| 永暑礁风暴潮增水极值预报初探 |
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| 引用本文： | 吴海军,相海波,谢巨伦.永暑礁风暴潮增水极值预报初探[J].科技信息,2012(9):41-42. |
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| 作者姓名： | 吴海军 相海波 谢巨伦 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]中国海洋大学海洋环境学院,山东青岛266100 [2]中国人民解放军南海舰队海洋水文气象中心,广东湛江524001 [3]中国人民解放军北海舰队工程船大队,山东青岛266000 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文基于南沙永暑礁1991～2003年共13年的热带气旋资料、逐时潮位资料和潮位预报资料,利用经验统计预报中的极值预报方法对永署礁的风暴潮增水极值预报进行了研究。结果表明：模型对从永暑礁右侧经过的热带气旋引起的增水极值的预报,精度较高。
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| 关 键 词： | 永暑礁 风暴潮 潮位 热带气旋 极值预报 |
Pilot Study of The Prediction of The Extremum Water Plus of Yongshu |
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| WU Hai-jun,XIANG Hai-bo XIE Ju-lun.Pilot Study of The Prediction of The Extremum Water Plus of Yongshu[J].Science,2012(9):41-42. |
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| Authors: | WU Hai-jun XIANG Hai-bo XIE Ju-lun |
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| Institution: | 1.College of Physical and Environmental Oceanography of Ocean University of China,Qingdao Shandong,266100; 2.NavyOceanicHydrometeorological Center of South China Sea Fleet,Zhanjiang Guangdong,524001,China; 3.Engineering ship unit of North China Sea Fleet,Qingdao Shandong,266000) |
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| Abstract: | Based on the datum of tropical cyclone and tidal level of Yongshu,which range from 1991-2003,the prediction of the extremum water plus of Yongshu is studied.The conclusion reveals that the prediction of the extremum is very precise to some extent. |
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| Keywords: | Yongshu Storm surge Tide level Tropical cyclone Prediction of the extremum |
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