| 我国当前产业结构状况与未来演进趋势 |
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| 引用本文： | 许鲁光.我国当前产业结构状况与未来演进趋势[J].西南师范大学学报(自然科学版),2012,37(7):104-108. |
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| 作者姓名： | 许鲁光 |
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| 作者单位： | 深圳市社科院经济所,广东深圳,518028 |
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| 摘 要： | 在现代产业选择研究中,经常分为支柱产业和主导产业.但是还有一类产业其特点是:有时表现出兼具支柱产业和主导产业的双重属性,有时又表现为产出的边际效应、总量效应的综合贡献均较大,或者上述两种表现均同时具备,在此称这类产业为核心(龙头)产业.本文将影响力系数和感应度系数进一步分解为最终产品影响力系数、初始投入感应度系数、产业影响力系数和产业感应度系数,并采用前两个系数作为选择主导产业的参考指标,后两个系数作为选择核心产业的参考指标,进而依据2005年中国62个部门的投入产出表,研究了当前我国产业结构的状况和推拉演进趋势,建议根据不同的产业类型采取相应的产业政策.
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| 关 键 词： | 产业关联度 主导产业 核心产业 演进趋势 |
On China's Currant Industrial Structure and Its Evolution Trend in the Future |
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| XU Lu-guang.On China''s Currant Industrial Structure and Its Evolution Trend in the Future[J].Journal of Southwest China Normal University(Natural Science),2012,37(7):104-108. |
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| Authors: | XU Lu-guang |
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| Institution: | XU Lu-guang Institute of Economic Research of Shenzhen Social Sciences Academy,Shenzhen Guangdong 518028,China |
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| Abstract: | The paper has improved the design of influence coefficient and response coefficient and devised the industrial influence coefficient and industrial response coefficient.Furthermore,the researcher has calculated the final products influence coefficient,industrial influence coefficient,original input response coefficient and industrial response coefficient,and has analyzed China’s leading industry and core industry by adopting the input-output table of China in 2005. |
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| Keywords: | industry correlation leading industry core industry the evolution trend |
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