| 石河子初霜冻灰色马尔柯夫链预测模型及其应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 吕新,李哗.石河子初霜冻灰色马尔柯夫链预测模型及其应用[J].石河子大学学报,1997,1(3):199-201. |
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| 作者姓名： | 吕新 李哗 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]石河子大学农业科学系 [2]石河子气象局 |
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| 摘 要： | 用灰色马尔柯夫予测方法，对石河子初霜冻出现时间进行了分析预测，结果表明，１９９６年预测初霜冻出现在１０月７日，与实况１０月５日十分相近。
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| 关 键 词： | 预测模型 初霜冻 灰色预测 马氏链预测 |
The Calculating Pattern of First Frost of Grey Markov Chain Analysis in Shihezi |
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| Lu Xin,Li Ye.The Calculating Pattern of First Frost of Grey Markov Chain Analysis in Shihezi[J].Journal of Shihezi University(Natural Science),1997,1(3):199-201. |
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| Authors: | Lu Xin Li Ye |
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| Institution: | 1 Dept.of Agricultural Science\ \ 2 Shihezi Meteorologic Bereau |
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| Abstract: | The article not only analyses the Grey calculation mainly, but also the advantage and disadvantage of Markov chain analysis.It combines them organicly and forms the way --the Gey Markov chain analysis,they have more widely useful fields and much higher calculating precision.Taking the example of calculating the first frost in Shihezi,the result shows the analysis is accurate. |
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| Keywords: | Grey Markov analysis calculating pattern |
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