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流域可持续发展的动态评价
引用本文:吴延熊,陈美兰.流域可持续发展的动态评价[J].南京林业大学学报(自然科学版),2001,25(3):15-20.
作者姓名:吴延熊  陈美兰
作者单位:云南省林业科学院重点实验室,云南,昆明,650204
基金项目:云南省自然科学基金 (1999C0 0 2 5G),云南省和重点实验室学科带头人培养经费联合资助项目
摘    要:从流域系统经济过程的增长度 (IE)、社会过程的满足度 (IS)和自然过程的持续度 (IN)出发 ,提出流域系统可持续发展的综合评价指标 :发展度 (ID)即ID=I2 E+I2 S+I2 N3 、协调度 (IH)即IH=1 -(IE- I) 2 + (IS- I) 2 + (IN- I) 23 和耦合度 (IC)即IC=12 (ID +IH)。最后 ,给出相应的动态评判准则 :强持续性评判准则即YID(t2 ) >YID(t1 ) ,且YIH(t2 )≥YIH(t1 ) ;弱持续性评判准则即GID(t2 ) >GID(t1 ) ,且GIH(t2 )≥GIH(t1 )和持续性评判准则即IID(t2 ) >IID(t1 ) ,且IIH(t2 )≥IIH(t1 )。

关 键 词:流域  可持续发展  动态评价  发展度  协调度  耦合度

Dynamic Appraisal of Watershed Sustainable Development
WU Yan xiong,CHEN Mei lan.Dynamic Appraisal of Watershed Sustainable Development[J].Journal of Nanjing Forestry University(Natural Sciences ),2001,25(3):15-20.
Authors:WU Yan xiong  CHEN Mei lan
Abstract:Based on increment degree of economic process (IE), satisfaction degree of social process (Is) and sustainability degree of natural process (IN) of watershed system, the paper puts forward synthetic appraisal indexes of watershed system sustainable development:development degree, namely ID=√I2E+I2S+I2N/3,harmony degree, namely IH = 1and coupling degree, namely Ic=1/2(ID+IH). Finally, the paper points out dynamic judgement criteria of watershed system sustainable development that are strong sustainable riterion: "YID (t2)>YID(t1) and YIH (t2)≥YIH (t1)", weak sustainable criterion: "GID (t2) >GID (t1) and GIH (t2) ≥GIH (t1)", and sustainable criterion:"IID(t2)>IID(t1) and IIH(t2)≥IIH(t1)".
Keywords:Watershed system  Sustainable development  Dynamic appraisal  Development degree  Harmony degree  Coupling degree
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