能源消费与大气环境变迁的关联性分析

以两型社会建设示范区的重点城市武汉市为例,利用灰色关联模型分析了城市能源消费与大气环境变迁的互动关系.研究结果表明:各项能源消费与SO2、NO2、PM10排放量的关联度都在0.7以上,能源消费变动是推动大气环境变迁的基本因素;总体上煤炭、焦炭、燃料油、原油和电力的消费对城市大气污染物排放的影响较大,而汽油和柴油的消费影响较小;焦炭、燃料油、原油、电力、煤炭、煤油等能源消费是武汉SO2、NO2排放变迁的主要驱动因子;燃料油、电力、焦炭、原油、煤炭、石油气、煤油等能源消费是PM10排放变迁的主要驱动因子.

Analysis of Relations between Energy Consumption and Change of Atmospheric Environment

Energy consumption driven by economic growth has led to increasingly serious environmental problems,and exploring related features between energy consumption and changes in atmospheric environment has become an important basis for regional sustainable development.By using the grey incidences model,Wuhan,the major city of exeinplary social construction zones is taken as a case to analyze the interaction between energy consumption and changes in atmospheric environment.The results show that the energy consumption and SO2,NO2,PM10 emissions are above the degree of 0.7.Changes in energy consumption have affected the fundamental factors of atmospheric environment.In general coal,coke,fuel oil,crude oil and electricity consumption have influenced the urban air while the consumption of petrol and diesel seems to affect less.Coke,fuel oil,crude oil,electricity,coal,kerosene and other energy consumption are major driving factors of emitting SO2 and NO2; fuel oil,electricity,coke,crude oil,coal,liquefied petroleum gas,and kerosene are major driving factors of emitting PM10.