| 重庆市建设用地预测模型探讨 |
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| 引用本文： | 邱道持,廖和平.重庆市建设用地预测模型探讨[J].西南师范大学学报(自然科学版),1996,21(4):374-380. |
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| 作者姓名： | 邱道持 廖和平 |
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| 作者单位： | 西南师范大学城镇与资源环境科学系 |
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| 摘 要： | 运用灰色系统分析方法预测城市建设用地是可行的，为满足建要求，应以城市建设用地存量为基础，采用累加方法建立生成数列，１９９１～２０００年重庆市发和地预测模型为Ｘｔ＋１＝１１５６２６．４５３８ｅ＾０．０９４３８２９４１ｔ－１０４５７２．０５３８平均每年城市建设用地增量为１７２７．８８ｈｍ＾２，预测结果符合该市土地利用总体规划控制目标。
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| 关 键 词： | 建设用地 预测模型 灰色系统 重庆市 |
An exploration into the predicting model of urben building land in Chongqing city |
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| Qiu Daochi, Liao Heping, Yang Qingyuan.An exploration into the predicting model of urben building land in Chongqing city[J].Journal of Southwest China Normal University(Natural Science),1996,21(4):374-380. |
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| Authors: | Qiu Daochi Liao Heping Yang Qingyuan |
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| Abstract: | It is available to precdict the urban building-land by the analytical method of gray system. In or der to form the predicting model, the preservative area of the urban buiding-land is put as the basis on which the growsing line is formed by summation. In Chongqing city, the Predicting modet of urban building-land from 1991 to 2000 is that X(1)(t 1)=115 626. 453 8e0.094382941t-104 572. 053 8, and the mean growing area of urban building-land is 1728. 88 hm2 in one year. This predictive result accords complelely with the controling aim of the land use planning of Chongqing city. |
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| Keywords: | building land predicting model gray system Chongqing city |
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