| 上海市综合运输模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘涌康.上海市综合运输模型[J].上海交通大学学报,1988(4). |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘涌康 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海交通大学管理学院 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文就上海经济发展对综合运输的需求进行了研究。在运输历史和现状的调查基础上,用多元回归分析法对上海市到2000年的客货运量进行了预测,用系统动力学模型仿真计算了不同运输投资方案下,上海经济发展的前景,以及用网络优化和运输方式最优分配模型研究分析了运输的发展规划,最后对上海综合运输的对策提出了相应的建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 综合运输模型 预测模型 系统动力学模型 模型的基本行为 网络优化模型 对策建议 |
Shanghai Comprehensive Transport Model |
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| Liu Yongkang.Shanghai Comprehensive Transport Model[J].Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong University,1988(4). |
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| Authors: | Liu Yongkang |
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| Institution: | Liu Yongkang |
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| Abstract: | This paper studies the demand for the synthetic traffic and transportation
by the economic development of shanghai.In accordance with the
investigation of the past records and the present situation of the traffic and
transportation,the authors forecast the traffic amount of passengers and the
transport volume of freight in shanghai from now until 2000 with the method of
pluralistic regression analysis,simulate the economic development prospects of
Shanghai under different transport investment plans with the system dynamics
model,and analyse the traffic and transportation development program of
shanghai with the optimization algorithms for networks and the transport form optimizing distribution model.At the end of this paper some propositions about the
tactics of the comprehensive traffic and transportation of Shanghai are advanced. |
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| Keywords: | comprehensive traffic and transportation models forecasting models system dynamics model basic behavior of model optimization network model tactic suqqestion |
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