城市交通需求预测理论与模型研究综述

城市交通需求预测是交通学科研究的热点之一。本文对现代城市交通需求预测理论与模型进行系统分析，重点围绕交通生成、交通分布、交通方式划分预测模型展开，对各模型基本原理、研究进展、传统模型及其改进、模型应用情况等进行综述，最后总结城市交通需求预测研究领域重点、难点，指出未来发展方向。

Review of Urban Traffic Demand Forecasting Theory and Model

Urban traffic demand forecasting is one of the hot topics in traffic engineering. In this paper, the modern urban traffic demand forecasting theory and model are analyzed systematically. Focusing on the prediction models of traffic generation, traffic distribution and traffic mode split, the basic principles, research progress, traditional models and their improvement, the application of the models in each stage are summarized. Finally, the key points and difficulties in urban traffic demand forecasting are summarized, and the future development direction is also pointed out.