进入国际发射市场的我国航天技术

本项研究根据国际航天产业的现实设定假设条件，以一次性运载器的价格和生产为变量，环境因素为参数．提出了两种国际商业航天发射市场模型，一种是单个厂商面对的市场模型，另一种是双寡头垄断的市场模型，由于两种模型从不同的角度对商业发射市场做出解释，所以联合使用两种模型能够获得对商业发射市场更全面的理解，模型对市场的未来走向具有较好的预见。

China's Aerospace Technology for Entering International Business Launch Market

Since the beginning of 1990s, the aerospace industry has transferred from a only public economy during the Cold War to market economy, especlally on the model of its development. The development model of the aerospace industry by commercialization presented by Europe express a willing that the aerospace industry has been carry out its institutional innovation. All of these have increased the more competitive trend of the global market of commercial launching. We also have to pay attention to notice that there is an unbalance of the aerospace technological development among the deferent countries, and this market is becoming a monopoly one controlled by a duel - oligarch of America and Europe even they do not conspire together publicly. Obviously, such oligopoly in the international high technology market will harm the whole high technology development and the globalization process. Furthermore, the super aerospace countries have made the competitive rules without marketing principle in the international commercial aerospace market. They are not only as a unequal treaty, but also a challenge for market principle such as free competition during the globalize time.