| 区域经济增长与产业结构演化的耦合研究＊--以山东省为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 史佳璐,韩超,郝兆印,王成新.区域经济增长与产业结构演化的耦合研究＊--以山东省为例[J].山东师范大学学报(自然科学版),2014(1):80-83. |
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| 作者姓名： | 史佳璐 韩超 郝兆印 王成新 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]山东师范大学人口资源与环境学院,济南250014 [2]章丘高级中学,济南250200 [3]济南市工程咨询院,济南250002 |
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| 基金项目： | 山东省科技计划项目（2012GSF12204）；山东省博士后创新项目专项资金项目资助（201002013）． |
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| 摘 要： | 把握经济增长与产业结构的内在规律是制定合理经济发展政策的基础和依据．笔者以山东省为例，运用 ADF 检验、协整检验、Granger 因果关系检验等计量方法，借助 Eviews5．0软件，分析了山东省1978-2010年经济增长与产业结构间的耦合关系．研究发现：1）山东省经济增长与三次产业结构演化间存在长期的均衡关系；2）经济增长与三次产业结构演化间存在单向因果关系，即三次产业变动是经济增长的 Granger 原因．
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| 关 键 词： | 产业结构 经济增长 协整分析 因果关系 山东省 |
RESEARCH FOR THE COUPLING RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE REGIONAL ECONOMY DEVELOPMENT AND THE EVOLUTION OF INDUSTRIAL STRUCTURE---TAKING SHANDONG PROVINCE AS AN EXAMPLE |
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| Shi Jialu,Han Chao,Hao Zhaoyin,Wang Chengxin.RESEARCH FOR THE COUPLING RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE REGIONAL ECONOMY DEVELOPMENT AND THE EVOLUTION OF INDUSTRIAL STRUCTURE---TAKING SHANDONG PROVINCE AS AN EXAMPLE[J].Journal of Shandong Normal University(Natural Science),2014(1):80-83. |
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| Authors: | Shi Jialu Han Chao Hao Zhaoyin Wang Chengxin |
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| Institution: | 1 ) Department of Population Resource and Environment, Shandong Normal University, 250014, Jinan, China; 2)Zhangqiu Senior High School, 250200, Jinan,China; 3)Ji＇nan Engineering Consutting Institute,250003 ,Jinan,China ) |
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| Abstract: | To hold the inner law of economic increasing and industrial structure is the basis of setting up appropriate economic -developing policies.Using the calculation methods of ADF test,co -integration test, granger causality test,etc,with the assistant of the software Eviews5.0,the dynamic relationship between the economic increasing and industrial structure of Shandong Province during 1 978 -201 0 is analyzed.We have found that：1 ）To Shandong Province,there is a long -standing relationship between the economic increasing and three times of industrial structure evolution,but there is imbalance in the short term.2）There is one -way causal relationship existed between the economic increasing and three times of industrial structure evolution,thus the Granger cause of economic increasing is the three times of industrial evolution. |
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| Keywords: | industrial structure economic increasing co -integration test causal relationship Shandong Province |
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