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农业产品的风险评估及其应用
引用本文:况达,王浩华.农业产品的风险评估及其应用[J].海南大学学报(自然科学版),2013,31(2):119-123.
作者姓名:况达  王浩华
作者单位:海南大学信息科学技术学院,海南海口,570228
摘    要:如何评估农产品的安全和控制其风险已成为现代社会共同关注的焦点.笔者在鞅论的理论基础上,借助随机模型对农产品风险进行了刻画和评估,并给出了相关的概率指标.

关 键 词:农业风险  中毒概率  中毒时刻  变限阈值  风险模型

Risk Assessment of Agricultural Products and Its Application
KUANG Da , WANG Hao-hua.Risk Assessment of Agricultural Products and Its Application[J].Natural Science Journal of Hainan University,2013,31(2):119-123.
Authors:KUANG Da  WANG Hao-hua
Institution:(College of Information Science & Technology,Hainan University,Haikou 570228,China)
Abstract:How society. In the to assess the safety of agricultural products report, based on the martingale theory and and control the risk becomes the focus problem of the stochastic model, the agricultural products safety risk was assessed, and some probability indexes were proposed.
Keywords:agricultural products risk  poisoning probability  poisoning moment  variable threshold  risk model
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