| 中国经济发展与环境质量动态关系 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈兴鹏,杨冕,杨福霞.中国经济发展与环境质量动态关系[J].兰州大学学报(自然科学版),2011(3). |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈兴鹏 杨冕 杨福霞 |
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| 作者单位： | 兰州大学资源环境学院;兰州大学经济学院; |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金项目(40871061) |
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| 摘 要： | 运用向量误差修正模型,对中国人均GDP与污染物排放量之间关系进行先验性因果检验,并基于层次分析法测算了中国坏境污染综合指数.在此基础上,根据经济增长与环境质量的实际变动趋势,选用二次函数对人均GDP与环境污染综合指数之间的动态关系进行模拟.结果显示:无论从长期或短期来看,都存在着从人均GDP到各种污染物排放量的单向因果关系;中国环境污染综合指数随人均GDP的增加呈现上升趋势,环境质量随经济发展而逐步好转的现象尚未出现.从经济发展方式、环境政策等方面对导致上述结果的原因进行了解释.
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| 关 键 词： | 环境库兹涅茨曲线 因果关系检验 环境污染综合指数 |
Dynamic relationship between China's economic development and environmental quality |
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| CHEN Xing-peng,YANG Mian,YANG Fu-xia .School of Resources , Environmental Sciences,Lanzhou University,Lanzhou ,China .School of Economics,China.Dynamic relationship between China's economic development and environmental quality[J].Journal of Lanzhou University(Natural Science),2011(3). |
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| Authors: | CHEN Xing-peng YANG Mian YANG Fu-xia School of Resources Environmental Sciences Lanzhou University Lanzhou China School of Economics China |
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| Institution: | CHEN Xing-peng~1,YANG Mian~1,YANG Fu-xia~2 1.School of Resources and Environmental Sciences,Lanzhou University,Lanzhou 730000,China 2.School of Economics,China |
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| Abstract: | With the vector error correction model,the causality between the indicators of per capita GDP and each kind of pollutant was tested.Then,the comprehensive index of environmental pollution in China was calculated by the analytic hierarchy process.According to the analysis above,the dynamic relationships between per capita GDP and the comprehensive index of environmental pollution in China was simulated with a quadratic function.The results reveal that there is a unidirectional causality from per capita GDP t... |
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| Keywords: | environmental Kuznets curve causality test comprehensive index of environmental pollution |
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