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基于离散Markov决策过程的发电公司多阶段决策
引用本文:张宏刚,宋依群.基于离散Markov决策过程的发电公司多阶段决策[J].上海交通大学学报,2004,38(8):1238-1240,1245.
作者姓名:张宏刚  宋依群
作者单位:上海交通大学,电气工程系,上海,200030
摘    要:采用离散时间Markov决策过程(DTMDP)对以多阶段总利润最优为目标的发电公司决策问题进行研究.市场环境下,发电公司根据自身条件,其竞争策略可以是价格的接受者,也可以是价格的制定者.考虑了发电公司不同策略情况下市场均衡状态间的转换概率,分别给出了发电公司作为价格接受者和价格制定者时的多阶段决策模型.通过算例验证了所提模型的有效性和可行性.

关 键 词:电力市场  离散时间Markov决策过程  决策问题
文章编号:1006-2467(2004)08-1238-03

Discrete Time Markov Decision Process Based Multi-Period Decision Problem for Generation Companies
ZHANG Hong-gang,SONG Yi-qun.Discrete Time Markov Decision Process Based Multi-Period Decision Problem for Generation Companies[J].Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong University,2004,38(8):1238-1240,1245.
Authors:ZHANG Hong-gang  SONG Yi-qun
Abstract:A novel strategy model based on discrete time Markov decision process (DTMDP) was proposed for a generation company to maximize its total multi-period profit in deregulation environment. In terms of the company's scale and market share in the market, it will compete as a price taker or a price maker. Different decision models with corresponding transition probabilities between market equilibria were developed for strategies of price-taker and price-maker respectively. Finally, it is shown via the numerical results that the proposed model of multi-period profit optimization for generation companies is effective.
Keywords:power markets  discrete time Markov decision process(DTMDP)  decision problem
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