦＥＬＩＮＥＳＥＡＲＣＨ￥ＸＵＤａｃｈｕａｎ（ＤｅｐａｒｔｍｅｎｔｏｆＭａｔｈｅｍａｔｉｃｓ，ＱｕｆｕＮｏｒｍａｌＵｎｉｖ...     

A GENERAL APPROACH BASED ON AUTOCORRELATION TO DETERMINE INPUT VARIABLES OF NEURAL NETWORKS FOR TIME SERIES FORECASTING

Input selection is probably one of the most critical decision issues in neural network designing, because it has a great impact on forecasting performance. Among the many applications of artificial neural networks to finance, time series forecasting is perhaps one of the most challenging issues. Considering the features of neural networks, we propose a general approach called Autocorrelation Criterion (AC) to determine the inputs variables for a neural network. The purpose is to seek optimal lag periods, which are more predictive and less correlated. AC is a data-driven approach in that there is no prior assumption about the models for time series under study. So it has extensive applications and avoids a lengthy experimentation and tinkering in input selection. We apply the approach to the determination of input variables for foreign exchange rate forecasting and conduct comparisons between AC and information-based in-sample model selection criterion. The experiment results show that AC outperforms inf     

ON THE BOUNDEDNESS OF SOLUTIONS,EXISTENCE AND UNIQUENESS OF LIMIT CYCLES FOR A CLASS OF CUBIC DIFFERENTIAL SYSTEM

In this paper, we discuss the boundedness of the solutions, the existence andthe uniqueness of the limit cycle of the following cubic differential system:x'=y, y'=-x+δy+a_2xy+a_4x+a_5x~2y. (*)We obtain the following results:(1) System (*) is bounded if and only if (i) a_5<0, a_4=0; or (ii) a_5=0, a_4<0, δ≤0,-(-8a_4)~(1/2)相似文献