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灰色系统理论在电力需求滚动预测中的应用
引用本文:王海涛,任震.灰色系统理论在电力需求滚动预测中的应用[J].华南理工大学学报(自然科学版),2001,29(9):37-39.
作者姓名:王海涛  任震
作者单位:华南理工大学电力学院
摘    要:针对揭阳市全社会用电量的历史数据较少的特点,引入灰色系统理论,采用在同一模型下分行业建模的方法,得出更为合理的全社会用电量的预测值。并对揭阳市1993~1997年的全社会用电量进行计算分析,得到的结果与实际相符。

关 键 词:灰色系统理论  用电量  电力  负荷预测
文章编号:1000-565(2001)09-0037-03
修稿时间:2001年3月16日

Application of Gray System Theory in the Rolling Forecast Report of the Electricity Demand
Wang Hai_tao,Ren Zhen.Application of Gray System Theory in the Rolling Forecast Report of the Electricity Demand[J].Journal of South China University of Technology(Natural Science Edition),2001,29(9):37-39.
Authors:Wang Hai_tao  Ren Zhen
Abstract:Due to the lack of historical data of total electricity consumption in Jieyang City, the Gray system theory has been introduced in this paper. The theory of respectively building up a model for different trade with the same model has been adopted, which leads to a more logical forecasting value of the total electricity consumption. Meanwhile the historical data of the total electricity consumption for Jieyang City from 1993 to 1997 have been calculated and analyzed, and the results are satisfactory.
Keywords:Gray system theory  electricity consumption  forecasting
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