福建省县域经济格局时空演变研究

基于空间自相关分析原理，运用GeoDa及ArcGIS软件，对福建省各县域经济格局的时空演变过程进行了全局和局域空间自相关分析．结果表明：福建省县域经济发展水平存在显著的空间集聚趋势，县域经济格局两极化趋势明显（经济发达的县域和经济不发达的县域分别在地理空间上集聚），并且这种经济发展水平的集聚趋势在不断加强；自1989年以来，福建省县域经济格局发生了明显的变化，县域经济重心由西北内陆地区向东南沿海地区转移；福建省欠发达地区集聚的范围要比发达地区集聚的范围大得多；未来几年内，福建省县域经济格局变化不大．

A Research on the Spatial-Temporal Evolution of Economic Structure about County Areas in Fujian

Based on the social economic data from 1989 to 2005 years in Fujian, the problem of the structure of county areas in Fujian was reconsidered by using spatial autocorrelation analysis and gray analysis methods. Findings indicate that： Firstly, the over-all County-level spatial disparities of county economy in Fujian have been increased over time in generally; Secondly, the centre of county economy transferred from northwest land to southeast littoral; Thirdly, there were distinct e- conomic convergency regions in Fujian. The economic levels between them were very different, some being high and others low; Lastly, the structure of county areas in Fujian will not change too much.