| 全国城市汉族儿童青少年身高、体重发育的研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈亮,翟连林.全国城市汉族儿童青少年身高、体重发育的研究[J].曲阜师范大学学报,2007,33(1):109-113. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈亮 翟连林 |
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| 作者单位： | 曲阜师范大学体育科学学院 273165曲阜市(陈亮)，曲阜师范大学体育教研部 276826山东省日照市(翟连林) |
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| 摘 要： | 依据国家先后4次测试公布的全国城市汉族儿童青少年体质调研的原始数据,运用灰色非等间距GM(1,1)模型,建立城市儿童青少年生长发育预测值模型,预测未来10年城市儿童青少年的生长发育趋势.结果表明,未来10年我国城市儿童青少年生长发育有继续提前的趋势;生长发育逐渐进入低速增长阶段;10岁左右的儿童肥胖问题日趋显现;12岁后女孩体重增长速度过缓,导致一定程度上呈现体重与身高增长之间的不协调.
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| 关 键 词： | 儿童青少年 城市 身高 体重 不等间距模型 灰色预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-5337（2007）01-0109-05 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-04-26 |
Research on Growth Trend of Junior in the Cities of China |
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| CHEN Liang,ZHEI Lian-lin.Research on Growth Trend of Junior in the Cities of China[J].Journal of Qufu Normal University(Natural Science),2007,33(1):109-113. |
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| Authors: | CHEN Liang ZHEI Lian-lin |
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| Institution: | 1. College of P. E., 273165, Qufu;2.Department of P. E., Qufu Normal University, 276826, Rizhao, Shandong, PRC |
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| Abstract: | Based on original data of physical investigation for junior conducted in the cities of China and using the non-equidistance GM(1,1) model,the expect model for junior growth in the cities is established,the growth trend of junior in the future of 10 years is predicated.The result showed that the growth of junior in the cities is still in the trend of grown-up earlier;the growth enter the low speed growth stage gradually;the obese question of ten years' old junior appears seviously;the body weight rate of rising older than of 12-years-old girls increase slowly,which cause the no-cordination between the body weight and the height grows to some degree. |
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| Keywords: | children and junior city height weight non-equidistant sequence grey prediction |
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