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| 海州露天矿气象因素滑坡灾害成因分析及预报 | |
| 引用本文： | 朝柯,吴昊,白晨曦.海州露天矿气象因素滑坡灾害成因分析及预报[J].辽宁工程技术大学学报(自然科学版),2006,25(Z1):27-29. |
| 作者姓名： | 朝柯 吴昊 白晨曦 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 阜新市气象局,辽宁,阜新,123000 2. 阜新市国土资源局,辽宁,阜新,123000 3. 阜新县新民镇政府,辽宁,阜新,123100 |
| 摘 要： | 为了揭示降水对露天矿滑坡的影响规律,在对滑坡调查和分析的基础上,通过对海州露天矿近50年的滑坡灾害资料和实况气象降水资料进行对比分析,得出了因气象因素导致滑坡灾害的触发机制,利用多元回归分析方法建立了临界滑坡预报模型.采用该模型进行滑坡时间预报,结果理想,说明该模型具有一定的合理性、实用性. |
| 关 键 词： | 露天矿 滑坡 降水 预报 |
| 文章编号： | 1008-0562(2006)增刊1-0027-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006年1月23日 |
Analysis and forecast of Haizhou Open-pit Mine landslide disaster origin |
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| CHAO Ke,WU Hao,BAI Chen-xi.Analysis and forecast of Haizhou Open-pit Mine landslide disaster origin[J].Journal of Liaoning Technical University (Natural Science Edition),2006,25(Z1):27-29. | |
| Authors: | CHAO Ke WU Hao BAI Chen-xi |
| Abstract: | n order to find the effects of rainfall on landslide,based on the slope sliding investigation and analyses,by contrast and analysis of the data of landslide disaster and rainfall of Haizhou Open-pit Mine in recent 50 years,in the paper derives the trigger mechanism of landslide disaster caused by climatic factor,the method of multivariate regression analysis are introduced to build a predicting model of critical slippage.The model is used to predict the time of its slippage,and the result is close to the realities.Thus it indicates that it is suitable for the landslide prediction to a certain extent. |
| Keywords: | open-pit mine landslide rainfall forecast |
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