粮食生产的灰色分析和预测

本文尝试应用灰色系统理论的灰关联分析法、灰色动态模型法，对粮食生产进行了初步的研究分析和预测，为进一步弄清影响粮食产量的因素和上级领导部门对农业的决策提供依据。文中以武威市金塔河灌区粮食生产为背景，实例结果表明与实际较好的吻合，为今后灌区粮食生产将起到宏观控制和指导的作用，并为此而提供了定量分析的准确、有效的方法。

GREY ANALYSIS AND GREY PREDICTION OF FOOD PRODUCTION

The food production has been studied and analysed and predicted by means of grey correla-tion analysis and the grey dynamic model of the grey sy5tem theory.The analysis method and theprediction method can be used to find out the factors effecting food production and to provide asound basis for making agricultural decisions. Taking food production of the Jintahe irrigation dis-trict for an example, the results are in a general,agreement with the actual condition,and so theywill play a part in adjusting and instructing food production of the irrigation dibtrict and also inproviding accurate and effctive quantitative analyses.