| 建模分析制约中国未来农业发展的各因素权重 |
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| 引用本文： | 王兴,;周庆豪,;阚苗苗,;杨桂元.建模分析制约中国未来农业发展的各因素权重[J].西昌学院学报(自然科学版),2014(3):32-35. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王兴 ;周庆豪 ;阚苗苗 ;杨桂元 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]安徽财经大学统计与应用数学学院,安徽蚌埠233030; [2]安徽财经大学经济学院,安徽蚌埠233030 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家级大学生创新创业训练计划项目（项目编号：201310378202）; 省级大学生创新创业计划项目（项目编号：AH201310378324）; 安徽财经大学2014年度大学生科研创新基金项目（项目编号：XSKY1420ZD） |
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| 摘 要： | 针对四个制约中国未来农业发展的因素,利用层次分析方法构建了农业发展层次分析模型,得出在当下中国,解决"仍有两亿人口的粮食不能自给"最为迫切;其次是解决"农村贫困人口的生活问题";"缺水、地少"和"城镇化与农转非"问题可暂缓,但也应尽快解决。后续具体分析了各种问题的现状并给出相关改善意见。
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| 关 键 词： | 农业发展 制约因素 层次分析 粮食自给 权重 |
Modeling and Analysis Restrict Future Development of China＆#39;s Agricultural Weights of Each Factor |
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| Institution: | WANG Xing, ZHOU Qing-hao, KAN Miao-miao, YANG gui-yuan (1.School of Statistics and Applied Mathematics, Anhui University of Finance and Economies, Bengbu, Anhui 233030; 2. School of Economies, Anhui University of Finance and Economics, Bengbu, Anhui 233030 ) |
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| Abstract: | For the next four factors restricting the development of chinese agriculture, we use the AHP （Analytic Hierarchy Process） to build the hierarchical model of agricultural development. According to the results of the model, it’s obvious that in current China, the most urgent problem is that ＆quot;200 million people are still not self-sufficient in food＆quot;. And the followed problem is＆quot;the poverty of rural people＆quot;. Problems of＆quot;lack of water and land＆quot; and ＆quot;urbanization＆quot; can be suspended, but it does not mean that we can neglect them. We had better solve these problems as soon as possible. Subsequently, we have specific analysis for these problems and give some advice to help improve the situation. |
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| Keywords: | agricultural development constraints factors AHP food self-sufficiency weight |
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