| 国际油价波动与中国通货膨胀的预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 张子龙,刘晓雪.国际油价波动与中国通货膨胀的预测[J].萍乡高等专科学校学报,2013(5):20-23. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张子龙 刘晓雪 |
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| 作者单位： | 萍乡学院,江西萍乡337000 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文通过格兰杰因果检验以及动态模型分析1998年以来国际油价对中国通货膨胀是否有预测的作用。发现国际油价确实在阶段性对中国的通货膨胀有预测作用,这对于中国预防以及控制通胀有一定的指导作用。
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| 关 键 词： | 国际油价 通货膨胀 预测指标 |
Prediction of International Oil Price Fluctuation and Inflation in China |
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| Zhang Zilong,Liu Xiaoxue.Prediction of International Oil Price Fluctuation and Inflation in China[J].Journal of Pingxiang College,2013(5):20-23. |
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| Authors: | Zhang Zilong Liu Xiaoxue |
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| Institution: | (Pingxiang University, Pingxiang 337000, China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on Grant causality test and dynamic model, this paper tries to analyze whether the international oil prices have predictive effects on the inflation in China since 1998. It turns out that international oil prices indeed have the predictive effect in certain periods, which may provide with certain guidance in the control and prevention of inflation in China. |
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| Keywords: | international oil price inflation predictive index |
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