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山东省区域经济的时空格局演变分析
引用本文:吴方军,张二勋.山东省区域经济的时空格局演变分析[J].淄博学院学报(自然科学与工程版),2014(4):28-33.
作者姓名:吴方军  张二勋
作者单位:聊城大学环境与规划学院,山东聊城252059
基金项目:山东省社科规划项目(08CJGJ35)
摘    要:选取2003~2012年可比价的人均GDP为研究对象,采用灰色系统理论GM(1,1)模型、回归分析以及Nich的方法,定量分析了山东省区域经济的时空演变趋势和山东省总体、各市之间以及城乡居民之间区域经济的差异及其变动的情况,为山东省未来宏观经济发展策略的制定提供决策依据.得出结论:(1)人民的生活水平和经济水平在不断的提高,增长速度较快;(2)山东省各地市人均GDP的相对发展速度差别较大;(3)农民人均纯收入、城镇居民人均可收入差异有扩大趋势.

关 键 词:区域经济  GM(1  1)模型  回归分析  山东省

The evolutive analysis regional economy of space-time structure of in Shandong Province
WU Fang-jun,ZHANG Er-xun.The evolutive analysis regional economy of space-time structure of in Shandong Province[J].Journal of Zibo University(Natural Sciences and Engineering),2014(4):28-33.
Authors:WU Fang-jun  ZHANG Er-xun
Institution:(Environment and Planning Institute, Liaocheng University, Liaocheng 252059, China)
Abstract:We selected GDP of per people of 2003--2012 in Shandong Province,using corresponding response prediction model of GM (1, 1) time,regression analysis method and Nich, analyzed quantitatively the space-time evolution trend of regional economy in Shandong province, and the differences and changes in the entire Shandong province, every city and between urban and rural residents in order to provide decisional basis for macro economic development strategy formulation of Shandong province in the future. The conclusions. (1)People's living standard and economic level are constantly improving, growing fast; (2)The relative speed diffrerence of GDP of per people is bigger in Shandong; (3)The difference between net income of farmers per people and income of urban is enlarging.
Keywords:regional economy  GM (1  1) model  analysis of regression  Shandong Province
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