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基于内生经济增长的我国养老保险制度模型
引用本文:杨继光,刘海龙,许友传.基于内生经济增长的我国养老保险制度模型[J].上海交通大学学报,2008,42(11):1806-1809.
作者姓名:杨继光  刘海龙  许友传
作者单位:(1.上海交通大学 安泰经济与管理学院, 上海 200052; 2.复旦大学 金融研究院 上海 200433)
摘    要:结合我国现行的养老保险制度安排,在一般均衡的框架下构建了一个三期的动态内生经济增长模型,模拟计算了我国2000~2060年的经济增长路径,发现人口老龄化对物质资本积累和人力资本投资具有不同的效应.完全基金制下的人力资本投资低于现收现付制,而物质资本积累高于现收现付制.完全基金制下的经济增长速度先是高于现收现付制,而后则低于现收现付制.

关 键 词:养老保险制度    现收现付制    基金制    内生经济增长  
收稿时间:2007-11-30

China's Social Security Programs Based on Endogenous Economic Growth Model
YANG Ji-guang,LIU Hai-long,XU You-chuan.China's Social Security Programs Based on Endogenous Economic Growth Model[J].Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong University,2008,42(11):1806-1809.
Authors:YANG Ji-guang  LIU Hai-long  XU You-chuan
Institution:(1.Antai College of Economics & Management, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai 200052,China;
2.Institute for Financial Studies, Fudan University, Shanghai 200433, China)
Abstract:A three-period dynamic endogenous growth model combining the social security programs of(China) was set up in the framework of general equilibrium,which simulated the economic growth paths of(China) from 2000 to 2060 with some given parameters.It was found that the aging population has different(influences) on capital accumulation and educational expenditures.The educational expenditures in the fully funded social security are more than those in the pay-as-you-go,while the physical capitals in the fully funded are less than those in the pay-as-you-go.The economic growth rates in the fully funded are (firstly) higher than the pay-as-you-go,while lower later.
Keywords:social security program  pay-as-you-go  fully funded  endogenous economic growth
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